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NRL Finals Week 2 Margin Tips 2026: Best 1-12 or 13+ Predictions

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026 10:19

NRL Finals Week 2 delivers two blockbuster semi-finals: Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks and New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights. Experts tip both matches to remain closely contested, predicting the Roosters and Warriors will each win by a 1-12 points margin. Analysis highlights each team’s recent form, head-to-head records, and defensive prowess, giving the Roosters and Warriors the slight edge. Bettors are recommended to back these margins for strong value in this decisive stage of the competition.

Jeremy Darke 3 hours ago
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  • Sydney Roosters tipped to beat Cronulla Sharks by 1-12 points
  • New Zealand Warriors predicted to edge out Newcastle Knights by 1-12 points
  • Both matches expected to be tight, with home teams having the advantage
James Tedesco
NRL Finals Week 2 Margin Tips: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions (Photo by Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images)

NRL Finals Week 2 Margin Tips: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions


The NRL Finals move into Week 2 with two sudden-death semi-finals as the Sydney Roosters host Cronulla before the New Zealand Warriors get another chance at home against Newcastle.

Both games have the potential to stay close deep into the second half, and we're backing the Roosters and Warriors to survive and book their places in the preliminary finals.

Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks

Tip: Sydney Roosters 1-12
Sydney Roosters1-12 Winning MarginBet Here $2.90
The BetRaven referral code is bets500. 18+. T&Cs apply.

The Roosters have already beaten Cronulla twice this season and have now won eight of the last 12 meetings between the teams. 

Their defence also stood up extremely well against Penrith last week, keeping the Panthers to 19 points despite another difficult night with the ball. Cronulla got past North Queensland 26-16, but the Cowboys made 15 errors and still had opportunities to keep the game close. 

The Sharks have conceded 24.6 points per game this season, and the Roosters should create enough chances to punish them. Expect another tight finals contest, but Sydney have the edge and can make it three wins over Cronulla this year.

New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights

Tip: New Zealand Warriors 1-12
New Zealand Warriors1-12 Winning MarginBet Here $2.90
The dabble.com.au referral code is BETSAU. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Newcastle deserve plenty of respect after completely upsetting the script against South Sydney, with Kalyn Ponga outstanding as the Knights produced a 20-10 elimination-final win despite their injury problems. The Warriors present a much tougher assignment in Auckland. 

New Zealand have won the last four meetings with Newcastle, including both clashes in 2026 by 14 points or more, and the Knights haven't beaten them in New Zealand since 2019. 

The Warriors will also be desperate to respond after surrendering a 16-8 lead against the Dolphins last week. Newcastle's confidence should keep this competitive, but the Warriors at home are the pick to grind out a 1-12 victory.

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