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Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs Round 16 AFL Tips - Swans season to be left hanging by a thread

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 26 Jun 2025 12:04

Ryan Tucker 26 Jun 2025

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Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs expert predictions for Friday’s Round 16 AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Sydney Swans struggle with goal inaccuracy; Bulldogs deemed favorites.
Bulldogs have top-rated attack and defense, 2 players in top 5 ratings.
Prediction: Bulldogs 1-39 and to exceed team total of 89.5 points.

Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs Round 16 AFL Tips

Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction

Sydney showed last weekend they will not go down without a fight but their inaccuracy in ront of goal will play a part in the Bulldogs winning this Friday night showdown at the SCG.

Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Sydney Swans Team News
Sydney Swans Team List
Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Western Bulldogs Team News
Western Bulldogs Team List
Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

Sydney have been woeful in front of goal this season. It definitely is affected by the injuries and suspensions they have had but a season average of 42.8% (16th) and a 9.17 scoreline last week is not enough to fill me with confidence that they will turn things around this weekend.

The Bulldogs on the other hand are one the most accurate team in the league, if they get a shot, they make it count. They have two players inside the top 5 ratings and by way of having the top rated attack and 6th rated defence have taken over Collingwood as the top rated team in the AFL.

Their weakness is around the ruck, Tim English is being controlled by opposing ruckmen and Brodie Grundy has the talent to put Sydney in front in this aspect.

Despite winning 3 of their last 5 games by 40+ points, the expectation is that Sydney will be close enough to keep the heat on the Bulldogs. Take them 1-39 and to go Over their Team Total of 89.5. Sam Darcy has kicked 8 goals in his last 2 games. Get him for 3+ here as well as an Ed Richards multi of 1 goal & 25+ disposals.

The Bulldogs are the top rated attack in the AFL and average 120 pts in their winning games this season.
All but 1 of the Doggies victories have exceeded 100 pts.
6 of Sydney’s 8 losses this season have been by a 1-39 margin.
Sam Darcy averages 2.8 goals per game and has kicked 5 and 3 in his last 2 outings.
Ed Richards has scored a goal in 9 straight games and has had 25+ touches in 8 straight games.

Head to Head

It is an even 4-4 in the head to head record between these two teams dating back to the start of 2019 but Sydney have had the upper hand most recently, taking 3 of the last 4 matches.

The Bulldogs have won 2 of the last 4 at the SCG including the matchup there last season.

The Game Total has gone Under in 6 of the last 8 while the Winning Margin has stayed 1-39 in all but 1 of the last 8 games.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

Sydney are on a two game win streak and it is just the 2nd time this season that they have strung together back to back victories. Their 71-52 win over Port last weekend saw the Swannies return (almost) to their best.

Despite some cracking game play across the park they were once again dreadful in front of the sticks kicking 9.17 on the day. Sydney now sit just 2 wins outside the 8 but it is a congested middle tier of teams and they will need to continue to win out to have any chance of getting to 13 wins.

Sydney controlled the rucks and clearances winning hitouts 35-30 and clearances 36-31. They rank 5th in the AFL for Hitouts Win % but still struggle in Turnovers (17th) and Goal Accuracy (16th)

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
7-7	4-10	4-6	2-2

Sydney Swans Team News

Jake Lloyd and Ollie Florent played well in the VFL last weekend and could be pushing for a spot in a team that is largely expected to go unchanged.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: D.Rampe, T.McCartin, L.Melican

HB: M.Roberts, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: E.Gulden, Ch.Warner, C.Mills - C

HF: H.McLean, W.Hayward, J.McInerney

F: T.Papley, A.Francis, J.Jordon

FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C: H.Cunningham, J.Lloyd, A.Sheldrick, B.Campbell, O.Florent

EMG: J.Buller, R.Bice, P.Ladhams

In: - J.Lloyd, O.Florent

Out: - J.Amartey (Injured), R.Bice (Omitted)

Western Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	3-2

The Dogs eclipsed 130+ points for the second straight week putting 79 points between themselves and the Tigers last weekend in a 135-56 victory. The win pushed them into the top 8, on equal wins with the Suns but ahead on percentage.

The Western Bulldogs have been beating up on bad teams this season with a 7-1 record against current bottom 10 teams. That also means they are just 1-5 against current top 8 teams which has punters and AFL fans still hesitant to put their hard earned behind them.

The talent is spread right across the park with Ed Richards the highest rated player in the AFL right now. Marcus Bontempelli is not too far behind, down in 5th spot. They are the most accurate team in front of goal and are 2nd in Inside 50’s.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-6	9-5	3-6	5-0

Western Bulldogs Team News

Adam Treloar has suffered another setback with a calf injury expected to keep him out for up to 2 months. Liam Jones, Luke Kennedy and James O’Donnell will all undergo fitness tests to prove eligibility to play against the Swans.

Western Bulldogs Team List

B: N.Coffield, J.O’Donnell, B.Williams

HB: J.Johannisen, R.Lobb, B.Dale

C: R.Sanders, E.Richards, J.Freijah

HF: C.Hynes, A.Naughton, M.Kennedy

F: L.Vandermeer, S.Darcy, R.West

FOLL: T.English, M.Bontempelli - C, T.Liberatore

I/C: L.Bramble, S.Davidson, J.Harmes, B.Khamis, L.McNeil

EMG: J.Busslinger, J.Dolan, C.Poulter

In: - J.Johannisen, R.Sanders

Out: - A.Treloar (Injured), J.Dolan (Omitted)

Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16?

You can watch the Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2025 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney Swans site.

Verdict

Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs

Take the Dogs 1-39 and to go Over their Team Total of 89.5. Sam Darcy has kicked 8 goals in his last 2 games. Get him for 3+ here as well as an Ed Richards multi of 1 goal & 25+ disposals.

Bulldogs 1-39

Winning Margin

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