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Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL Round 24 Tips - Phins To Punish Struggling Manly
The Manly Sea Eagles come into Round 24 in disarray, enduring five straight losses and conceding 128 points in their last three matches. In contrast, the Dolphins are surging with three consecutive wins and have locked in their first finals appearance. Expert predictions tip the Dolphins to cover the -10.5 line and score over 30.5 points, capitalizing on Manly's defensive woes. Dolphins' Connelly Lemuelu is highlighted as a strong anytime try scorer pick. Expect the Dolphins to maintain momentum and exploit a struggling Sea Eagles lineup.
- Manly have lost five straight and conceded 128 points in 3 games.
- Dolphins are on a 3-match win streak and have secured a finals spot.
- Prediction: Dolphins to win big, scoring over 30.5 points and covering the -10.5 line.
- Kick-off is at 6:00 PM (AEST) on Friday, 14th August at 4 Pines Park, Sydney.
Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL Round 24 Tips
Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins, Round 24 2026 - Expert Prediction
Manly are in a world of trouble after five straight defeats, while the Dolphins are building towards the finals and look capable of putting another big score on a struggling Sea Eagles defence.
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins, Round 24 2026 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
- Dolphins Form Analysis
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins Team News & Team Lists
- Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24 FAQs
The Sea Eagles’ season has unravelled rapidly. Manly sat third after Round 15 but have now lost five consecutive games, with their finals chances hanging by a thread after conceding 42 unanswered points in last week’s 42-20 defeat to Melbourne.
Their defensive collapse is the biggest concern heading into this matchup. Manly have conceded 128 points across their last three matches, including defeats by 36 points to Cronulla and 22 points to Melbourne.
That makes Dolphins -10.5 the preferred line selection. The Dolphins have already secured their first finals appearance and enter this game having won three straight, including a remarkable 40-32 comeback against Brisbane after trailing 24-0.
The attacking matchup also points towards Dolphins Over 30.5 points. Manly have conceded an average of 42.7 points across their last three games, while the Dolphins rank fourth for points scored and possess enough strike across the park to punish a defence that looks short on confidence.
Connelly Lemuelu Anytime Tryscorer is the player selection. The Dolphins back-rower has scored three tries across his last three games, including a double against Brisbane, and Manly’s recent problems defending their edges should provide another opportunity for him close to the line.
- Manly have lost five consecutive games.
- The Sea Eagles have conceded 128 points across their last three matches.
- Manly’s last two defeats have come by 36 and 22 points.
- The Dolphins have won 11 of their last 13 matches.
- Connelly Lemuelu has scored three tries across his last three games.
Head to Head
Manly have historically controlled this matchup, winning three of the four meetings between the clubs.
The Sea Eagles produced a dominant 52-18 victory at Suncorp Stadium earlier this season and won 58-30 at 4 Pines Park in 2025.
The Dolphins’ only victory over Manly came in a 30-24 result in 2024, meaning they are still searching for their first win over the Sea Eagles at 4 Pines Park.
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
Manly’s season has fallen apart after five consecutive defeats, with their defence deteriorating badly over the past month.
The Sea Eagles have conceded 42 points to Melbourne, 48 to Cronulla and 38 to Gold Coast across their last three matches. That stretch has seen them allow 128 points, and their most recent loss may have been the most concerning of the lot.
Manly raced to a 14-0 lead against Melbourne before conceding 42 consecutive points. After completing almost 85 per cent of their sets through the opening 30 minutes, they completed just 11 of their next 20 and completely lost control of the contest.
Dolphins Form Analysis
The Dolphins have officially booked their first finals appearance and are $10.00 for the Premiership, now having an opportunity to build serious momentum heading towards September.
Their 40-32 win over Brisbane showed both the danger and resilience in this team. The Dolphins fell 24-0 behind inside 24 minutes but fought their way back behind a brilliant Isaiya Katoa performance, with the halfback producing five try assists.
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow and Selwyn Cobbo both crossed twice, while Lemuelu also scored a double as the Dolphins overwhelmed Brisbane with their attacking weapons.
The Dolphins have now won three consecutive games and 11 of their last 13 overall. Their attack sits fourth in the competition for points and second for run metres.
Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins Team News & Team Lists
Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 24 Team List Article.
Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24 FAQs
- How to livestream Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24?
You can livestream the Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside Australia, the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
- How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24?
To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Dolphins NRL 2026 Round 24 game, check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.
Verdict
Dolphins run away here, scoring over 30.5 points and covering as 10.5 point favourites with Connelly Lemuelu the value try scorer.
Dolphins -10.5
Handicap/Line
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Dolphins Over 30.5
Team Total
$1.91 - 2 Units
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Connelly Lemuelu
Anytime Tryscorer
$4.50 - 1 Unit
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Connelly Lemuelu
First Tryscorer
$34.00 - 1 Unit
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK
The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.
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