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Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints Tips - Saints combat the Dogs strike

Jeremy Darke

Editor

Last updated: Thu. 17 Apr. 2025 13:24

Jeremy Darke 17 Apr. 2025

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Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 6 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:20 PM (AEST)
Both teams eager to bounce back after tough losses.
Marcus Bontempelli returns for Bulldogs, boosting their lineup.

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints Tips

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Saints are predicted to put up a strong contest against the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, keeping the match within the 12.5 points and covering as the underdog.

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Western Bulldogs Team News
Western Bulldogs Team List
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s

Both the Saints and the Bulldogs are coming off tough losses and will be keen to get the result on Easter Sunday. The Bulldogs gave up a 39-point lead to Brisbane and the worry for the young group is that they will be deflated and the Saints will be ready to pounce.

I’ve rated the Saints early this season, but they were brought back to earth against the Giants who are a level above, however, the Bulldogs are not and I will even be having a splash on the Saints to get the win as the double-digit dog.

Jack McCrae will not be shut down like he was against the Giants and he will orchestrate the movements that will unlock his forward line. Expect an entertaining contest on Sunday with plenty of goals and Mitch Owens kicking a double after getting an egg against GWS last week.

St Kilda have won their last 5 matches at Marvel Stadium.
10 of the last 14 Western Bulldogs matches at Marvel Stadium have gone over the game total.
4 of 5 St Kilda matches have gone over the game total in 2025.
Mitch Owens has kicked 2 or more goals in 3 of 4 matches this season.

Head to Head

The Western Bulldogs and St Kilda Saints have traded 40+ wins over the last two seasons with the Dogs winning last year's battle 124-64 while the Saints won 92-41 in 2023.

St Kilda hold a slight 4-3 lead in the head to head count since 2019.

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	3-2

How much wind that was taken out of the lungs of the Western Bulldogs after coughing up a 39-point lead to the Brisbane Lions in Round 5 will be the talking point this weekend when the Dogs face the Saints.

A wounded and battered Dogs put up a monstrous effort in the first half against the Lions to lead by 33 points at the main break, extending that by another goal early in the third. The chances then dried up with the Bulldogs kicking 5.5 in the second half while Brisbane found their legs in the 30-degree heat and kicked 14.5 in the second half to win by 21.

As much as the Dogs have been courageous to start the year with key players like Marcus Bontempelli & Cody Weightman out of the lineup, it has taken its toll. The Bulldogs are able to stay in games or even be in control early but don’t have the gas to keep up the pace for four quarters.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-3	3-2	2-3	0-0

Western Bulldogs Team News

James Harmes suffered a foot injury in the opening minutes of the Bulldogs match last week and will miss a few weeks.

Marcus Bontempelli has been named to return this week after recovering from his calf injury that has kept him out during the start of the season.

Western Bulldogs Team List

B: B.Khamis, L.Jones, L.Bramble

HB: J.Johannisen, R.Lobb, B.Dale

C: B.Williams, E.Richards, J.Freijah

HF: L.McNeil, A.Naughton, T.Liberatore

F: J.O’Donnell, S.Darcy, R.West

FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, M.Kennedy

I/C (FROM): O.Baker, J.Busslinger, L.Cleary, S.Davidson, J.Dolan, H.Gallagher, C.Hynes, R.Sanders

In: M.Bontempelli, O.Baker, J.Busslinger, H.Gallagher

Out: J.Harmes (Injured)

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	4-1

The Saints put up a galant fight early against the favoured GWS but didn’t take their chances early in the second quarter and the Giants capitalized taking full control of the contest, beating St Kilda 110-82.

GWS identified the threat that was Jack McCrae and held the veteran to just 17 possessions in the match, well below the 30+ disposals he has averaged this season. The focus of the Saints has been on improving their attack this year, however, their defensive structure was blown away by the orange tsunami.

The loss has the Saints at 3-2 this season after three consecutive wins before heading into the match against the Giants. Their ability to limit their opponents’ contested possessions has been their strength ranked fourth in the AFL. The Saints have worked the ball out of their midfield and defensive half back line and looked to be an improved side in 2025.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-2	4-1	2-1	1-1

St Kilda Saints Team News

Arie Schoenmaker slots in at halfback and Liam Henry returns from injury on the interchange bench for the Saints.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: R.Byrnes, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: A.Schoenmaker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, M.Windhager

C: B.Hill, J.Sinclair, M.Wood

HF: M.Hall, D.Wilson, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, J.Higgins

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, L.Stocker, L.Henry, A.Hastie, H.Boyd, H.Garcia

In: A.Schoenmaker, L.Henry, H.Boyd

Out: Nil

Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s

How to watch Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6?

You can watch the Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6?

To buy tickets to the Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 6 game check the AFL website or the official Western Bulldogs site.

Verdict

Western Bulldogs v St Kilda

Mitch Owens will kick two goals as the Saints cover the 12.5-point line as the underdog in a high-scoring match against the Western Bulldogs.

St Kilda +12.5

Handicap/Line

$1.91 - 2 Units

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