Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel ATP Stockholm Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Musetti targets quarter-finals
Lorenzo Musetti is predicted to defeat Toby Samuel in straight sets in their ATP Stockholm clash, based on Musetti's outstanding record in opening matches—winning 10 of his last 11, all in straight sets—and his strong indoor performances, including recent victories over top players such as Zverev, Fritz, and Tiafoe. Samuel, despite a breakthrough season and a career-high ranking, has struggled against elite opposition, losing four of his six tour-level matches in straight sets. This will be the first career meeting between Musetti and Samuel.
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel predictions for Tuesday's ATP Stockholm R2
- Musetti equipped with strong recent record in opening matches
- Samuel still unproven vs elite players; Musetti tipped for straight sets win
- The match is scheduled to start around 6.00am AEDT on Wednesday November 11
Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel ATP Stockholm Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Lorenzo Musetti is backed to continue his strong recent record in opening matches and take care of Toby Samuel in straight sets to move into the Stockholm Open quarter-finals on Tuesday night.
Motivation can be a factor in these late-season tournaments for the top players, but considering Musetti has been sidelined with injury for big chunks of 2026, he should be determined for one last push and perhaps claim a second ATP title of the year here in Stockholm.
Samuel has done well to crack the top 100 this season, but he's still unproven against elite players and with Musetti in great form, the Italian is decent value around even money to advance in straights.
Musetti vs Samuel Predictions & Best Bets
| Bet | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Musetti 2-0 | $1.91 @ CrownBet | Musetti has won 10 of his last 11 opening matches - and all 10 have come in straight sets. He's also 12-3 vs 50+ ranked opponents in 2026, with nine in straights. Musetti has also beaten the likes of Zverev, Fritz, Tiafoe & Cobolli indoors over the last month. Samuel has lost four of his six tour-level matches in straight sets - don't think he's ready for this challenge yet |
Musetti vs Samuel Head To Head
This will be the first career meeting between the pair.
Lorenzo Musetti Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 28-14
- ATP Stockholm Record: 0-0
- Current Ranking: No. 25
- Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (Jan 2026)
Excellent start and finish to 2026 for Musetti, with the middle disrupted by injuries, causing him to fall from No. 5 to outside the top 20.
Musetti won seven of his opening eight matches of the year and he's gone 8-2 indoors before arriving in Stockholm, looking to end the season on a high.
The Italian has been impressive with a roof over his head this past month, winning his first ATP title in three years in Lyon, taking the scalps of Fritz and Cobolli.
Musetti then beat Tiafoe in Basel and conquered new World No. 1 Zverev on his way to the R16 in Paris last week.
Toby Samuel Form Analysis
- 2026 ATP Record: 5-6
- ATP Stockholm Record: 1-0
- Current Ranking: No. 95
- Career-High Ranking: No. 95 (Sep 2026)
It's been a brilliant season for Samuel - he started 2026 outside the world's top 250 and he arrived in Stockholm at a career-high ranking of No. 95 and climbing.
Samuel has picked up a lot of points at Challenger level, but proven he can hang on the main tour, qualifying for Roland Garros, pushing Jakub Mensik at Wimbledon to five sets and beating Tomas Machac on his way to the second round of the US Open.
The Brit came through qualifying in Stockholm, taking out the tricky and experienced Adrian Mannarino along the way.
Samuel was then rewarded with the easiest possible Round 1 match against wildcard Leo Borg, who is just nowhere near a tour-level player. The 24-year-old had no troubles, easing to a 6-3 6-2 victory for his fifth tour-level win.
Musetti vs Samuel Live Stream
Watch and bet on Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel live tennis from Stockholm.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Stockholm with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Musetti should be motivated here & is backed for a straight sets win.
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