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Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL Tips - Crows keep ticking boxes

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 29 May 2025 10:22

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Jeremy Darke 29 May 2025

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Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 12 AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Sydney faces challenges with injuries and suspensions, impacting their form and ranking 15th in goals per inside 50.
Adelaide ranked third in scored points, with Darcy Fogarty poised to be a multi-goal scorer, maximizing their inside 50 efficiency.

Jez's Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL Tips

Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Crows will cover easy against the Swans and continue to push their claim as a true contender for the flag in 2025.

Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Sydney Swans Team News
Sydney Swans Team List
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Adelaide Crows Team News
Adelaide Crows Team List
Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s

The Crows are flying high (pun intended) and are not going to have a problem pushing aside the Swans this week to break a 6-game losing streak against last year’s grand finalists. Adelaide have been impressive in their wins, absolutely clobbering sides, while also being impressive in their defeats.

The Crows were the best attacking team in 2023 and are back to that form again, ranked third in the AFL in points scored and also points conceded. They go into the contests hard and are also tactically sound in defence in 2025.

The wounded Swans won’t have enough to match the Crows and this one could be the second consecutive blow out for Sydney, who face a clinical Crows team that does not make mistakes inside 50.

Darcy Fogarty was a little quiet in Adelaide’s big win against West Coast last week, at least on the score sheet, so expect the key forward to get back into the thick of it against the Swans.

Adelaide has an average winning margin of 44.14 points this season.
Adelaide are ranked 5th in inside 50s vs Sydney's defence ranked 12th
Adelaide average 101 points per game in 2025
Darcy Fogarty has kicked 2+ goals in 8 of 10 games this season.

Head to Head

Sydney have won the last 6 matches against Adelaide, getting the 2024 double comfortably.

The Swans got up by 42 points in Adelaide in Round 14 and by 31 points at the SCG in Round 24.

5 of the last 6 matches between the Swans and Crows have gone over the game total.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	2-3	2-3

Just as it looked like the Swans were beginning to move in the right direction again, more injuries, more suspensions and a 53-point loss to the Demons in Melbourne.

If any club has an excuse, it is Sydney. They simply can’t catch a break in 2025 and with so many changes week in and week out it is no surprise they are fluffing around the bottom of the table. The key for them is to continue to get wins when they can and stay in touch with the eight until the run home and hope they get some troops back.

Quality ball inside 50 has been the issue for the Swans and the weeks that they improve on their 15th-ranked goals per inside 50 (21.48%) then they put themselves in with a fight. However, those games are few and far between at the moment with their efficiency and accuracy hurting them the most.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-6	4-7	3-6	1-1

Sydney Swans Team News

Salt in the wounds for the Swans with Callum Mills suspended until round 13 and Sam Wicks also out with a hamstring injury.

Lewis Melican and Justin McInerney will return from their suspensions though and Harry Cunningham and Robbie Fox could also be included this week.

Another chop and change wee

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, T.McCartin, D.Rampe

HB: M.Roberts, N.Blakey, J.McInerney

C: J.Lloyd, I.Heeney, Co.Warner

HF: B.Campbell, J.Hamling, J.Jordon

F: W.Hayward, H.McLean, T.Adams

FOLL: B.Grundy, Ch.Warner, J.Rowbottom - C

I/C: R.Bice, C.Mitchell, A.Sheldrick, C.Cleary, P.Ladhams

EMG: O.Florent, B.Paton, J.Buller

In: - L.Melican, J.McInerney, C.Mitchell

Out: - S.Wicks (Injured), C.Mills (Suspension), O.Florent (Omitted).

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

Could Adelaide be a cheeky for the flag in 2025? I don’t think they are far off that statement but they are certainly moving in the right direction to be contender.

Resting some of their stars, the Crows still walked away with a 66-point win over West Coast last week kicking 128 points in the process in front of their home fans. The link between the midfield and the forward line was broken in 2024 but it can now easily be said that that has been repaired with Adelaide averaging 101 points per game in 2025.

It isn’t coming easy for the Crows who are winning the ball at the contest, ranked second in the AFL with an average of 136 contested possessions per game and also scoping out their opponents with 16 intercept per match, second-best in the league.

The Crows are also deadly when getting the ball inside 50, converting 27.75% of their forward entries into goals.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
7-4	4-7	3-4	4-0

Adelaide Crows Team News

Taylor Walker will return after taking the week off against West Coast with the gun forward likely to replace Zac Taylor.

Adelaide Crows Team List

B: J.Worrell, J.Butts, M.Hinge

HB: B.Smith, M.Keane, W.Milera

C: I.Cumming, J.Dawson - C, D.Curtin

HF: B.Keays, R.Thilthorpe, J.Rachele

F: A.Neal-Bullen, T.Walker, D.Fogarty

FOLL: R.O’Brien, I.Rankine, J.Soligo

I/C: J.Peatling, S.Berry, S.Draper, M.Michalanney, L.Pedlar

EMG: C.Burgess, Z.Taylor, H.Bond

In: - B.Smith, T.Walker

Out: - R.Laird (Managed), Z.Taylor (Omitted)

Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12?

You can watch the Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12?

To buy tickets to the Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows AFL 2025 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney Swans site.

Verdict

Sydney v Adelaide

Darcy Fogarty will be a multi goal scorer as the Crows kick over 90 points and cover the 7.5-point margin as the favourite against Sydney.

Adelaide -7.5

Handicap/Line

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Darcy Fogarty

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