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Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL Round 2 Tips - Koula slices through the Knights

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Fri 13 Mar 2026 12:50

In a highly anticipated NRL Round 2 matchup, the Manly Sea Eagles are set to challenge the Newcastle Knights. Analysts predict a return to triumph for the Sea Eagles at Brookvale, leveraging their dominant home performance to cover the 4.5-point spread. Despite a mixed opening season performance, Manly's powerful attack, led by standout player Tolutau Koula, is expected to surpass predictions. With Fletcher Sharpe absent from the Knights' side, it's foreseen that the team may struggle to counter Manly's potent offense, especially at 4 Pines Park, where Manly frequently achieves high scores.

Jeremy Darke 13 Mar 2026
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  • Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 2 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEST) at 4 Pines Park
  • Manly's home advantage: scored 30+ points in 4 of last 6 games.
  • Tolutau Koula a key player, expected to lead Sea Eagles to a high score.
Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL Round 2 Tips

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights, Round 2 2026 - Expert Prediction


The Sea Eagles will return to their usual winning ways at Brookvale, beating the Knights on Sunday afternoon and cover as 4.5-point favourites.

Both Manly and Newcastle were good and bad in patches in their respective season openers, however it was only the Knights that got the result over the Cowboys in Vegas, while the Sea Eagles fell to the Raiders in golden point. 

The loss of Fletcher Sharpe will hurt the Knights chances on Sunday, with the five-eight proving to be a real difference early in their match against the Cows. Points were a problem for Newcastle last season and I just don’t see them having enough to get past Manly at home on Sunday.

The Sea Eagles are a scoring beast at 4 Pines Park, scoring 30+ points in 4 of their final 6 games at home last season and put 28 in a losing side last week. Their back-five is devastating and will be tough for the Knights to handle.

Tolutau Koula is one of the premier centres in the game and his pure strength along with lightning speed will break this game open for the Sea Eagles, who are expected to cross often and go over their team total of 26.5 points. 

  • Manly have won 3 of their last 4 games against Newcastle at 4 Pines Park.
  • Manly have scored over 28.5 points in 5 of their last 6 games at 4 Pines Park.
  • Manly have scored 42 + 44 points in their last 2 games against Newcastle at 4 Pines Park.
  • Tolutau Koula has scored a try for Manly in each of his last 7 games.

Head to Head 


The Knights got one of their few wins in 2025 against the Sea Eagles, beating Manly 26-22 in Golden Point, coming back from 16-0 down at half time.

8 of the last 11 matches between Manly and Newcastle have gone over the game total.

Sea Eagles Atk RankKnights Def RankStatKnights Atk Rank
Sea Eagles Def Rank
76Points711
1213Run Mts78
93Linebreaks711
37Completion %1110

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis


The Sea Eagles came within a whisker of a miraculous comeback against the Raiders in their opener, going down in golden point after scoring two tries and kicking a penalty goal in the final 7 minutes of regular time to force the extra period. 

The Sea Eagles looked good early and good late, leading 12 to nil in the opening 20 minutes and coming back from deficit, but the middle was ugly, bleeding some soft tries on the edges. 

Jamal Fogarty was impressive on his debut on the North Shore bagging a try and a try assist, but it was Tolutau Koula who looked the most dangerous for the Sea Eagles with 2 line breaks and a line break assist along with his 4-pointer.

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis


The Newcastle Knights impressed on the big stage in Vegas beating the Cowboys 28-12 at Allegiant Stadium 2 weeks ago. 

Newcastle took control of the game early on the back of an electric start to the season by Fletcher Sharpe, who crossed for the first try, however the No. 6 was injured at the back end of the half. 

Sandon Smith came in to debut for his new club alongside the other debutant Dylan Brown and the pair got the job done without being spectacular. The catalyst was once again Kalyn Ponga who opened up his backline with a line break and a couple of try assists. 

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights Team Lists & Team News


Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 2 Team List Article.

Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 2 FAQ’s

How to livestream Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 2?

You can livestream the Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 2 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 2?

To buy tickets to the Manly Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2026 Round 2 game check the NRL website or the official Manly Sea Eagles site.

Verdict

Tolutau Koula will score as Manly go over their team total of 26.5 points and cover the 4.5 points as the favourite
Best Bet1: Manly -4.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Manly Over 26.5 Team Total $1.91 at NextBet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Tolutau Koula Anytime Tryscorer $2.10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Tolutau Koula First Tryscorer $11.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Manly -4.5
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$1.91 - 3 Units
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Tolutau Koula
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