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Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters NRL Tips - Manly to edge Roosters at 4 Pines

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Thu 31 Jul 2025 15:24

In the NRL Round 22 matchup, Manly Sea Eagles aim for a comeback at their home ground, 4 Pines Park, after a heavy loss, as they face the Sydney Roosters. Manly's fluctuating form and home-field advantage, along with Tolu Koula's scoring streak, play key roles in the predicted outcome. Despite recent struggles, the Roosters hope to break their losing streak. This match could impact both teams' finals aspirations. Key plays include backing Manly and predicting under 48.5 points for the game.

Andrew Hendrie 31 Jul 2025
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 22 game
  • Kick off is at 7.35pm AEST at 4 Pines Park
  • Crucial clash in the context of the finals - Manly are tipped to edge it at home
  • Tolu Koula gunning for a try in his eighth straight game at Brookie
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters NRL Tips


Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters, NRL Round 22 - Expert Prediction


Arguably the most pivotal game of Round 22 sees the ninth-placed Sea Eagles and 10th-placed Roosters collide at 4 Pines in a bid to keep their finals chances alive on Saturday night.

  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters, NRL Round 22 - Expert Prediction
  • Head To Head
  • Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team News
  • Manly Sea Eagles Team List
  • Sydney Roosters Form Analysis
  • Sydney Roosters Team News
  • Sydney Roosters Team List
Sea Eagles vs Roosters NRL Rd22 Cheat Sheet
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This is the definition of a 'Pick Em' game - and I'm picking Manly at Brookie.

Yes, they were absolutely obliterated by the Dogs last week, but they had won three straight before that clash, including taking the scalp of the Storm in Melbourne - probably the toughest road trip in the NRL.

The Sea Eagles have also won six of their nine games at 4 Pines Park this season, so backing the hosts to bounce back from last week and keep themselves in finals contention. The Roosters have lost three of their last four and stumbled when it mattered most last week, failing to put away a Storm side who were there for the taking after Jahome Hughes went off injured. The Chooks continue to be an ill-disciplined and wasteful side and I don't think they make the finals from here.

The Unders have been trending in Manly matches for the bulk of the season, so taking the Under 48.5 line at Dabble (it's 45.5 at most other bookies), while Tolu Koula is a tryscoring freak at Brookvale and can continue his excellent record on Saturday night.

  • Sea Eagles have won three of their last four home games vs Roosters
  • Sea Eagles have won six of their nine home games this season
  • Roosters have lost three of their last four games
  • Sea Eagles have seen Under 48.5 points in their last 13 games
  • Tolu Koula has scored at least one try in his last seven games at 4 Pines Park

Head To Head


The Roosters have won five of the last seven meetings between the sides, but Manly have prevailed in three of the last four on the Northern Beaches. The Roosters were victorious in both 2024 meetings in high-scoring affairs, registering 34-30 and 40-16 wins.

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis


Manly's form wildly fluctuating from week to week is nothing new and we've had the perfect example of this over the last fortnight.

Only the Sea Eagles could go from beating the Storm in Melbourne to losing against the Bulldogs by 38 points within seven days. Remember, this was a Canterbury attack that had struggled to put points on the likes of the Cowboys and Dragons in recent weeks - and the Sea Eagles leaked 42 against them.

There's seemingly always some sort of drama behind the scenes at Manly and the pressure has ramped up on coach Anthony Seibold again this week. There's also the sub-plot of Daly Cherry-Evans playing against the team he's almost certainly signed with for next season here. Is the Tom Trbojevic centre experiment working? Not really.

Drama.

Manly Sea Eagles Team News


Huge blow for Manly, with Haumole Olakau'atu out for the season with a shoulder injury, so Corey Waddell comes into the starting side.

Jake Simpkin returns from the concussion on the bench, while Tommy Talau is also back for his first game since Round 18. Gordon Chan Kum Tong drops out the side.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List


1. Lehi Hopoate
2. Jason Saab
3. Tolutau Koula
4. Tom Trbojevic
5. Reuben Garrick
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Matthew Lodge
9. Jazz Tevaga
10. Siosiua Taukeiaho
11. Corey Waddell
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange
14. Jake Simpkin
15. Tommy Talau
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Toafofoa Sipley

Reserves
18. Caleb Navale
19. Clayton Faulalo
20. Aaron Schoupp
21. Joey Walsh
22. Gordon Chan Kum Tong

Sydney Roosters Form Analysis


It was always going to be tough for the Roosters to bounce back from losing four of their five opening games, including leaking 50 points to the Broncos in Round 1.

To be fair, the Roosters have battled hard to force their way into the top eight amid lots of injuries, but it most likely won't be enough.

Sam Walker has been solid since returning to the side, but he probably needed to come back a couple of months earlier if the Roosters were to be a threat in this year's competition. Now, Walker gets to prove himself against a man that potentially takes his No. 7 jersey next year in DCE.

The Roosters have had the opportunity to entrench themselves in the top eight in recent weeks, but close defeats to the Tigers, Storm and fellow finals contenders Cronulla have left them in 10th spot on the ladder.

Sydney Roosters Team News


Billy Smith (concussion) and Hugo Savala (wrist) are back in the team, so Ethan King moves 18th man while Sandon Smith is out with concussion of his own.

Benaiah Ioelu replaces Zach Dockar-Clay on the bench.

Sydney Roosters Team List


1. James Tedesco
2. Daniel Tupou
3. Billy Smith
4. Robert Toia
5. Mark Nawaqanitawase
6. Hugo Savala
7. Sam Walker
8. Naufahu Whyte
9. Connor Watson
10. Lindsay Collins
11. Angus Crichton
12. Siua Wong
13. Egan Butcher

Interchange
14. Benaiah Ioelu
15. Blake Steep
16. Salesi Foketi
17. Spencer Leniu

Reserves
18. Ethan King
19. Taylor Losalu
20. Toby Rodwell
21. Zach Dockar-Clay
22. Victor Radley

Verdict

Tough game to call, but tentatively leaning with Manly at home, where they've won three of the last four against the Roosters.

Manly have seen Under 48.5 points in 13 consecutive games and Tolu Koula has scored in seven straight at Brookie, so those are the other two plays for Saturday night's showdown.

Best Bet1: Sea Eagles Win H2H $1.82 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 48.5 Total Points $1.85 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Tolutau Koula Anytime Tryscorer $2.36 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Tolutau Koula First Tryscorer $13.00 at Elitebet - 1 Unit
Sea Eagles Win
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Under 48.5
Total Points
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