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Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips - The Sun rises again on the Gold Coast

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 26 Jun 2025 12:06

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Jeremy Darke 26 Jun 2025

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Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 AFL game
The game will be played at People First Stadium, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
Both teams on three-game losing streaks; desperate for points.
Matt Rowell and Kysaiah Pickett expected to be standout performers.

Jez's Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL Tips

Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Suns will get a much-needed win at home at People First Stadium, beating Melbourne by a 1-39 margin.

Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Melbourne Demons Team News
Melbourne Demons Team List
Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

The Suns have fallen out of the eight for the first time this season and are desperate for 4 points after three consecutive losses. The Demons are in the same boat after looking like rising from the depths with 5 wins from 6 matches before going on a three-game skid themselves.

The Gold Coast dusted up the Demons by 58 points earlier this season, however Melbourne have seen much improvement over the last 8 weeks and will be a tougher beat, even at home for the Suns.

Matt Rowell had a career-best game when the Suns beat the Demons in Melbourne and has been one of the hungrier Gold Coast players during their slump. Expect Rowell to be heavily involved with 25+ disposals hitting the mark for the fourth time in 6 matches.

Kysaiah Pickett has almost single-handedly taken it upon himself to drag the Demons back into form and fill the goal kicking void they have had in 2025. Pickett has recorded a multi-goal game in 5 of his last 6 and will do it again against the Suns.

The Demons last 3 losses have been by a margin of 1-39.
Gold Coast are ranked 4th in PointsFromStoppage vs Melbourne's defence ranked 12th
Gold Coast are ranked 5th in PointsFromTurnover vs Melbourne's defence ranked 13th
Kysaiah Pickett has 16 goals in his last 6 games.

Head to Head

The Gold Coast broke a 12-game losing streak against Melbourne in their Round 3 clash where the Suns made up for lost time in their 58-point victory at the MCG.

Ben King kicked four and Matt Rowell had the best performance of his career with 36 disposals and 13 clearances, along with 8 inside 50s.

5 of the last 6 matches between the Suns and Demons have gone over the game total.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	1-4	2-3

The Suns are on a three-game skid which has seen them drop out of the top eight for the first time this season. Their schedule has gotten thick and they have failed to stay with the contenders and find themselves in the familiar position of fighting for a finals berth after starting the season with so much promise.

Gold Coast kept GWS at arms length holding a double digit lead for most of the game, however, a slow start to the final quarter saw the Tsunami come crashing in with 4 straight goals and demolish the 22-point lead they had heading into the fourth. The Suns never really had a response and eventually went down 106-99.

Gold Coast need to get back to their patient game and continue to play to their strengths in the midfield and at the stoppages. With Noah Anderson and Touk Miller playing off the superior ruck play of Jarrod Witts they are able to force the ball inside 50 where they lead the comp in entries. The challenge is focusing on getting more quality ball in and capitalising on those chances.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
6-7	7-6	5-5	3-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

The Suns lineup is very settled at the moment and Damien Hardwick is likely to rely on his current troop to dig themselves out of their slump.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: B.Uwland, M.Andrew, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, D.Rioli

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, B.Fiorini

HF: B.Ainsworth, S.Flanders, B.Humphrey

F: B.Long, J.Walter, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, T.Miller, N.Anderson - C

I/C: A.Sexton, E.Read, S.Clohesy, C.Budarick, J.Jeffrey

EMG: A.Davies, N.Holman, N.Moyle

In: - A.Sexton

Out: - N.Holman (Omitted)

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	3-2

Melbourne are now well out of touch sitting fourteenth on the ladder after their third straight loss before their bye round last weekend. Losses to St. Kilda and Collingwood ended a run of 5 wins from 6 games before going down to Port by 25 points in Round 14.

During their winning run, potential was seen for the Demons, who claimed the decent scalps of Freo and Brisbane, however as it has been in Melbourne over the last few years, the challenge is stringing it together for longer periods.

A big part of Melbourne’s poor 2025 is their failure to convert their chances, ranked 18th in goal accuracy and 17th in goals per inside 50.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
6-8	7-7	4-7	1-2

Melbourne Demons Team News

Aiden Johnson has undergone ankle surgery and will now be out of the squad for 4-6 weeks.

Charlie Spargo is nearing a return from a shoulder injury and could feature next week.

Melbourne Demons Team List

B: J.Bowey, S.May, C.Salem

HB: J.McVee, D.Turner, B.Howes

C: E.Langdon, C.Petracca, H.Langford

HF: B.Fritsch, M.Jefferson, K.Chandler

F: J.Melksham, H.Petty, K.Pickett

FOLL: M.Gawn - C, C.Oliver, J.Viney

I/C: K.Tholstrup, X.Lindsay, T.Rivers, H.Sharp, T.Sparrow

EMG: J.van Rooyen, J.Lever, T.Woewodin

In: - M.Jefferson, K.Tholstrup, H.Sharp

Out: - J.Lever (Omitted), C.Windsor (Omitted), J.van Rooyen (Omitted)

Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16?

You can watch the Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast Suns site.

Verdict

Gold Coast Suns v Melbourne Demons

The Suns will get a 1-39 victory with Matt Rowell recording 25+ disposals while Kysaiah Pickett will kick a double for the Demons.

Gold Coast Suns

1-39 Winning Margin

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Matt Rowell

25+ Disposals

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Kysaiah Pickett

2+ Goals

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