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Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters NRL Tips - Roosters to continue dominant record over Knights

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu. 12 Jun. 2025 15:56

Andrew Hendrie 12 Jun. 2025

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Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 15 game
Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at McDonald Jones Stadium
Roosters have won 17 of their last 20 games vs Knights & covered a -5.5 line in all of their wins this season
Daniel Tupou has scored 13 tries in his last 14 games against the Knights
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters NRL Tips

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters, NRL Round 15 - Expert Prediction

Despite missing several stars to Origin, the Roosters can continue their dominant recent record over the lowly Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium on Saturday night.

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters, NRL Round 15 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Newcastle Knights Team News
Newcastle Knights Team List
Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Sydney Roosters Team News
Sydney Roosters Team List

The Roosters have navigated the Origin period very well lately - they've won eight of their last 13 such games, including a dominant 42-16 victory over the Sharks (who were full strength) back in Round 12.

Couple that with a strong record over the Knights and I think the Roosters are primed to pick up the two points here. The Chooks have won 17 of their last 20 meetings with Newcastle and I'm going to need to see a lot more from the Knights before I read too much into their incredible comeback triumph over Manly last week.

Once again, the Knights were kept scoreless in the opening half (that's happened in three of their last four games) and while they deserve credit for digging in and responding to the half-time boos from the home crowd, Manly are prone to concentration lapses and collapses, so we'll see what happens over the next month or so. But right now, the Roosters have proven to be a much superior side throughout 2025 - and also look for Daniel Tupou to continue his prolific try-scoring form against Newcastle.

Roosters have won 17 of the last 20 meetings between the teams
Roosters have won eight of their last 13 games during the Origin period
Knights have been kept to nil in the 1st half in three of their last four games
All five of the Roosters' wins in 2025 have covered a -5.5 line
Seven of the Knights' eight defeats in 2025 have failed to cover a +5.5 line
Daniel Tupou has scored 13 tries in his last 14 games vs Knights & has three tries in his last two games

Head To Head

As mentioned, the Roosters have absolutely dominated the Knights over the last decade or so, winning 17 of the last 20 encounters - although their most-recent clash in Round 6 last year was a close one, with Trent Robinson's side edging it 22-20.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

The Knights have been a tough watch all season, but at least they've given their fans something to cheer about over the last few weeks.

After losing seven of eight matches, the Knights have now won two of their last three - including last week's memorable 26-24 comeback victory in golden point against Manly at home.

Newcastle were trailing 16-0 at halftime amid a chorus of boos at McDonald Jones Stadium, but four second-half tries - including another double to Fletcher Sharpe - saw them draw level before Kalyn Ponga crossed for the match-winner in extra-time.

With that win and the close nature of the competition this season, the Knights are incredibly just two points adrift of the top eight.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-9	2-11	2-1	3-7

Newcastle Knights Team News

Ponga is out on Origin duty, which means Sharpe moves to fullback and Jackson Hastings finally gets a call-up for his first game of the season in the halves.

Mat Croker starts at prop in place of Tyson Frizell (concussion), with Matt Arthur joining the bench.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Fletcher Sharpe

2. James Schiller

3. Dane Gagai

4. Fletcher Hunt

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Jackson Hastings

7. Jack Cogger

8. Mathew Croker

9. Jayden Brailey

10. Brodie Jones

11. Dylan Lucas

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Phoenix Crossland

Interchange

14. Matthew Arthur

15. Thomas Cant

16. Jermaine McEwen

17. Elijah Leaumoana

Reserves

18. Kyle McCarthy

19. Tyrone Thompson

20. Mason Teague

21. Brock Greacen

22. Wilson De Courcey

Sydney Roosters Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	4-1	4-1

After leaking 50 points in the opening round and losing four of their first five games, the Roosters have turned things around and look like genuine top eight chances coming into this clash.

The Roosters have won three of their last five games, including a big 42-16 victory over the Sharks without their Origin stars in Round 12.

Unfortunately, the Chooks couldn't back that win up over the high-flying Raiders the following week, giving up a half-time lead to fall 26-24.

Fresh off the bye last week, the Roosters know this is an excellent chance to break into the top eight.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
6-6	7-5	3-4	2-3

Sydney Roosters Team News

Huge inclusion amidst all the Origin outs, with Sam Walker named to play his first game since rupturing his ACL at the end of last year.

Angus Crichton, Robert Toia, Spencer Leniu, Connor Watson and Lindsay Collins are all away on Origin duty.

Dom Young comes back onto the wing and Mark Nawaqanitawase moves to centre, while Naufahu Whyte and Nat Butcher both return from knee injuries.

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco

2. Daniel Tupou

3. Billy Smith

4. Mark Nawaqanitawase

5. Dominic Young

6. Hugo Savala

7. Sam Walker

8. Naufahu Whyte

9. Benaiah Ioelu

10. Salesi Foketi

11. Egan Butcher

12. Siua Wong

13. Victor Radley

Interchange

14. Sandon Smith

15. Zach Dockar-Clay

16. Blake Steep

17. Nat Butcher

Reserves

18. Ethan King

19. Makahesi Makatoa

20. Taylor Losalu

21. Tom Rodwell

23. Delasalle Vaa

Verdict

Newcastle Knights v Sydney Roosters

The Knights have been poor all season and one good half last week doesn't change much.

The Roosters are used to winning without their Origin stars, while Daniel Tupou is tipped for another four-pointer against the Knights.

Roosters -5.5

Line

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