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Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues AFL Tips - Swans scoring woes continue

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu. 15 May 2025 13:55

Jeremy Darke 15 May 2025

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Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues expert predictions for Friday’s Round 10 AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Swans face ongoing injury issues impacting their performance.
Key Carlton players Harry McKay and Charlie Curnow crucial for Blues' success.

Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction

All over the underdog Blues, backing them to not only cover but get the win against a wingless Swans.

Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues, Round 10 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Sydney Swans Team News
Sydney Swans Team List
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List
Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

Sydney’s season goes from bad to worse, playing poorly in their loss to the Bombers last week, continuing to do it tough with a never-ending injury list that repeatedly disrupts their season. The Blues have their own injury troubles heading into Friday night’s clash, but their form of late will carry them past Sydney.

A fully fit Harry McKay is just what the Blues need and his Best on Ground performance last week against the Saints should send shivers down the spines of Sydney. If McKay and Charlie Curnow can repeat their 3 goal performances from last weekend then the Swans will have trouble keeping up.

The Blues backline has been rock-solid in 2025 and despite their poor start, which had more to do with their own ball movement, they rank 4th in the AFL with an average opposition points of just 75 this season.

The Swans had issues getting the ball inside 50 and converting their few chances against the Bombers last weekend and that will be the case against Carlton.

Sydney are 1 from 4 at the SCG this season.
Carlton have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
8 of 9 matches involving Carlton have gone under the game total.
Sydney have scored less than 83.5 points in 7 of 9 matches this season.
Harry McKay has 6 goals in his last 3 matches.

Head to Head

Sydney took a 52-point win over Carlton in Round 10 last season, beating the Blues 117-65.

The head to head record is locked at 4-4 since the 2019 season. The over and under on the game total is also at 4-4.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	2-3

The Swans were unable to back up their win against GWS in Round 8 with a victory against the Bombers last weekend, going down to Essendon 71-63, kick just 8 goals from 23 scoring shots in the match.

Sydney did claw back from a 39-point deficit in the third-quarter to bring the match within 8, but it wasn’t enough and it was more to do with the Bombers letting the match out of their grasp.

The Swans have generally been one of the more accurate teams in the comp, ranked 5th in the AFL with 52.5% accuracy, however, couldn’t buy a major as they began to tally up their forward entries in the second half.

The Swans have done it tough getting quality ball inside 50 ranked 11th in the league in marks inside 50 and that was once again the case in the first half against the Bombers.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-5	3-6	2-6	1-0

Sydney Swans Team News

All eyes will be on the fitness of Joel Amartey and Callum Mills as the Swans are beginning to become desperate for victories and may need to rush back some of their stars if they want to stay in the hunt for Finals Footy.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: S.Wicks, T.McCartin, M.Roberts

HB: J.Jordon, N.Blakey, D.Rampe

C: A.Sheldrick, I.Heeney, J.Lloyd

HF: B.Campbell, J.Amartey, J.McInerney

F: W.Hayward, A.Francis, C.Cleary

FOLL: B.Grundy, Ch.Warner, J.Rowbottom - C

I/C: O.Florent, J.Hamling, Co.Warner, P.Ladhams, R.Bice

EMG: H.McLean, T.Hanily, T.Adams

In: J.Amartey, P.Ladhams

Out: B.Paton (Omitted), H.McLean (Omitted)

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	1-4

Carlton are beginning to find their feet in 2025 with their fourth win in 5 matches, getting a 77-62 victory over St Kilda in Round 9.

The Blues had to overcome injuries to Mitch McGovern, Blake Acres, Lachie Cowan and Nick Haynes, all in the first half, leaving them very slim on the bench. However, their veterans in Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay both found their range, kicking 3 goals each in the match to lead the Blues to their fourth victory.

It was another impressive performance from the Blues, more known for the power in attack with Curnow and McKay, however it is their backline and defensive pressure that has been the key to their success as they concede the fourth least amount of points in the AFL at just 75 per game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
4-5	1-8	2-4	2-1

Carlton Blues Team News

Blake Acres and Lachie Cowan will miss the match after suffering injuries against the Saints, however Mitch McGovern is a chance to pass his fitness test later in the week.

Sam Docherty is a likely replacement after impressing in the VFL last week.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: O.Hollands, J.Weitering, A.Saad

HB: N.Haynes, M.McGovern, J.Silvagni

C: E.Hollands, P.Cripps - C, J.Binns

HF: C.Lord, H.McKay, S.Walsh

F: C.Durdin, C.Curnow, J.Motlop

FOLL: M.Pittonet, A.Cerra, G.Hewett

I/C: J.Boyd, F.Evans, M.Carroll, W.White, L.Young

EMG: L.Camporeale, H.O’Keeffe, S.Docherty

In: M.Pittonet, J.Boyd, M.Carroll

Out: L.Cowan (Injured), B.Acres (Injured), T.De Koning (Injured)

Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 10?

You can watch the Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues AFL 2025 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.