Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL Round 24 Tips - Roosters Locked In
The NRL Round 24 clash between the Penrith Panthers and Sydney Roosters is set to be a blockbuster. With Penrith missing key man Isaah Yeo and struggling for form, the expert tip is to back the Roosters on the moneyline and over 20.5 team total, given their seven-game winning streak and high scoring rates. Billy Smith (Roosters) and Brian To'o (Panthers) are strong anytime tryscorer plays, with To'o chasing his 100th career try. This match could shift the minor premiership race.
- Roosters are tipped to win and score over 20.5 points.
- Billy Smith (Roosters) and Brian To'o (Panthers) are top tryscorer picks.
- Penrith missing Isaah Yeo & have lost 4 of last 7; Roosters on a 7-game win streak.
- Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) on Thursday, 13th August at CommBank Stadium
Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters
Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters, Round 24 2026 - Expert Prediction
Sydney Roosters moneyline is the best bet in this top-of-the-table blockbuster, with the Roosters team total over 20.5 also in play. Billy Smith is the tryscorer to follow, while Brian To'o is worth backing to cross for Penrith as he hunts down the 100-try milestone.
- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters, Round 24 2026 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head Stats
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis
- Sydney Roosters Form Analysis
- Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters Team News & Team Lists
- Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24 FAQ’s
The Penrith Panthers are still the benchmark team on the season, but this is not the time to be backing them on reputation. The Panthers have lost 4 of their last 7 games, were beaten 28-12 by the Warriors last week and now lose Isaah Yeo for a month with a pectoral injury.
The Sydney Roosters are on the other side of the form curve. They have won 7 straight, sit level with Penrith on 36 competition points and have closed the gap at the top of the ladder over the past month. This is the game that can flip the minor premiership race.
The earlier meeting was a 40-4 Penrith demolition, but that Roosters side is not the same team that will run out at CommBank Stadium. Daly Cherry-Evans and Sam Walker have had time to settle as a halves pairing, James Tedesco returns at fullback, and the Roosters have averaged 33.4 points across their last 5 games.
Billy Smith has turned into an automatic tryscorer play. He bagged a double against the Bulldogs last week, scoring in the 14th and 67th minutes, and has now crossed in 6 straight games. Brian To'o is the Penrith side of the tryscorer angle, with the winger named on the left edge and needing one more try to reach 100.
Take the Roosters moneyline and Roosters over 20.5 team total. Billy Smith and Brian To'o are the top anytime tryscorer plays.
- The Panthers have lost 4 of their last 7 games and now go into a top-of-the-table game without Isaah Yeo, who is out for a month with a pectoral injury.
- The Roosters have won 7 straight and have averaged 33.4 points across their last 5 games, making over 20.5 team total the cleanest scoring angle.
- Penrith won the Round 3 meeting 40-4, but Sydney have now drawn level on 36 competition points and can take pole position in the minor premiership race with a win.
- Billy Smith scored a double last week and has crossed in 6 straight games, while Brian To'o is chasing the 100-try milestone from his usual wing spot.
Head to Head Stats
Penrith have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 4 of the last 5 against Sydney and smashing the Roosters 40-4 back in Round 3 this season. The Panthers have also won by 28+ points in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
That record matters, but it is not the whole story. The Roosters won the only Penrith home game in that run 38-32 last season, and 3 of the last 5 meetings have cleared 40.5 points. With Sydney averaging 33.4 points across their last 5, the current team total line is not asking too much.
| Panthers Atk Rank | Roosters Def Rank | Stat | Roosters Atk Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Points | 6 | 1 |
| 1 | 2 | Run Mts | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | Linebreaks | 11 | 2 |
| 3 | 15 | Compl % | 10 | 9 |
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis
Penrith were punched in the mouth early in Auckland last week and never really recovered, losing 28-12 to the Warriors. They trailed 18-0 at halftime, with New Zealand holding 56% possession and running for 1008 metres compared with Penrith's 624 metres in the first 40 minutes.
Nathan Cleary sparked a brief fightback with a try and a 40/20 in the second half, and Jaxen Edgar also crossed to drag the margin back to 22-12. The issue was the damage had already been done. Paul Alamoti had a try rubbed out in the 75th minute, then Luke Metcalf scored again to finish the game.
The bigger concern is Yeo. Penrith still have the No. 1 ranked attack for points and Run Mts, but losing their captain, lock and middle organiser changes the way their sets are built. Across their last 5, the Panthers have averaged 25.2 points scored and 18.4 conceded, which is still elite, but the last month has clearly looked shakier than the first half of the season.
Sydney Roosters Form Analysis
The Roosters were nowhere near their cleanest against Canterbury and still found a way to win 20-18. That is the sign of a team with genuine momentum. They trailed 18-8 with 13 minutes to play before Billy Smith scored his second try and Salesi Foketi chased through for the match-winner in the 70th minute.
It was not pretty. Sydney made 12 errors and gave away 6 penalties, but they found the late punch that good teams find. Sam Walker nailed the sideline conversion after Smith's second try and then converted Foketi's try from in front to complete the comeback.
The Roosters have averaged 33.4 points scored and only 14.0 conceded across their last 5 games, and James Tedesco returning at fullback adds another layer to their attack. They rank third in the NRL for Run Mts and third for points allowed, so this is not just a hot attacking streak. They are winning the field position battle and defending well enough to cash in.
Penrith Panthers v Sydney Roosters Team News & Team Lists
Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 24 Team List Article.
Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24 FAQ’s
- How to livestream Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24?
You can livestream the Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
- How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24?
To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters NRL 2026 Round 24 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.
Verdict
Take the Roosters moneyline and Roosters over 20.5 team total. Billy Smith and Brian To'o are the top anytime tryscorer plays.
Sydney Roosters
Moneyline
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