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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - More tiebreaks for Wawrinka

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed 04 Feb 2026 23:37

Andrew Hendrie 04 Feb 2026

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Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka predictions for Thursday's ATP Montpellier Round 2 match
Wawrinka confident & can challenge top seed & defending champion
Auger-Aliassime repeatedly dragged into tiebreaks vs players outside the top 100
The match is scheduled to start around 4.30am AEDT on Friday February 6

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Stan Wawrinka (Photo by Getty Images)

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Stan Wawrinka's resurgence has been one of the stories to start the season and the three-time major champion will now face defending champion and top seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the second round of the Open Occitanie in Montpellier on Thursday.

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Stats & Trends
Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Head To Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime Form Analysis
Stan Wawrinka Form Analysis
Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Live Stream

Wawrinka has showcased some brilliant tennis at 40 years of age in what is his last year on tour. The Swiss veteran impressed during the Aussie summer and has continued his momentum in Montpellier, taking out the powerful Hamad Medjedovic - a player 18 years his junior - in straight sets.

Wawrinka's confidence is sky-high and he's on the cusp of a return to the top 100. I believe he can push Auger-Aliassime in this second round clash. The Canadian has endured a slow start to the season and was last seen retiring in the first round of the Australian Open. For a player who has been known to start tournaments cold in the past, Wawrinka pushing this match Over 22.5 games and forcing a tiebreak appeals - especially when you consider Auger-Aliassime's record of playing frequent tiebreaks against lower-ranked opponents (see stats & trends below).

However, Auger-Aliassime is a beast indoors - seven of his eight ATP titles have come in these conditions and he will be eager to kick-start his year after a disrupted start. Felix in three offers value.

Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Stats & Trends

Wawrinka has seen Over 22.5 games in seven of his last eight best-of-three matches
Wawrinka has seen at least one tiebreak in nine of his last 11 matches
Auger-Aliassime saw at least one tiebreak in three of his four Montpellier matches last year
Wawrinka hasn't lost or won in straight sets in 10 of his last 11 matches at all levels
Wawrinka has won at least one set in his last six matches vs top 10 players
Wawrinka has seen at least one tiebreak in his last four matches vs top 10 players
Auger-Aliassime has seen at least one tiebreak in his last six matches vs top 100 players

Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Head To Head

Surprisingly, this will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Felix Auger-Aliassime Form Analysis

2026 Record: 1-2
ATP Montpellier Record: 7-2
Current Ranking: No. 8
Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (Nov 2025)
ATP Montpellier 2026 Results: N/A (bye first round)

Auger-Aliassime hit his career-high ranking of No. 5 after a stellar 2025, which included winning three ATP titles in Adelaide, Montpellier and Brussels, along with advancing to the US Open and Nitto ATP Finals semi-finals and Paris Masters final.

However, it hasn't been the ideal start to 2026 for the Canadian.

Indeed, Auger-Aliassime went 1-1 during an average United Cup showing for Canada, beating Zhizhen Zhang before going down easily to Zizou Bergs.

Touted as one of the leading contenders to challenge the 'Big 2' at the Australian Open, Auger-Aliassime's tournament was over before it began as he was forced to retire with cramping issues in the first round while trailing Nuno Borges two-sets-to-one.

Stan Wawrinka Form Analysis

2026 Record: 3-5
ATP Montpellier Record: 1-1
Current Ranking: No. 113
Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2014)

ATP Montpellier 2026 Results

Round	Opponent	Score
Round of 32	Hamad Medjedovic	7–6(3), 6–4

Wawrinka has already made significant ground in 2026, climbing more than 40 places in the rankings as he pushes towards a return inside the top 100 (currently No. 104 in the live rankings). Reaching that milestone would reduce his reliance on wildcards as he enters the final chapter of his professional career.

The 40-year-old’s off-season work was evident early, arriving at the new year in strong physical condition and delivering eye-catching performances at the United Cup. Wawrinka recorded a win over Arthur Rinderknech and remained competitive against higher-ranked opponents, taking sets from Hubert Hurkacz, Zizou Bergs and Flavio Cobolli.

That momentum carried into the Australian Open, where the former world No. 3 advanced to the third round with victories over Laslo Djere and Arthur Gea. He then pushed fifth seed Taylor Fritz across four demanding sets, underlining that his level remains high despite the loss.

Wawrinka continued his impressive form in Montpellier, where he upstaged Hamad Medjedovic in straight sets in the opening round. The Swiss became the oldest man since Ken Rosewall (45) in 1980 to win a tour-level match indoors outside of Davis Cup, with Wawrinka winning 24/29 points behind his first serve and saving 4/5 break points.

“I always enjoy. I’m still passionate about the game,” Wawrinka said. "For me, [it] was important to keep pushing myself and trying to win as much as possible.”

Auger-Aliassime vs Wawrinka Live Stream

Watch and bet on Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka live Open Occitanie tennis from Montpellier.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Montpellier with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Stan Wawrinka

Auger-Aliassime has endured a slow start to the year - backing Wawrinka to forced Over 22.5 games, at least one tiebreak and snatch the opening set. Felix in three is the value pick.

Over 22.5

Total Games

$1.90 - 2 Units

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Over 0.5

Total Tiebreaks

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Wawrinka

1st Set Winner

$2.75 - 1 Unit

Use Easyform

The Ultimate Form Guide