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New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Tips - Cows set for fifth straight win

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 01 May 2025 09:11

Andrew Hendrie 01 May 2025

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New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 9 game
Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at Suncorp Stadium
Cowboys backed for a fifth consecutive victory
Jeremiah Nanai is back in red-hot form & coming off a double last week vs Titans
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Tips

New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys, NRL Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction

Two of the form sides in the competition look to work their magic and continue their surge up the ladder as the Warriors and Cowboys collide in what is shaping as a cracking contest on Saturday at Suncorp.

New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys, NRL Round 9 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
New Zealand Warriors Team News
New Zealand Warriors Team List
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
North Queensland Cowboys Team List

After a shocking start to the season in Vegas, the Warriors have been one of the surprise teams in the NRL, winning five of their last six games and losing only to the Storm, while the Cowboys have also put a slow start behind them, coming into this encounter on the back of a four-game winning streak.

I'm backing an entertaining and open affair here, with the Cowboys coming away with the two points. Todd Payten's side dropped 50 points on the Titans last week, with their attack starting to click. The Warriors are looking dangerous too, so I think this game total will exceed 47 points, but for me, the Cowboys have been playing the slightly better football over the last month. The Warriors' poor showing on the road to Melbourne a couple of weeks ago is still fresh in my memory.

Meanwhile, after being dropped to reserve grade earlier in the season, Jeremiah Nanai has come back with renewed fire in the belly. Nanai was always one of the most dangerous second-rowers in game over the last few years and he's returned to his blistering best, scoring a double last week against the Titans. I think he can cross again at a venue where he's enjoyed success at in the past.

Cowboys are on a four-game winning streak
Cowboys scored 50 points vs Titans last week
Cowboys have seen Over 47.5 points in four of their seven games this season
Warriors have seen Over 47.5 points in two of their last four games
Jeremiah Nanai scored two tries last week vs Titans & has scored seven tries from his last seven appearances at Suncorp

Head To Head

It's been the Warriors who have had the wood over the Cowboys in recent times, winning the last three meetings between the teams, including a dominant 42-12 victory in Round 14 last year.

New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	2-3

I confess I thought the Warriors were genuine wooden spoon contenders after their poor showing in Vegas to start the season, losing heavily to the Raiders - who have since gone on to impress themselves.

To their credit, Luke Metcalf and Chanel Harris-Tavita have stepped up in the halves and guided the Warriors to five wins from their last six games.

Surging into the top four as a result, the Warriors are coming off a comfortable 26-12 home victory over the Knights last week, with Adam Pompey and Jackson Ford scoring doubles.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
5-2	3-4	3-0	2-2

New Zealand Warriors Team News

Just the one change to the Warriors squad that defeated Newcastle last week, with Te Maire Martin coming onto the interchange for Jacob Laban, who has been placed in concussion protocols.

New Zealand Warriors Team List

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

2. Taine Tuaupiki

3. Rocco Berry

4. Ali Leiataua

5. Adam Pompey

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Luke Metcalf

8. Marata Niukore

9. Wayde Egan

10. Mitchell Barnett

11. Kurt Capewell

12. Leka Halasima

13. Erin Clark

Interchange

14. Te Maire Martin

15. Jackson Ford

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Bunty Afoa

Reserves

18. Tanner Stowers-Smith

20. Samuel Healey

21. Tanah Boyd

22. Eddie Ieremia

23. Edward Kosi

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	5-0	2-3

The Cowboys were also looking like finishing closer to the bottom of the table than the top after losing their opening three games of the season, with Todd Payten under early pressure to get the best out of his under-performing side.

Payten swung the axe on some key figures and it's worked a charm, with the Cowboys bouncing back strongly and putting together a current four-game winning run.

It all started with a 30-20 home win over the in-form Raiders before victories on the road against the Panthers and Rabbitohs. The Cows then obliterated the Titans 50-18 last week, scoring the last seven tries of the match as Robert Derby crossed for a hat-trick, Jeremiah Nanai scored a double and Jaxon Purdue made it six tries from his last six games.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
5-2	3-4	3-1	1-2

North Queensland Cowboys Team News

Settled squad for the Cowboys, with no changes to the team that hammered Gold Coast last week.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List

1. Scott Drinkwater

2. Robert Derby

3. Jaxon Purdue

4. Viliami Vailea

5. Murray Taulagi

6. Tom Dearden

7. Jake Clifford

8. Jordan McLean

9. Reece Robson

10. Jason Taumalolo

11. John Bateman

12. Jeremiah Nanai

13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange

14. Sam McIntyre

15. Harrison Edwards

16. Griffin Neame

17. Coen Hess

Reserves

18. Zac Laybutt

19. Karl Lawton

20. Kai O’Donnell

21. Kaiden Lahrs

22. Thomas Mikaele

Verdict

New Zealand Warriors v North Queensland Cowboys

The Cowboys are backed to win a fifth consecutive game in a high-scoring affair, with Jeremiah Nanai to pick up from where he left off last week and score an eighth try in eight games at Suncorp.

Cowboys Win

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