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Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders NRL Tips - Raiders to grind out another win in Darwin
- Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 6 game
- Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at TIO Stadium
- Ten of Canberra's last 12 wins have been by a 1-12 margin - another tight game tipped
- Eels continue to struggle for points without Mitch Moses - Under 19.5 team points is the play
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
Eels misery to continue - top picks!
Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Raiders will pile more misery on the Eels in Darwin, but as is often the case with the Green Machine, it could turn into a big battle.
- Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Parramatta Eels Team News
- Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Canberra Raiders Team News
- Canberra Raiders Team List
Ricky Stuart's side have started the season in encouraging fashion, winning three of their five games and coming into this clash with their confidence sky-high following a thrilling last-minute victory over the Sharks in the nation's capital last week.
Canberra are a funny side - they love the grind, their forwards are often try magnets and they rely heavily on Jamal Fogarty's kicking game. Very rarely do they blow sides off the park - case in point, 10 of their last 12 wins dating back to last season have been by a 1-12 margin. They simply don't have the consistent ability to dominate teams, but when you excel at closing out tight contests, it doesn't matter.
With this in mind, I'm backing the Green Machine to register another 1-12 victory here, with two of the Eels' last three games seeing a 1-12 margin (and the other miss was 14 points). I also think the Eels will once again struggle to score points - they desperately need Mitch Moses back on deck and have failed to score 19+ points in four of their five games this season.
I was tempted to go a forward for the Raiders' Anytime Tryscorer (Hudson Young & Matty Nicholson are both good shouts), but with the Eels repeatedly conceding at least one try to their opposing right winger, I'm jumping on Savelio Tamale to cross for a four-pointer.
- Raiders have won the last two meetings
- Eels have lost four of their five games this season
- Ten of Raiders' last 12 wins have been by a 1-12 margin
- Eels have seen a 1-12 margin in two of their last three games
- Eels have scored Under 19.5 points in four of their five games this season
- Savelio Tamale has scored a try in two of his last four games
- Eels have conceded a try to their opposing right winger in 12 of their last 13 games
Head To Head
Canberra have defeated the Eels in each of the last two seasons, including a crushing 41-8 triumph in Round 5 last year as Matt Timoko scored a double.
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
I don't like calling any side a one-man team, but the Eels simply aren't a top eight team without Mitch Moses. In fact, right now they are a wooden spoon side, with Parramatta currently anchored to the bottom of the ladder, despite registering their first win of the season last week.
It was a gutsy win for the Eels as Jason Ryles finally secured his first NRL win as head coach, with his side coming from 12 points down to emerge 23-22 winners in Golden Point.
Zac Lomax was the hero for Parramatta, kicking the winning field goal with a fractured foot, while Isaiah Iongi was also electric at fullback, making 222 metres from 23 runs. Dylan Brown also had his best game of the seaso, finally taking the line on with 19 runs for 164 metres.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
Parramatta Eels Team News
Big blow for the Eels, with Lomax set to miss the next six weeks with his foot injury. Bailey Simonsson and Joash Papalii are a chance to come onto the wing, with Sean Russell moving to centre. Ryley Smith will start at hooker.
1. Isaiah Iongi
2. Josh Addo-Carr
3. Viliami Penisini
4. Sean Russell
5. TBC
6. Dylan Brown
7. Dean Hawkins
8. Joe Ofahengaue
9. Ryley Smith
10. Junior Paulo
11. Shaun Lane
12. Kitione Kautoga
13. J’maine Hopgood
Interchange
14. Dylan Walker
15. Luca Moretti
16. Charlie Guymer
17. Sam Tuivaiti
Reserves
18. Joash Papali’i
19. Dan Keir 20.
Bailey Simonsson
21. Ronald Volkman
22. Ryan Matterson
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
You don't know quite what you're going to get from the Raiders each week, but they have a positive 3-2 record on the season and remain capable of challenging most teams in the competition on their day.
It was an explosive start to the season for Canberra, dismantling the Warriors in Vegas before upsetting Brisbane at home.
Ricky Stuart's side conceded 70 combined points in back-to-back defeats against the Sea Eagles and Cowboys on the road, but returned to the winners circle with a pulsating 24-20 victory over Cronulla last week.
The Raiders put on an outstanding final play of the game, with an Xavier Savage kick setting up Seb Kris to score the match-winning try after initial brilliant lead-up play from Hudson Young.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
Canberra Raiders Team News
No changes to the Raiders side that toppled Cronulla last week.
Canberra Raiders Team List
1. Kaeo Weekes
2. Savelio Tamale
3. Matthew Timoko
4. Sebastian Kris
5. Xavier Savage
6. Ethan Strange
7. Jamal Fogarty
8. Josh Papali’i
9. Tom Starling
10. Joseph Tapine
11. Hudson Young
12. Matt Nicholson
13. Corey Horsburgh
Interchange
14. Owen Pattie
15. Simi Sasagi
16. Morgan Smithies
17. Ata Mariota
Reserves
18. Trey Mooney
19. Jed Stuart
20. Adam Cook
21. Pasami Saulo
22. Danny Levi
Verdict
I'm backing the Raiders to prevail by a 1-12 margin, restricting the Eels to Under 19.5 team points in the process.
Opposition right wingers have enjoyed huge success against Parra, so tipping Savelio Tamale in for a meat pie.
Raiders 1-12
Margin
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