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Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Tips - Freo break losing trend versus Port

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu. 22 May 2025 11:39

Jeremy Darke 22 May 2025

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Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 11 AFL game
The game will be played at Optus Stadium, with the bounce at 8:10 PM (AEST)
Injuries hit Port Adelaide; Fremantle likely to cover the 18.5-point line.
Caleb Serong expected to control midfield with 30+ disposals.

Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Tips

Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction

All the data is pointing towards Freo to get up and the bookies are also predicting a big win for the Dockers at Optus stadium, but there is one thing that makes this result a little uneasy.

Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 11 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Fremantle Dockers Team News
Fremantle Dockers Team List
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Port Adelaide Power Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team List
Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

An 18.5-point line is pretty hefty considering how inconsistent Fremantle have been tis season and yes Port can also put their own hand up in that conversation and know what week-to-week form is all about, especially in front goal. But, the scary stat when looking at this matchup is that the Power have won 6 of their last 7 against the Dockers, including the last two matches played in Perth.

The kicker for Freo here is that Port have been hit with another bunch of injuries to Jason Horne-Francis Lachie Jones and Josh Sinn, so the question here should be more about the margin than the result.

Port have been pumped twice in the last 3 weeks, but Freo have been too inconsistent to back them 40+, so I like the line of 18.5 points as the favourite for the Dockers and I don’t see where the Power will find 74 points to come over their team total.

Caleb Serong played up to his full potential last week in Freo big win over GWS with 36 disposals and 8 clearances and it is predicted that he will tally another 30+ disposals this week for the Dockers.

Freo have won 3 of their last 4 matches at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle have held their opponents under 73.5 points in 3 of 5 games this season at Optus Stadium
Port Adelaide have scored under 73.5 points in 50% of their games this season.
Caleb Serong has had 30+ disposals in 4 of his last 8 games.

Head to Head

The head to head count is well in the favour of Port Adelaide with a 6-2 record in the last 8 matches against Fremantle since 2019.

4 of the last 6 matches have gone under the game total.

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

‘You are only as good as your last match,’ will be the quote that Justin Longmuir takes into this week after the dockers squashed the Giants 95-61 last weekend, giving them a 50 percent record with 5 wins this season, sitting just outside the top 8.

Shai Bolton has finally found his feet and had the biggest impact on a game in the purple ‘V’ since joining the club this season. The flying attacker kicked three goals along with 24 disposals including 12 contested possessions, being the absolute menace like he was for the Tigers for many years.

The Dockers now need to hold onto that momentum and turn their strong midfield play into more attacking chances.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-5	5-5	4-3	1-2

Fremantle Dockers Team News

Sean Darcy is on pace to return in the ruck for the Dockers with his usage unknown this week after Luke Jackson performed so well last weekend.

Nathan O’Driscoll is also set to return on the wing for the Dockers as Freo becomes healthier by the week.

Fremantle Dockers Team List

B: L.Ryan, A.Pearce - C, B.Cox

HB: H.Chapman, K.Worner, J.Clark

C: J.Sharp, S.Bolton, C.Wagner

HF: M.Frederick, S.Switkowski, M.Reid

F: P.Voss, J.Treacy, J.Amiss

FOLL: L.Jackson, C.Serong, A.Brayshaw

I/C: B.Banfield, N.Erasmus, M.Johnson, C.Simpson, I.Dudley

EMG: J.Draper, J.Aish, L.Reidy

No changes

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

Things are going from bad to worse for the Power, who lost their third consecutive match, in a big way, going down to the Cats by 76 points in Round 10. A five point loss to the Crown the week before was flattering for Port who were also thumped by the 90 points by the Bulldogs in Round 8.

Besides their incredibly poor accuracy in front of goal that we have harped on for a couple of years now, where is it going wrong?

For starters, Port are ranked 18th in opposition points from stoppages and 17th in centre clearances, having some major problems around the ruck contests. This is also highlighted by their inability to win contested possessions, ranked 16th in the league.

Compile their poor possession play with their crazy eyes in front of goal and you are going to have some serious issues.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-6	4-6	3-3	1-3

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Jason Horne-Francis Lachie Jones and Josh Sinn are added to the list that already has names like Jack Lukosius, Xavier Walsh and Tom Cochrane.

The unavailable are stacking up on Port in a time that they need all hands on deck to get themselves out of the hole they are digging.

Port Adelaide Power Team List

B: L.Evans, A.Aliir, M.Bergman

HB: C.Rozee - C, B.Zerk-Thatcher, R.Burton

C: W.Drew, O.Wines, J.Burgoyne

HF: D.Byrne-Jones, M.Georgiades, T.Boak

F: S.Powell-Pepper, O.Lord, J.Richards

FOLL: D.Visentini, J.Mead, Z.Butters

I/C: R.Atkins, J.Finlayson, C.Moraes, W.Rioli, H.Jackson

EMG: J.Sweet, D.Williams, J.Berry

In: - B.Zerk-Thatcher, T.Boak, R.Atkins, H.Jackson

Out: - E.Ratugolea (Injured), La.Jones (Injured), J.Sinn (Injured), J.Horne-Francis (Injured)

Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11 FAQ’s

How to watch Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11?

You can watch the Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11?

To buy tickets to the Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 11 game check the AFL website or the official Fremantle Dockers site.

Verdict

Fremantle v Port Adelaide

This will be tough one for Port which will see Fremantle cover as the 18.5-point favourites. Port will struggle to score and will stay under their team total of 73.5 points, while Caleb Serong will control the midfield with 30+ disposals.

Fremantle -18.5

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P. Adelaide Under 73.5

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