The return of night racing adds another dimension to the Sydney calendar, with a mix of maiden contests and benchmark handicaps providing plenty of betting interest across the evening.
Canterbury Tips November 13
Ooshman Plate Tips (Race 3)
Canterbury Roughie - Race 3 No. 7 Arantu
A well-bred mare from the Jason Deamer stable, Arantu is from the same family as Group 1 winner Takedown, and there was enough encouragement in her debut performance to suggest she can make considerable improvement with race experience.
The four-year-old never looked a winning chance over 1300m at Hawkesbury on October 27, settling back in the field before hitting a flat spot and finding herself in a seemingly impossible position when the sprint went on.
Despite racing waywardly in the straight, Arantu picked up strongly over the concluding stages to record the fastest closing sectionals of the race, including the second-fastest final 200m of the entire program.
That performance suggests she will benefit significantly from her first race-day experience, while the rise to 1550m looks ideal for a mare who was doing her best work late, with the booking of Tim Clark another positive.
Canterbury has been a happy hunting ground for Clark, whose 15 winners at the circuit over the past 12 months have come at a strike rate approaching 28% and an ROI exceeding 7%, and with an each-way price available in a maiden lacking a clear standout, Arantu is worth considering at longer odds.
Char'd Charcoal Chicken Handicap Tips (Race 4)
Canterbury Best Bet - Race 4 No. 3 Koolibah
An interrupted preparation may explain the circumstances surrounding Koolibah's recent performances, with the Chris Waller-trained mare producing an eye-catching runner-up effort over 1550m at Randwick Kensington on September 9 before a seven-week gap between races.
A modest trial on October 19 was her only public appearance during that break before stepping straight up to 2000m at Randwick on October 31, where she produced a solid third placing, although was conceding weight to the quinella.
That BM78 was won by a handy Columbus, who had the advantage of race fitness, while runner-up Bestower had been competitive at Listed level during winter and was dropping in grade following a BM88 return.
There was further depth to that contest through fifth-placed Think Itz You, who had arrived off consecutive victories, and Koolibah now benefits from a significant class drop into BM72 company with that ten-furlong performance providing a stronger fitness platform.
James McDonald takes the reins for the first time since partnering Koolibah to victory in April, which followed a 2070m success in Brisbane, and although the wide barrier in a small field could present tactical complications, the mare has the versatility to settle forward or back and should prove very hard to beat with any improvement on her latest showing.
Kerbside Handicap Tips (Race 6)
Canterbury Value Bet - Race 6 No. 3 Royal Commodore
Matthew Dunn and Nash Rawiller have developed an excellent association over several seasons, and over the last 12 months, they've combined for ten winners at a strike rate exceeding 30%, while their five successes from 13 runners this season represent an impressive 38.5% strike rate.
Rawiller reunites with Royal Commodore, a lightly raced five-year-old who has assembled a strong record of five wins and three placings from 13 appearances, although circumstances have conspired against him in both runs this preparation.
The gelding covered ground before weakening late in a BM78 return at Rosehill when well supported in betting, then again attracted market interest second-up in Brisbane, where he raced wide throughout on Heavy 10 ground but stuck to his task admirably to finish just two lengths from the winner.
Barrier one finally provides the opportunity for a more economical passage, while his ability to handle both good and soft ground is another positive, and he showed last preparation that he can hold his form deeper into a campaign with a third-up victory at Doomben followed by another success at the Sunshine Coast the following month.
The market has concentrated heavily on Hezdarnhottoo, who is well placed and has always trialled strongly but can be difficult to catch, leaving Royal Commodore with an appealing opportunity at the available price given his improving fitness, favourable draw and the strength of the Dunn-Rawiller combination.
Metro Petroleum Handicap Tips (Race 8)
Canterbury Next Best Bet - Race 8 No. 2 Beneath The Rock
Kris Lees prepared the talented Invincible Gem, a three-time Group winner and older half-sister to Beneath The Rock, and the four-year-old mare looks to have inherited her own share of ability after making an encouraging start to her career.
She should have finished closer in a strong maiden during the Scone Carnival in May before landing the cash for us at an attractive each-way price at Warwick Farm on June 3, then returned from a spell to comfortably account for BM64 opposition at the provincials on October 3.
Although defeated as a drifting favourite when rising to BM72 level at Warwick Farm last start, Beneath The Rock had to work from a wide barrier and was far from disgraced behind the talented You're Not The King, who enjoyed a perfect passage in behind before completing a hat-trick and subsequently franked the form with a strong victory at Flemington on Oaks Day.
The depth of that Warwick Farm race has been further highlighted by runner-up Bryant placing in another BM72 at the same circuit on Wednesday, while fifth-placed Regal Problem subsequently finished in the placings in a Randwick BM78 and sixth-placed Nitro was runner-up to the smart Horseshoe Hill at Rosehill last Saturday.
Those subsequent results provide compelling evidence of the strength of Beneath The Rock's latest form, and with the mare now back against her own sex, drawing more favourably and expected to appreciate the benefit of two runs this preparation, she looks very well placed third-up.