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Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL Round 9 Tips - Broncs to bust up Panthers in Magic Round

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Fri 02 May 2025 06:43

Ryan Tucker 02 May 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 9 NRL game
Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
Broncos predicted to end 6-game losing streak against Panthers.
Panthers' defence ranks low in the league with recent struggles.
Brisbane's strong form and offensive plays make them favorites.

Broncos set to control tempo!

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Broncos will break their 6 game losing streak against the Panthers in front of a raucous home crowd on the final day of Magic Round this Sunday.

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos, Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

This handicap is more based on the deficiencies of the Panthers rather than the efficiencies of the Broncos but everything plays a part. Penrith’s once stellar defensive structure has been blown to bits this season. They rank 13th in Opposition Linebreaks and have allowed their opposition to score 22 or more points in 7 of their 8 games played so far this season.

As researched by RugbyLeagueEyeTest the Panthers have had a “monumental collapse in their defence that isn’t just tied to field position, it is a result of mental errors, low cohesion and an overall lack of effort”. They are conceding more tries from set restarts that in previous years and opposition field position has barely changed this year compared to marks through their dynasty era.

Brisbane are on a roll at the moment, their forwards are making metres, the halves are clicking and steering the play at will, the backs are solid in attack and defence and the fitness has been lifted from previous years.

Expect this game to produce some fireworks, as it usually does, with Brisbane to take the choccies off the back of hard running, silky ballwork and stamina. Penrith’s defence will not be able to cope.

Broncos to cover with the Game Total going Over. The Panthers have allowed a try to centres in all but 1 game this season, take Gehamat Shibasaki to cross for a meat pie in this one!

The Broncos average 28.4 points per game, the Panthers have allowed opponents to score 22 or more points in 7 of 8 games.
Brisbane are 3rd in the league in Linebreaks, Penrith’s defence ranks 13th.
Brisbane have scored first in 5 of their last 6 games this season.
Gehamat Shibasaki has scored 5 tries in 4 games this season including 1 as first tryscorer.

Head to Head

The 2023 Grand Finalists have met in 9 regular season games and 1 Grand Final since the beginning of the 2019 season. Penrith have won 4 straight matchups including the premiership in 23 with Brisbane’s last victory coming in August of 2019.

Penrith hold a 7-2 record in regular season games in that time span with the Game Totals overwhelmingly staying under (7-2). 6 of 9 games have finished with win margins of 1-12 points.

The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 regular season games, all as favourites.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	1-4

2019 was the last time the Panthers found themselves on the bottom of the competition ladder which was also the last time they didn’t make the finals (or a Grand Final).

After picking up a win against the Roosters with a dominant attacking display in Round 7 they were once again on the losing end of a game against the Sea Eagles last weekend going down 26-10.

The Panthers missed 38 tackles, allowed 1473 Run Metres as well as 4 tries on 26 opposition tackles inside 20m. Their once elite defence has been well and truly decimated while the attack is sputtering at best.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-5	4-4	1-4	1-2

Penrith Panthers Team News

Luke Garner has been named in the centre position with Casey McLean going to the reserves. Thomas Jenkins takes the wing spot vacated by McLean.

Brad Schneider is replaced in the utility role by Trent Toelau as Ivan Cleary searches for answers in attack. Scott Sorensen failed to have his judiciary charge downgraded and will miss three weeks. A replacement is yet to be named.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Paul Alamoti

3. Izack Tago

4. Luke Garner

5. Thomas Jenkins

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Luke Sommerton

10. Liam Henry

11. Scott Sorensen

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaah Yeo

Interchange

14. Trent Toelau

15. Isaiah Papali'i

16. Lindsay Smith

17. Mavrik Geyer

Reserves

18. Daine Laurie

19. Luron Patea

20. Casey McLean

21. Billy Scott

22. Jack Cole

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	2-3

The Broncos handed the Bulldogs their first loss of the season last weekend, scoring in just the 2nd minute after their opposition dropped the ball and going into the halftime break with a 34-0 lead.

They could be forgiven for coming out a little cocky in the 2nd half given their total domination in the early proceedings and the game was never in doubt but they allowed the Dogs to dictate terms throughout the second stanza with Canterbury scoring 3 tries to 1.

Brisbane’s attack has been somewhat inconsistent, they score 36.8 pts per game in the matchups they win but just 18.6 in the games they lose. A lot of their success hinges on their forwards making barnstorming runs up the middle, creating space for the backline to work their magic.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
3-5	4-4	2-3	3-0

Brisbane Broncos Team News

Adam Reynolds has been named despite picking up a shoulder injury last week in the win over the Bulldogs.

Jordan Riki withdrew late from the game last week but has been named to start here. Brendan Piakura drops back to the bench and Tyson Smoothy reverts to the reserves.

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Selwyn Cobbo

2. Deine Mariner

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ben Hunt

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Patrick Carrigan

9. Billy Walters

10. Payne Haas

11. Xavier Willison

12. Jordan Riki

13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange

14. Cory Paix

15. Corey Jensen

16. Brendan Piakura

17. Jaiyden Hunt

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Martin Taupau

20. Josiah Karapani

21. Jock Madden

22. Ben Te Kura

Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos NRL 2025 Round 9 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Brisbane Broncos

Broncos to cover with the Game Total going Over. The Panthers have allowed a try to centres in all but 1 game this season, take Gehamat Shibasaki to cross for a meat pie in this one!

Brisbane -4.5

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