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Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers Round 10 AFL Tips - Doggies to Bomb it deep in blowout

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 15 May 2025
Ryan Tucker 15 May 2025
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  • Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 10 AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
  • Western Bulldogs likely to win by 40+ against Essendon Bombers due to strong attacking abilities.
  • Bulldogs’ average Inside 50s per game and goal accuracy stats highlight their dominance.
  • Essendon's inconsistency and recent narrow wins indicate potential struggle.
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers Round 10 AFL Tips

Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction


The Dogs are just a different caliber team and that is why they will win this one comfortably against the Bombers on Saturday night.
  • Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2025 Betting Trends
  • Western Bulldogs Team News
  • Western Bulldogs Team List
  • Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2025 Betting Trends
  • Essendon Bombers Team News
  • Essendon Bombers Team List
  • Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

Essendon had their best win of the season last weekend and it was by 8 points over a depleted Swans team who gave away silly infringements and couldn’t hit the middle of the goal. That says a lot about the Bombers season to date.

Their other wins have come against bottom ranked teams or clubs that have had a rough start to the season with consistency issues. Their scoring rate is one of the lowest in the league with their attack rated at a -7 and while they have had some bright spots defensively they are just an average team at that.

The Western Bulldogs, despite the speight of injuries they have had to carry thus far in 2025 have proven to be an elite team, especially in attack. They are getting an average of 56.9 Inside 50’s per game, they have a goal accuracy of 53.4% and are a +20.3 rating across the park.

Historically when the Bulldogs beat Essendon it is by a margin, take them 40+ in this one with their team total Over. Aaron Naughton will have a big game in front of goal, get on his ladders.

  • The Bulldogs average win margin vs Essendon in their last 4 victories is 50.4 pts. 
  • The Dogs have averaged 116.7 pts in their last 4 games.
  • Western Bulldogs rank 2nd in the league in Inside 50’s at 56.9 per game.
  • Aaron Naughton has kicked 3 goals in 3 of his last 5 games.

Head to Head 


The Bulldogs hold a 4-2 advantage in the head to head vs Essendon since the beginning of the 2019 season while the Bombers were the most recent victors in the lone game played in 2024. 

The Under has hit in 3 straight games with the over hitting in 3 straight prior to that. The Winning margin is also split 3-3 between the short and long but it is the Bulldogs victories that have been the big blowouts.

Each team has covered the line in their respective wins.

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-23-24-1

The Dogs rallied late to close the gap in their game against the Suns in Darwin last weekend but it was too little too late as they fell 106-96 in trying conditions. The loss broke a 3 game win streak where they had averaged 123.6 pts per game to shoot back up the standings.

Matt Kennedy was one of the best with 3 goals in his 19 disposals which also included 2 clearances and 7 marks. He put on 7 tackles as the pressure was lifted to try and get his team over the line.

Since getting a number of their star players back on the field, the Bulldogs have been a difficult opponent. Their scoring is up over the last 5 games while their defence has been strong keeping 3 teams to under 85 points in the same span.

2025 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-3940+
5-46-33-42-0

Western Bulldogs Team News


Adam Treloar’s return was shortlived with him now set for a stint on the sideline which could see him out until after the bye. Laitham Vandermeer will need to prove he is good to go before being named.

Western Bulldogs Team List


B: L.Cleary, J.O’Donnell, T.Duryea
HB: J.Johannisen, R.Lobb, B.Dale
C: B.Williams, E.Richards, J.Freijah
HF: J.Harmes, B.Khamis, M.Kennedy
F: R.Sanders, A.Naughton, R.West
FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, T.Liberatore

I/C: L.Bramble, S.Davidson, A.Jones, L.McNeil, L.Vandermeer
EMG: J.Busslinger, H.Gallagher, R.Gardner

In: T.Duryea, A.Jones
Out: H.Gallagher (Omitted), C.Poulter (Omitted)

Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
4-12-31-4

Essendon had their best win of the season last weekend beating Sydney 71-63 in an absolute nailbiter. Nic Martin, Andrew McGrath and Mason Redman all exceeded 30 disposals in the game while Zac Merrett kicked 2 goals from 19 touches including 4 clearances.

The Bombers had 10 centre clearances to the Swans 5, a statline they have struggled to impress with so far this season. Despite the victory there will be some talk about how they let a 39 point lead slip to 8 at the siren, against a team that couldn’t kick a goal to save their lives and were giving out 50m penalties like lollies.

Essendon have won all 3 games at Marvel so far this season but will need to improve on their scoring if they are any hope to continue the winning trend. They average just 79 pts per game in 2025 hitting triple digits only once in 8 games.

2025 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-3940+
3-53-55-10-2

Essendon Bombers Team News


Lewis Hayes’ season ended as quickly as it started with an ACL injury on debut ruling him out for the season. There are a few Bombers working back from injury through the VFL which could see some shuffling in positions this weekend.

Essendon Bombers Team List


B: A.McGrath, B.McKay, A.Roberts
HB: M.Redman, Z.Reid, J.Prior
C: X.Duursma, Z.Merrett - C, A.Day-Wicks
HF: A.Perkins, N.Caddy, N.Martin
F: K.Langford, P.Wright, I.Kako
FOLL: T.Goldstein, J.Caldwell, S.Durham

I/C: B.Hobbs, D.Shiel, W.Setterfield, J.Laverde, S.El-Hawli
EMG: E.Tsatas, A.Clarke, Z.Johnson

In: J.Laverde
Out: L.Hayes (Injured)


Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10?

You can watch the Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Western Bulldogs site.

Verdict

Historically when the Bulldogs beat Essendon it is by a margin, take them 40+ in this one with their team total Over. Aaron Naughton will have a big game in front of goal, get on his ladders.
Best Bet1: Bulldogs 40+ Win Margin $2.90 at PlayUP - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 17 May 2025

Western Bulldogs v Essendon