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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Tips - No mistake by the Pies in 2025

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 22 May 2025 11:38

Jeremy Darke 22 May 2025

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Collingwood's defence dominates, causing issues for North's transitions.
Expect Bobby Hill to be pivotal with 3+ goals, leading to a 100+ Collingwood score.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Tips

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Pies will not be caught with their pants down in 2025 against North Melbourne and will win convincingly as they fluff their feathers at the top of the ladder.

Collingwood had to come back from 54 points down to beat North Melbourne last year and you can bet your bottom dollar that they will have their eye in from the start of this contest and keep it out of reach of the Kangas, who have shown a little life throughout the last month.

Although North Melburne have been in better form and almost stole one from Brisbane a couple of weeks back, the Pies are everything that North Melbourne despise. Their defence is full pressure and they trap the ball in their forward 50, an area where Norths struggle in transition and love to make costly errors.

Expect the Pies to fly away freely in this contest and kick 100+ in the process. If their is a player in the comp that loves to sniff around loose ground balls inside his forward 50 then it is Bobby Hill, who orchestrated last year’s comeback for Collingwood. Expect the pocket rocket to be a problem for the Kangas and kick 3+ goals.

North Melbourne have lost by over the 34.5-point margin in 3 of their last 4 matches against top 8 sides.
North Melbourne have conceded 100+ points in 4 of 5 matches against current top 8 teams this season.
Collingwood has kicked an average of 112 points per game against current bottom 10 sides.
Bobby Hill kicked 5 goals against North Melbourne in 2024.

Head to Head

Collingwood have won their last 5 matches against North Melbourne, but it certainly wasn’t easy in 2024.

What a wild game it was in Round 14 last season with Collingwood coming back from a 54-point deficit at the start of the third quarter to take the lead 27 minutes into the fourth term on Bobby Hill’s fifth goal of the match.

The last 4 matches between the Kangaroos and the Magpies have gone Over the game total.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	2-3

The Kangas got their second win of the season, edging out the Tigers by 4 points in a 78-74 victory. The win wasn’t the best performance from Norths over the last few weeks, moreso one of their poorest, however, they came up against the Tigers who are always up for the taking.

Backline transition was riddled with errors once again for North Melbourne and they almost gave up the victory multiple times to the Tigers, who simply couldn’t capitalize on the Kangas mistakes.

North Melbourne’s inability to move the ball cleanly out of the backline is a big reason why they are still sitting at the bottom of the ladder. The Kangaroos also lack any real pressure on their opponents, ranked 18th in points turnovers and the same in points from turnovers.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
6-4	5-5	1-4	1-3

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

Paul Curtis will return from suspension this week against the Pies.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List

B: C.Comben, T.Pink, A.Corr

HB: R.Hardeman, C.Daniel, H.Sheezel

C: D.Stephens, L.Davies-Uniacke, J.Simpkin - C

HF: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C.McKercher

F: F.Maley, J.Darling, C.Zurhaar

FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, T.Powell

I/C: F.O’Sullivan, L.McDonald, Z.Fisher, L.Parker, J.Konstanty

EMG: W.Dawson, W.Phillips, R.Hansen Jr

In: - P.Curtis, Z.Fisher

Out: - B.Scott (Omitted), Z.Duursma (Omitted)

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	3-2

The Pies are ticking along nicely enjoying their time perched at the top of the AFL ladder with 8 wins from 10 matches this season.

The Pies came up against a tough opponent in the Crows last week and dealt with them nicely in their 78-68 victory in another defensive masterclass that is showing signs of their premiership winning form from 2023.

The Pies have the tightest defence in the AFL, allowing just 70.3 points per game this season. The most impressive statistics have to be handed to their backline who allow the fifth-least opposition forward entries of any team and the second lowest percentage of goals per opposition inside 50 (20.65%).

Collingwood’s attack is ranked 6th in points scored game (91.0), however, there is nothing statistically that dominates their success, besides their ability to take their chances and get quality forward entries, with the third-highest amount of marks inside 50 in relation to their 9th-best inside 50s total.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
6-4	5-5	5-1	3-1

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Lauchie shultz will rest his head again this week, still undergoing concussion protocol.

Darcy Moore could return from his shoulder injury, however, the Pies may give thier fearless leader another week’s rest.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

B: B.Maynard, B.Frampton, J.Daicos

HB: H.Perryman, J.Howe, D.Houston

C: E.Allan, N.Daicos - C, J.Crisp

HF: B.McCreery, T.Membrey, B.Hill

F: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, L.Sullivan

FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, S.Pendlebury

I/C: P.Lipinski, I.Quaynor, W.Hoskin-Elliott, W.Hayes, M.Cox

EMG: H.DeMattia, W.Parker, C.West

In: - W.Hayes

Out: - S.Sidebottom (Managed)

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11?

You can watch the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2025 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne Kangaroos site.

Verdict

North Melbourne v Collingwood

Bobby Hill will kick at least a couple of goals as Collingwood put this game against the Kangaroos out of doubt with a 100+ score and cover the line as the favourite.

Collingwood -34.5

Handicap/Line

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