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Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Tips - Hawks get a tough win

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 26 Jun 2025 12:07

Jeremy Darke 26 Jun 2025

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Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 16 AFL game
The game will be played at UTAS Stadium, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
Harry Sheezel predicted to achieve another 30+ disposal game.
Expect a defensive game with score staying under 157.5 points.

Jez's Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Tips

Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Hawks will burst the Kangaroos bubble in Launceston, but not without a fight from North Melbourne who will continue to impress.

Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

The Kangas got an emphatic win against Carlton last weekend, however, Hawthorn are a different kettle of fish and will be able to manage the strengths of North Melbourne and take advantage of their weakness of allowing quality ball inside their 50.

Hawthorn were desperate for the bye that they come off heading into this game and were not playing the best footy before their break. The week off will help but I still see the Kangaroos hanging in this game for a while, especially if the Hawks are a little slow to start.

The bookies have this one sitting around a 95-60 scoreline to the Hawks and I see it being a little over done with the improvement in the Kangaroos defence. That is why I like the combination of the 1-39 and the under 157.5 game total.

Harry Sheezel is a superstar and he will need to continue having career-best performances if Norths are to compete here. Expect the midfielder to record his third consecutive 30+ disposal game.

7 of 9 Hawthorn victories have been by a margin of 1-39.
Hawthorn are ranked 1st in Marks Inside 50 vs North Melbourne's defence ranked 14th
The last 7 North Melbourne matches have gone under the game total.
Harry Sheezel has seven 30+ disposal games this season.

Head to Head

Hawthorn have won the last 6 matches against North Melbourne, including 2 fixtures in the 2024 season.

The last time the pair met at UTAS Stadium was in Round 24 last year where the Hawks walked away 124-point victors.

The Hawks have won by a 40+ margin in 4 of the last 5 matches against the Kangaroos.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	1-4

The Hawks enjoyed the week off in Round 15 after steadying their season with two victories against the Bulldogs (81-59) and the Crows (47-44) after dropping three games prior.

The bye came at the right time for Hawthorn, who certainly looked like they needed to reset and find their balance again after a tough month and a half of footy.

Over the Hawks last 5 matches they have dropped considerably in the point scoring and conceding rankings compared to their season averages. They are ranked 16th in points for and 11th in points conceded compared to their 2025 rankings 8th in points scored and 4th in points conceded.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-6	5-9	7-4	2-1

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

James Sicily and James Worpel are both likely to be cleared to play this weekend against Norths.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, K.Amon

HB: J.Impey, J.Weddle, H.Morrison

C: S.Butler, C.Nash, D.Moore - C

HF: B.Hardwick, J.Gunston, N.Watson

F: M.Ramsden, M.Chol, J.Ginnivan

FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Ward

I/C: S.Mitchell, C.Mackenzie, M.D’Ambrosio, C.Macdonald, C.Jiath

EMG: S.Frost, F.Maginness, L.Breust

In: - C.Mackenzie

Out: - H.Hustwaite (Omitted)

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	0-5

North Melbourne were due to take a big scalp and they got it with their impressive 11-point victory over Carlton last weekend.

The Kangas executed some of the best footy they have played under Alistar Clarkson kicking 6.2 to 0.1 in the second quarter to take full command of the game turning their 29-point halftime lead into a 41-point margin after 6 minutes into the third term. The Blues went on their own fourth-quarter run, but Norths had done enough.

There is a lot to be excited about in North Melbourne, who have pushed the best in the competition during large stages of the match, however, their is still work to be done before they can compete with the contenders for four quarters.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-5	5-9	3-5	1-4

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

Jack Darling will need to be cleared of a leg injury if he is to face Hawthorn this weekend.

The positive news is Charlie Comben has already been cleared to play despite injury his shoulder last weekend.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List

B: L.McDonald, T.Pink, G.Logue

HB: F.O’Sullivan, C.Daniel, H.Sheezel

C: D.Stephens, L.Davies-Uniacke, J.Simpkin - C

HF: J.Konstanty, N.Larkey, C.McKercher

F: P.Curtis, J.Darling, C.Zurhaar

FOLL: T.Xerri, G.Wardlaw, T.Powell

I/C: Z.Fisher, R.Hardeman, W.Dawson, L.Parker, R.Hansen Jr

EMG: C.Coleman-Jones, W.Phillips, C.Harvey

In: - W.Dawson

Out: - C.Comben (Injured)

Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16?

You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2025 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.

Verdict

Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Harry Sheezel will have 30+ disposals but it won’t be enough for the Kangaroos to get the win with the Hawks expected to get the victory by a 1-39 margin.

A tight contest is expected with the score staying under 157.5 points.

Hawthorn Hawks

1-39 Winning Margin

$2.10 - 2 Units

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Under 157.5

Game Total

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Harry Sheezel

30+ Disposals

$2.15 - 2 Units

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