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Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL Tips - Tight Tussle on Thursday night
- Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 6 NRL game
- Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
- Dolphins vs Panthers set for a close Round 6 clash, likely ending with a 1-12 margin.
- Dylan Edwards' return strengthens Penrith's defence and attack potential.
All trends pointing to a close one.
Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
Is the dynasty over, maybe, but don’t put a line through the Panthers yet. Well not until the end of Round 6. Panthers’ games have been tight affairs and their match against the Dolphins will be the same. I am not prepared to write off Penrith and will sit on the fence with either team 1-12 on Thursday night at Suncorp.
- Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers, Round 6 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Dolphins Team News
- Dolphins Team List
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Penrith Panthers Team News
- Penrith Panthers Team List
- Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s
The return of Dylan Edwards will boost Penrith in many ways with his importance to the club magnified while he has been on the sidelines. The Penrith No. 1 will improve the ability to link the edges with their halves which will see them be more of a threat in attack.
However, Edwards biggest importance is in defence, which is where the Panthers have been lacking most in 2025. With a more organised defensive line, expect Penrith to be better.
The Dolphins finally got their fins up in 2025 against the Titans and will take some moment into this contest. The previous two encounters between these two sides points to a close contest which also puts weight on the 1-12 margin.
Penrith have been soft on their right edge and Jack Bostock and Herbie Farnworth are one of the more dangerous combinations in the NRL when they get going.
- Both matches between the Dolphins and the Panthers have been decided by a 1-12 margin
- All 5 Penrith matches have ended with a 1-12 margin
- All 5 Dolphins games and the last 2 Panthers games have resulted in a game total that has hit the under.
- The right side defence of the Panthers gave up three tries last week against the Cowboys.
Head to Head
The Panthers and Dolphins have played once in each of the first two seasons of the Queensland side with Penrith getting up in both instances.
The matches have been in reach for the Dolphins with both finishing within a 1-12 margin and last season’s Round 20 encounter being decided by some Nathan Cleary magic with a 2-point field goal with the end result going to the Panthers 26-24 in golden-point.
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
The Dolphins got their first win under coach Kristian Woolf, finally unlocking their attack with Hamiso Tabia-Fidow scoring the first try of the game and his first meat pie of the season against the Gold Coast last weekend.
Two tries in the first half, followed by another three 4-pointers in the second half saw the Dolphins beat the Titans 36-10. The Gold Coast certainly did everything to hand the game to their QLD rivals, however, the Dolphins took the chances given to them and also looked much more aligned defensively.
The win broke their four-game losing streak to start the year and was done so with a flourishing chemistry between Kodi Nikorima and Isaiya Katoa who finally clicked and unleashed a more dangerous attack. The Dolphins made 5 linebreaks in the match which is two more than they averaged in the first four games of the year and scored over 18 points for the first time this season.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 |
Dolphins Team News
Tom Gilbert comes straight back into the side on the edge with Max Plath retaining his spot at lock.
Felise Kaufusi will start in the front row with Mark Nicholls on the bench.
Dolphins Team List
1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Daniel Saifiti
9. Jeremy Marshall-King
10. Felise Kaufusi
11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
12. Tom Gilbert
13. Max Plath
Interchange
14. Kurt Donoghoe
15. Mark Nicholls
16. Connelly Lemuelu
17. Josh Kerr
Reserves
18. Sean O'Sullivan
19. Kenny Bromwich
20. Oryn Keeley
21. Max Feagai
22. Junior Tupou
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
Alarm bells are starting to ring in Penrith after losing their fourth straight match, for the first time since dropping 6 consecutive matches between rounds 5-10 in the 2019 season. The 2019 season was the last season that the Panthers did not make the finals or play in the Grand Final for that matter.
The 2019 season was also the last time the Panthers conceded 20 points or more in 4 consecutive matches and is where Penrith’s problems lie to start the 2025 season.
The Panthers are a mid-range team in key defensive stats, however it is opposition possession and linebreaks that are hurting them most. The Panthers rank 10th with 52.4% of possession going to their opponents and averaging 5 linebreaks against per game which is 11th in the NRL.
It is not time to write off the Panthers just yet, but another loss could cause some sort of shake up.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Penrith Panthers Team News
Dylan Edwards returns from his groin injury and replaces Daine Laurie at fullback. Laurie will play as 18th man with Casey McLean keeping his spot on the wing.
Blaize Talagi will replace Jack Cole at five-eight after suffering a concussion. Luke Sommerton will be the starting hooker with Mitch Kenny out with a shoulder injury.
Scott Sorensen returns to the back row with Isaiah Papali’i starting off the bench.
Penrith Panthers Team List
1. Dylan Edwards
2. Paul Alamoti
3. Izack Tago
4. Thomas Jenkins
5. Casey McLean
6. Blaize Talagi
7. Nathan Cleary
8. Moses Leota
9. Luke Sommerton
10. Lindsay Smith
11. Scott Sorensen
12. Liam Martin
13. Isaah Yeo
Interchange
14. Brad Schneider
15. Isaiah Papali'i
16. Liam Henry
17. Luke Garner
Reserves
18. Daine Laurie
19. Matthew Eisenhuth
20. Trent Toelau
21. Mavrik Geyer
22. Jesse McLean
Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6 FAQ’s
How to watch Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6?
You can watch the Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6?
To buy tickets to the Dolphins vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 6 game check the NRL website or the official Dolphins site.
Verdict
This game is going to be a tough affair and will end with a 1-12 margin to either team. The Dolphins have only played in games that have hit the under this season and their match against Penrith will be no different.
Jack Bostock will be dangerous for the Phins and will cross for a try.
Jack Bostock will be dangerous for the Phins and will cross for a try.
Either Team
1-12 Winning Margin
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