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Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers NBL26 Round 20 Tips - Adelaide Tipped To Extend Win Streak

ryan-tucker
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Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Tue 03 Feb 2026 10:42

In their upcoming NBL25 Round 20 game, the Adelaide 36ers are favored to continue their winning streak against the Illawarra Hawks, having won their last seven meetings. Adelaide's superior scoring ability, bolstered by Bryce Cotton, positions them well to cover the -3.5 line. The matchup anticipates a fast pace, with the 36ers holding the league's best road record at 10-3, while Illawarra has struggled defensively. Key players like Bryce Cotton, expected to score 25+ points, and Sam Froling, with his strong rebounding history, will be crucial in shaping the game's outcome.

Ryan Tucker 03 Feb 2026
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  • Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 20 NBL matchup
  • Tip-off is at 7:30 PM AEDT at WIN Entertainment Centre
  • Adelaide 36ers hold a 7-game winning streak against Illawarra Hawks.
  • The 36ers have the NBL's best road record at 10-3.
  • Key players include Bryce Cotton and Sam Froling.
Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers

Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers NBL25 Round 20 Expert Tips


Adelaide are tipped to continue their dominant run over the Hawks on Thursday night thanks to their powerful scoring ability. 

The 36ers have won 7 straight games and 11 of the last 12 against Illawarra, one of the longest active win streaks in the NBL. A number of those games have been close wins by the 36ers but the average winning margin is still 6.5 pts during this 7 game streak which plays into the game script of Adelaide covering the short 3.5 line as favourites.

Adelaide also come into this matchup with the best road record in the league at 10-3 while Illawarra have dropped 2 straight on home court. The earlier matchup in Wollongong back in December finished 84-78 to the 36ers, a game which didn’t reflect the pace we have seen this season from both teams. 

Over the past 3 rounds, Illawarra are 3rd and Adelaide 5th in pace which combined with scoring defences ranking 6th and 7th respectively, sets this game up to be a quick back and forth with loads of scoring opportunities.  

The value plays in this game are Adelaide to cover the -3.5 line and go Over their Team Total of 93.5 pts helped in large part by Bryce Cotton who is likely to reach 25+ pts. Take Sam Froling to feature heavily on the boards with 7+ rebounds.

  • Adelaide have won 7 straight and 11 of their last 12 against Illawarra. The average winning margin during the current streak is 6.5 pts. 
  • Illawarra are ranked 9th in opponent points, allowing 97.1 per game to opponents while playing at the 3rd highest pace over the past 3 rounds.
  • Bryce Cotton has averaged 24.8 pts per game in his last 5 vs Illawarra and is the NBL’s leading scorer this season. 
  • Froling took 13 rebounds in his most recent matchup v Adelaide and averages 9 rebounds over his last 4 games against the 36ers.

Head to Head

 

Last 5 Match Results


DateHome TeamScoreLineTotal Points
20/12/2025ILLADE 84-78ILL +9.0U 184.0
19/11/2025ADEADE 97-85ADE -5.0U 186.5
02/11/2025ADEADE 90-88ILL +6.5U 184.0
13/01/2025ADEADE 91-88ADE +3.0U 203.0
10/11/2024ADEADE 93-79ADE +1.5U 186.5

Offensive & Defensive Rankings


ILL OffRankStatRankADE Def
92.25PPG487.6
44.61RPG140.3
47.0%2FG%444.4%
32.5%53P%130.9%
13.89TOV710.6

ILL DefRankStatRankADE Off
97.19PPG392.8
41.36RPG741.2
44.6%5FG%346.7%
33.6%83P%136.5%
10.19TOV410.8

Illawarra Hawks Form & Team News


With 5 games left on the schedule, Illawarra need to essentially win out and hope that both Tasmania and New Zealand lose at least 3 of their remaining matchups to even have a chance at sneaking into the play-in.

The odds are not in their favour but all they can do is play the team in front of them. Last week it was Sydney and Perth and they suffered back to back losses, allowing their opponent to score 106+ pts in both matches. 

JaVale McGee was strong against the Wildcats with 18 pts, 11 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks but both Will Hickey and Sam Froling failed to make large impacts in the loss.

Adelaide 36ers Form & Team News


Adelaide sit one game ahead on top of the NBL ladder with a 21-8 record with 5 games remaining on the schedule. With their current 72.41 win percentage, they are on track to have their most winningest season since 1999-2000 when they finished first with a 78.6% rate (22-6). 

Even the 16-17 season when they finished first on the ladder resulted in only a 60.7% win rate which puts just how good this season has been, into perspective. Bryce Cotton has been the leading force behind the success and despite rumours around the team being unhappy with coaching staff, the results speak for themselves.

Adelaide are ranked 3rd in scoring and 4th in opposition points. They are the number 1 three point shooting team in the league on the season and are relatively good at not turning over the ball.

Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers start?

Tip-off between Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers is at 7:30 PM AEDT, Thursday, February 5

What channel is Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers on?

You can watch Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers on ESPN via Kayo and Foxtel.

Where can i livestream Illawarra Hawks vs Adelaide 36ers?

If you are outside of Australia, the NBL allows you to stream live on YouTube via the official NBL channel

Verdict

The value plays in this game are Adelaide to cover the -3.5 line and go Over their Team Total of 93.5 pts helped in large part by Bryce Cotton who is likely to reach 25+ pts. Take Sam Froling to feature heavily on the boards with 7+ rebounds.
Best Bet1: Adelaide -3.5 Line $1.90 at Pandabet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Adelaide over 93.5 Team Total $1.90 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: B Cotton 25+ Points $1.87 at Playup - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: S Froling 7+ Rebounds $2.12 at dabble - 1 Unit
Adelaide -3.5
Line
$1.90 - 3 Units
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Adelaide over 93.5
Team Total
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B Cotton 25+
Points
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S Froling 7+
Rebounds
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