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Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL Tips - Giant defensive effort to carry GWS over the line

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 17 Apr 2025 13:41

Ryan Tucker 17 Apr 2025

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Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 6 AFL game
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
GWS Giants predicted to win against Adelaide Crows due to their leading defense.
Crows average 120 points, but Giants' defense limits opponents to 67 points on average.
Recommendation: Giants Moneyline and Under for total points; watch out for Lachie Whitfield.

Top Picks in Crows vs Giants

Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction

The GWS Giants will chalk up another win with Adelaide posting their third straight loss in a matchup that is pitting dynamic scoring against hard nosed defence.

Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s

The Crows are averaging 120 points per game this season and their opponents have been pretty good. But just because you can score points, doesn’t mean you automatically win games and we saw that last weekend against the Cats.

GWS are one of the better defensive teams so far this season, allowing an average of just 67 points to opponents over their first 5 games. Their highest total allowed was the 82 to St Kilda last weekend after keeping Hawthorn to 76 two games prior and Collingwood to 52 in Opening Round.

If we turn the tables we also see that the Giants can post a pretty little score themselves, averaging 97.4 points this season with 3 games going into triple digits. Toby Greene had a field day last weekend in front of the sticks while Jake Stringer nabbed his first two for his new club.

My expectation is first and foremost for the Giants defence to control the Crows scoring output, limiting their chances to convert chances into points. They are ranked first in opposition accuracy and opposition scoring shots inside 50, restricting teams to 9 fewer shots than the league average.

Take the Giants Moneyline, the total to go Under based on the defence from GWS and only 1 of the past 7 between these teams going past this number. Lachie Whitfield is averaging a tick over 30 touches per game and will see a lot of ball in this one.

GWS have won 3 of the last 4 vs Crows in Adelaide.
The Giants Inside 50 defence is league leading.
Only 1 of the last 7 games between these teams have gone over this Game Total.
Lachie Whitfield is averaging 30.6 disposals this season and had 41 vs Crows last season.

Head to Head

Adelaide won the lone matchup between these teams last season 94-78 in Adelaide but had lost 4 straight prior to that matchup. The record since 2019 is 4-3 to the Giants.

The Over has hit in 3 of the last 4 games while the last 3 straight have been won by margins of 1-39 points.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	3-2

The Crows set Adelaide and Gather Round alight early on Thursday night last week but failed to see it through, going down to Geelong 119-100 in front of what sounded like 100,000 supporters at Adelaide Oval.

Adelaide led by 30 in the 2nd quarter and had the lead for 92 minutes of the game before surrendering to a spirited Cats comeback in the final term. Despite Fogarty kicking 4 and Rankine and Crouch getting their hands on the ball, they could not stop the savvy vets from the Cats who took control of the game late, silencing the home crowd.

It was Adelaide’s second straight defeat following the heartbreaking 1 point loss to the Suns the week before, a game which the Crows also led by a margin in the 2nd quarter. Matt Crouch had 11 clearances to go with his 28 touches while Tex Walker turned back the clock, kicking 2 majors in the game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-2	3-2	1-2	2-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Nick Murray will need to pass a fitness test this week to line-up. Josh Rachele is still a few weeks away as he is scheduled to start back at training this week from a rib injury.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, N.Murray, R.Laird

HB: W.Milera, M.Keane, M.Michalanney

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, I.Rankine

F: D.Fogarty, T.Walker, A.Neal-Bullen

FOLL: R.O’Brien, J.Soligo, M.Crouch

I/C: Z.Taylor, M.Hinge, L.Nankervis, S.Berry, S.Draper

EMG: L.Sholl, J.Butts, L.Pedlar

In: N.Murray, S.Berry

Out: L.Sholl (Omitted), J.Peatling (Suspension)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	2-3

The Giants took back 3rd spot on the ladder with a 28 point win over St Kilda at Gather Round last weekend. It was once again the Orange tsunami coming off halfback that secured the victory for the Giants over a St Kilda team riding their own wave of momentum with three straight wins.

Lachie Ash and Lachie Whitfield controlled the tempo of the game in the hot conditions with Toby Greene kicking 5 goals in a best on ground performance for the club. They failed to score a major in the 4th quarter but had a 50 point lead coming out of the break that the victory never seemed in doubt.

GWS have the highest Rebound 50 rate in the league, something that they have perfected over the years. That stat is also something that was prevalent through the win streaks of the Swans over the past few seasons. The Giants also rank 4th in Uncontested Possessions.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-2	2-3	2-1	2-0

GWS Giants Team News

Stephen Coniglio and Brent Daniels will miss this game with their returns pushed back another week. Ryan Angwin and Josh Fahey will likely lace up in the VFL.

GWS Giants Team List

B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg

HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash

C: H.Thomas, F.Callaghan, C.Ward

HF: D.Jones, J.Stringer, T.Bedford

F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, A.Cadman

FOLL: K.Briggs, J.Kelly, T.Green

I/C: J.Wehr, J.Riccardi, C.Stone, C.Brown, T.McMullin

EMG: H.Rowston, X.O’Halloran, L.Aleer

No changes

Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide Crows site.

Verdict

Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney

GWS Giants

Moneyline

$2.02 - 2 Units

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Under 184.5

Game Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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Bet at Playup

L Whitfield 30+

Disposals

$1.87 - 2 Units

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