2025 NRL Round 15

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North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL Tips - Phins' blistering attack to conquer struggling Cows

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: 12 Jun 2025

Andrew Hendrie 12 Jun 2025

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North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 15 game
Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
Dolphins have won three of their last four games, including a 56-6 blitz of the Dragons last week
Cowboys have just one win in their last five games
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins NRL Tips

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins, NRL Round 15 - Expert Prediction

It'll be Phins Up in Townsville as the Cowboys succumb to another attacking onslaught from the Dolphins in a high-scoring affair on Saturday night.

North Queensland Cowboys vs Dolphins, NRL Round 15 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
North Queensland Cowboys Team List
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Dolphins Team News
Dolphins Team List

The Dolphins have been on fire over the last month or so, coming into this clash with six wins from their last nine games - including a last-start 56-6 demolition of the Dragons.

Herbie Farnworth scored the first and last try to continue his sensational run of form, while fellow backs Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow and Jamayne Isaako also crossed for doubles. The Dolphins will now look to continue their blistering form by improving to 3-0 over the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.

North Queensland continue to run hot and cold this season - they lost their opening three games of the season, went on a four-game winning streak and have now tasted victory just once in their last five outings. Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games lately, so the Dolphins to secure another victory in an entertaining clash are the main plays for Saturday night.

Dolphins have won six of their last nine games
Dolphins are coming off a 56-6 thumping of the Dragons last week
Dolphins have won both previous meetings vs Cowboys in Townsville
Cowboys have won just one of their last five games
Five of the Dolphins' six wins in 2025 have covered a -5.5 line
Five of the Cowboys' six defeats in 2025 have failed to cover a +5.5 line
Dolphins have seen Over 49.5 points in five of their last seven games
Cowboys have seen Over 49.5 points in five of their last six games
Three of the four previous meetings have seen Over 49.5 points
Herbie Farnworth has scored at least one try in his last seven games

Head To Head

The four previous encounters have been split at two wins apiece, with the away team prevailing in all four. The Dolphins came away with a narrow 28-26 victory in the most-recent clash in Round 9 last year, with Valentine Holmes and Scott Drinkwater missing a conversion attempt and penalty goal in the 79th and 80th minutes in a bid to send the game into golden point.

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	4-1

It's been a wildly inconsistent season for the Cowboys and coach Todd Payten gave his team an almighty spray following last week's 38-14 defeat on the road to Melbourne.

The Cowboys went on a four-game winning streak the last time Payten swung the axe, but I'm not sure if lightning can strike twice in that regard.

When they get it right, the Cowboys can beat any team in the competition, but their defence remains a liability and that area of their game continues to let them down.

Even in their one win over the last month, the Cowboys were almost chased down by an embattled Tigers side at home, so there's a big of soul-searching to be done in Townsville.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-6	7-5	4-2	1-4

North Queensland Cowboys Team News

Tom Dearden, Reuben Cotter, Reece Robson and Jeremiah Nanai are all out due to Origin, while John Bateman and Viliami Vailea are both suspended.

Murray Taulagi (calf), Kai O'Donnell (back) and Jason Taumalolo (calf) return from injury, while Braidon Burns, Jake Clifford, Thomas Mikaele and debutant Kaiden Lahrs come into the side.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List

1. Scott Drinkwater

2. Robert Derby

3. Zac Laybutt

4. Braidon Burns

5. Murray Taulagi

6. Jaxon Purdue

7. Jake Clifford

8. Jordan McLean

9. Karl Lawton

10. Coen Hess

11. Sam McIntyre

12. Kai O’Donnell

13. Jason Taumalolo

Interchange

14. Harrison Edwards

15. Thomas Mikaele

16. Griffin Neame

17. Kaiden Lahrs

Reserves

18. Thomas Duffy

19. Semi Valemei

20. Jaxson Paulo

21. Marly Bitungane

22. Mason Kira

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	3-2

After a slow start to the season in which they lost their opening four games, the Dolphins have exploded to transform into one of the form teams in the competition.

Indeed, the Dolphins have now scored the third-most points in the NRL behind the Storm and Raiders, coming into this clash with three wins from their last four to climb into the top eight.

The Phins have scored exactly 100 points in their last two outings, upsetting the table-topping Bulldogs 44-8 in torrential rain before the bye and last week's 56-6 humiliation of the Dragons.

Isaiya Katoa continues to cement himself as one of the game's rising stars and the halfback will be keen to orchestrate another try-a-thon against a depleted Cowboys side here.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
8-5	5-8	1-6	5-1

Dolphins Team News

Jake Averillo moves to fullback and Max Feagai comes into the centres with Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow away on Origin duty for Queensland. Ray Stone is also back on the bench to replace the injured Max Plath.

Dolphins Team List

1. Jake Averillo

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Max Feagai

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Jack Bostock

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Francis Molo

9. Jeremy Marshall-King

10. Felise Kaufusi

11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki

12. Oryn Keeley

13. Kurt Donoghoe

Interchange

14. Ray Stone

15. Connelly Lemuelu

16. Mark Nicholls

17. Josh Kerr

Reserves

18. Sean O’Sullivan

19. Aublix Tawha

20. Harrison Graham

21. Tevita Naufahu

22. Junior Tupou

Verdict

North Queensland Cowboys v Dolphins

Expect plenty of points and another Dolphins win against a Cowboys players missing six of their regular starters.

Herbie Farnworth has been on fire and can cross for an eighth straight game.

Dolphins -5.5

Line

$1.90 - 3 Units

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