- Wednesday 9
- Thursday 10
- Friday 11
- Saturday 12
- Sunday 13
- Monday 14
- Tuesday 15
- Wednesday 16
- Thursday 17
- Friday 18
- Saturday 19
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL Tips - All signs point to the Hawks
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 AFL game
- The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
- Brisbane Lions expected to continue winless streak against Hawthorn Hawks.
- Hawks’ strategy focuses on pressure and turnovers; game total likely under 172.5 points.
Chol for a couple against Brisbane.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
Brisbane’s dip will continue as they fall to their sixth consecutive loss to Hawthorn becoming winless in their last 3 matches.
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Hawthorn Hawks Team News
- Hawthorn Hawks Team List
- Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Brisbane Lions Team List
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s
Brisbane are in a downward spiral at the moment after giving up 6 of a possible 8 points over the last 2 weeks, drawing with North Melbourne and giving up a fourth quarter lead to the Demons last week.
The Demons showed that with a bit of pressure you can unsettle the Lions and Brisbane now come up against one the best pressure teams in the AFL with the Hawks who create turnovers and use it as a source to build their total.
The record for Brisbane isn’t great against the Hawks and it is going to be a too big of a task which will see Hawthorn jump the Lions on the ladder. Expect the Hawks to suffocate the scoring of Brisbane which will keep this total under 172.5 points.
Jack Gunston and Maboir Chol dominated the 2024 match up between these two side and you can expect the forward pairing to be firing again on Saturday.
- 80% of Hawthorn’s results have been decided by a 1-39 margin.
- Hawthorn ranks third in opposition turnovers with an average of 66.7 per game.
- Hawthorn average just 66 points against per game at the MCG this season.
- Maboir Chol averages 2 goals per game this season.
Head to Head
Hawthorn have won their last 5 matches against Brisbane, beating them 100-75 in last year’s Round 11 clash. The Hawks took control with a 27-9 first quarter and never looked back, kicking on strongly in the fourth.
Jack Gunston (4) and Maboir Chol (3) combined for 7 goals in the match.
5 of the last 7 matches between Hawthorn have had a Game Total under 172.5 points.
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
The Hawks knew it was going to be a tough task against the Gold Coast at TIO Stadium in Darwin and that is exactly what they got, going down to the rising Suns 104-96 at their second home in the Northern Territory in Round 10.
After resting both Jack Gunston and Lloyd Meek, I don’t see the Hawks being too overly worried about the loss after a short turnaround and all of the external factors they were up against.
It was just their third loss of the season and they were on a three-game run heading into the clash against the Coast.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 2-0 |
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Jack Gunston and Loyd Nash return to the side after being managed last week while Jarman Impey will also be back after missing the clash against the Suns du to the birth of his child.
Conor Nash also returns from his four-game suspension and will come in on the interchange.
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, J.Sicily - C
HB: K.Amon, B.Hardwick, M.D’Ambrosio
C: J.Impey, J.Ward, H.Morrison
HF: J.Weddle, N.Watson, D.Moore
F: C.Macdonald, M.Chol, J.Gunston
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Worpel
I/C: C.Jiath, J.Ginnivan, C.Nash, J.Scrimshaw, C.Mackenzie
EMG: F.Maginness, B.Macdonald, C.Dear
In: - J.Impey, J.Gunston, L.Meek, C.Nash
Out: - N.Reeves (Injured), B.Macdonald (Omitted), F.Maginness (Managed), C.Dear (Omitted)
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
After a disappointing showing in their 71-all draw with North Melbourne in Round 9, the Lions become their worst enemies again, giving up a 23-point second-quarter lead to the Demons at the Gabba after falling apart in the fourth quarter and letting the Demons play through them, going down 99-88.
The Demons were outnumbered at the contests and crumbled under the pressure of Melbourne, which they haven’t shown all season, being just as surprised as the rest of us.
The loss caps off a couple of poor weeks for Brisbane who have struggled to move the ball forward efficiently and create enough points to get the win, averaging just 75 points in their last 3 matches.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | 4-6 | 6-1 | 1-1 |
Brisbane Lions Team News
Jarrod Berry has passed concussion protocol and has been named on the interchange for Brisbane.
Brisbane Lions Team List
B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: N.Answerth, H.Andrews - C, D.Wilmot
C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, Z.Bailey
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, W.Ashcroft
F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, C.Ah Chee
FOLL: D.Fort, J.Dunkley, L.Neale
I/C: K.Lohmann, D.Robertson, J.Berry, L.Ashcroft, D.Gardiner
EMG: S.Marshall, T.Gallop, O.McInerney
In: - D.Robertson, J.Berry
Out: - K.Coleman (Managed), C.McKenna (Omitted)
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s
How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11?
You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11?
To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.
Verdict
Mabior Chol will kick two for the Hawks as they go on to win by a 1-39 margin. The match total is expected to stay under 172.5 points.
Hawthorn Hawks
1-39 Winning Margin
$2.10 - 3 Units
Bet at PlayUp
use referral code WELCOME
18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. Ts and Cs apply.
Under 172.5
Game Total
$1.90 - 2 Units
Same Game & Race Multis
Use affiliate code BETSAU
Exciting new betting app now live. Use code BETSAU on sign-up. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Imagine what you could be buying instead.
Mabior Chol
2+ Goals
$1.72 - 3 Units
Bet at PlayUp
use referral code WELCOME
18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. Ts and Cs apply.
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
09 July 2025
10 July 2025
11 July 2025
Load More
