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Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL Tips - Knights to ride to victory over Dolphins

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue. 11 Mar. 2025 10:55

Ryan Tucker 11 Mar. 2025

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Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 2 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEDT) at McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Knights likely to defeat Dolphins, extending their win streak to 4.
Knights boast a strong home advantage with solid defense, allowing just 18.8 pts on average.
Betting tips: Knights win by 1-12 margin; consider Dolphins team total under; Greg Marzhew as tryscorer.

NRL Expert Ryan gives his tips for Newcaslte vs Dolphins

Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins, Round 2 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Knights are tipped to extend their winning streak over the Dolphins to 4 in a row with a victory in their home opener on Thursday night.

Newcastle are a strong team at home having won 17 of their last 25 games played at McDonald Jones Stadium dating back to the start of the 2023 season. Their defence is one of the strongest in the league, allowing just 18.8 pts to opponents over that same stretch of games.

The Dolphins have lost 6 straight games away from home but do get back some of the players that missed last weekend’s trip to Sydney. They are also a strong Thursday night team having won 4 of 5 games played on a Thursday since joining the league in 2023.

The record though between these teams speaks for itself. The Knights are a more dominant defensive team while the Dolphins can easily leak points. The style of play which Newcastle employ with their powering runs up the guts and along the edges will put immense pressure on the Dolphins defence leaving them fatigued in attack against a strong opponent.

Take the Knights to win with a 1-12 margin as has been the case in the last 3 games between these two teams. If you are looking at totals the Dolphins team total Under is the best bet while Greg Marzhew is the top tryscorer pick.

63% of games for both of these teams last season finished with 1-12 winning margins.
The Dolphins scored just 14 and 6 pts in their two games last season against the Knights.
Newcastle average just 18.8 pts to opponents at home over the past 2 seasons.
The Dolphins allowed 40% of opposition tries down their right side last season as well as 2 of 3 last weekend against Souths.

Head to Head

These two teams have played 4 times in the two seasons the Dolphins have been in the NRL with Newcastle owning their opponents with a 3-1 record.

Both games last season were won by Newcastle in low scoring efforts going Under the Game total on both occasions. 3 of the last 4 games have been decided by 8 pts or less.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-0	0-1	0-1

Newcastle got away with a scrappy win over the Wests Tigers last weekend 10-8 away from home. Things did not start well for the visiting team, allowing their opponent to score a try in the 8th minute. But it was the only time during the match that their tryline was penetrated with the Tigers not getting another 4 pointer despite 23 tackles inside 20m in the game.

The Knights amassed an incredible number of tackle busts in the game at 68 off just 166 runs. They also had 7 linebreaks and 29 tackles in their opposition 20m zone but came away with just the 10 points themselves. Once again their creativity and attack being stunted close to the line.

8 players from the Knights made over 100 metres running including the back 5 and Fletcher Sharpe at five-eighth.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
0-1	0-1	1-0	0-0

Newcastle Knights Team News

The only change for the Knights this week is the addition of Adam Elliott to the bench in place of Brodie Jones who moves to 18th man.

Fletcher Sharpe and Jack Cogger keep their spots in the halves despite a below average game in round 1.

Newcastle Knights Team List

1. Kalyn Ponga

2. James Schiller

3. Dane Gagai

4. Bradman Best

5. Greg Marzhew

6. Fletcher Sharpe

7. Jack Cogger

8. Jacob Saifiti

9. Phoenix Crossland

10. Leo Thompson

11. Dylan Lucas

12. Kai Pearce-Paul

13. Tyson Frizell

Interchange

14. Jayden Brailey

15. Jack Hetherington

16. Adam Elliott

17. Mathew Croker

Reserves

18. Brodie Jones

19. Will Pryce

20. Logan Aoake

21. Matthew Arthur

22. Thomas Cant

Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-1	1-0	0-1

There wasn’t much that separated the Dolphins from their opponent South Sydney last weekend in their 16-14 loss. Despite a disrupted preparation the Dolphins racked up a whopping 1774 run metres including 4 linebreaks and 36 tacklebusts in the game.

The Dolphins owned 67% of the territory in the matchup but earned just 24 tackles inside the Bunnies 20m zone during play. Daniel Saifiti had 143 run metres and 18 tackles while Jeremy Marshall King topped the tackle count with 52.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
1-0	0-1	0-1	0-0

Dolphins Team News

Jack Bostock has been unable to recover from injury in time to take his spot in the side with Junior Tupou once again named on the wing.

Kodi Nikorima returns at five-eighth after sitting out the away trip last weekend, Mark Nicholls and Kenny Bromwich likewise but Bromwich has been named in the reserves.

Oryn Keeley has been promoted to the starting side with Kulikefu Finefeuiaki out with HIA and Connelly Lemuelu fracturing his eye socket last weekend.

Dolphins Team List

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

2. Jamayne Isaako

3. Jake Averillo

4. Herbie Farnworth

5. Junior Tupou

6. Kodi Nikorima

7. Isaiya Katoa

8. Daniel Saifiti

9. Jeremy Marshall-King

10. Felise Kaufusi

11. Oryn Keeley

12. Max Plath

13. Tom Gilbert

Interchange

14. Kurt Donoghoe

15. Josh Kerr

16. Mark Nicholls

17. Ray Stone

Reserves

18. Sean O'Sullivan

19. Max Feagai

20. Kenny Bromwich

21. Harrison Graham

22. Aublix Tawha

Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 FAQ’s

How to watch Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2?

You can watch the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2?

To buy tickets to the Newcastle Knights vs Dolphins NRL 2025 Round 2 game check the NRL website or the official Newcastle Knights site.

Verdict

Newcastle Knights v Dolphins

Knights 1-12

Winning Margin

$3.25 - 3 Units

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Dolphins Under 19.5

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