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Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks Tips - Hawks lose two in a row

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 17 Apr 2025 13:36

Jeremy Darke 17 Apr 2025

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Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks expert predictions for Monday’s Round 6 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Geelong Cats predicted to win against Hawthorn Hawks in Round 6.
Hawks need to recover from their first loss; Cats show strong recent form.

Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks Tips

Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction

The bookies can’t split the Cats and the Hawks and it is easy to see why with both clubs expected to be there come September. Our models are pointing to the Cats to be clear-cut winners though so backing Geelong minus the small margin is our play here.

The Hawks suffered their first loss of the season, falling behind from the start against Port Adelaide and never recovering. The young and confident group took their first heavy blow and it will be intriguing to see how they respond on the biggest stage at the MCG on Easter Monday.

The Cats got their first away win of the season, beating the Crows on opening night of Gather Round. Full of confidence, it is expected that Geelong will lean on their experience to clip the Hawks in front of a full house on Monday.

Encounters between these two clubs are always cracking spectacles and plenty of points are expected to be scored. With a modest total of 174.5 take the over and follow the trends with Jeremy Cameron having another 3+ goal match.

Geelong have won the last 3 matches against Hawthorn
The last 4 matches between the Cats and Hawks have gone over the game total.
5 of 7 Geelong matches at the MCG in 2024 went over the game total.
Jeremy Cameron kicked 4 goals last week against Adelaide

Head to Head

Geelong won both matches against Hawthorn last season by 36 points or more, making it three consecutive victories against the Hawks and 6 wins in their last 8 encounters.

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	4-1	3-2

The Cats put in huge confidence boosting performance against the Crows to send the home crowd out of Adelaide Oval disappointed after turning a 30-point second quarter deficit into a 119-100 win to open Gather Round last weekend.

The old dogs of the Cats put on a show with Patrick Dangerfield and Jeremy Cameron kicking 4 goals each to lead Geelong’s comeback victory. Bailey Smith was everywhere as well doing what he was recruited for leading the match with 35 disposals as Max Holmes collected 32.

The new-look midfield for the Cats with Bailey Smith playing out of center has been the key to the success of Geelong. Smith’s involvements have been exceptional and the young wing’s ability to link up with Dangerfield and Cameron is key to the Cats success.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-1	3-2	2-2	1-0

Geelong Cats Team News

Geelong are not expected to make any changes this week besides Tom Stewart’s return after the veteran has recovered from a gastro-bug.

Geelong Cats Team List

Teams will be announced at 6:20pm AEST on Sunday

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	3-2

The Hawks suffered their first loss of the season, going down heavily to the Power to close out Gather Round with Port Adelaide running away victors 121-91.

Hawthorn had no answer for Port in the first half, conceding 6 goals in a quarter for the first time this season with the Power kicking half a dozen in both the first and second quarters to lead by 59 at the break. It was all over from there and a little fightback from Jack Gunston with 6 goals wasn’t enough for Hawthorn.

The loss is a loss but it will be how the Hawks respond after it that will be the interesting factor this week.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-1	3-2	4-1	0-0

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

Conor Nash was cleared of a serious wrist injury and will be considered this week after a fitness test over the weekend.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

Teams will be announced at 6:20pm AEST on Sunday.

Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 6?

You can watch the Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Geelong Cats site.

Verdict

Geelong v Hawthorn

Jeremy Cameron will kick 3 goals in a high scoring game on Easter Monday as the Cats topple the Hawks handing the premiership favourites their second consecutive loss.

Geelong -1.5

Handicap/Line

$1.91 - 3 Units

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Game Total

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Jeremy Cameron

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