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Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers Round 12 AFL Tips - Lions tipped to blow out the Bombers
The expert prediction for the Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers in Round 12 of the 2025 season highlights a favorable outcome for the Lions, expected to dominate at the Gabba under ideal weather conditions. The Lions showcase superior metrics like interception marks and are the premier team in kicking stats, while the Bombers have a notable history of substantial losses. Key players such as Dayne Zorko and Eric Hipwood are forecasted to perform exceptionally, further bolstered by potential betting opportunities favoring the Lions.
- Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 12 AFL game
- The game will be played at Gabba, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
- Lions excel in key metrics: interception marks, kicking stats.
- Key players Zorko and Hipwood expected to shine; Essendon struggles with form and injuries.
Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers Round 12 AFL Tips
Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction
Brisbane could potentially blow out the Bombers on Thursday night at the Gabba with good weather and a dry track expected.
- Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Brisbane Lions Team List
- Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Essendon Bombers Team News
- Essendon Bombers Team List
- Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s
What has hurt Brisbane so far this season is their poor starts to games. They have been able to overcome the sleepiness in most of the outings, coming from behind to snatch victory when their opposition has thought they were home and hosed.
Here the expectation is somewhat different. Essendon’s losses haven’t been close games, they have been beaten by 26 pts, 61 pts, 41 pts and most recently 91 pts showing that when they are off, they are way off!
The Lions are the team that Kicks the footy the most and Essendon are the team that everybody kicks against. Brisbane are also ranked 4th in Intercept Marks while the Bombers give up the most of any team to their opponents.
Brisbane’s backline will have a field day here racking up possessions and using their elite kicking skills to get out and create scoring opportunities from their back half where 39% of the Bombers opposition points originate.
With the line already so big the better value is on the Bombers team total Under, Dayne Zorko to hit 30 touches and Eric Hipwood to score 3 or more goals.
- 3 of the 4 Bombers losses this season have been by 40+ points.
- Essendon average just 63.8 pts over their last 5 games.
- Dayne Zorko has had 30+ disposals in 3 of his last 5 games.
- Eric Hipwood is averaging 1.8 goals per game and has had 3 games this season of 3+ goals.
Head to Head
Brisbane have won 5 of the last 7 games against Essendon dating back to the start of the 2019 season. They won the lone matchup last year 87-67 at the Gabba where the last 3 games straight have been played.
The Game Total has gone Under in two straight games and in 6 of the last 7 played between these teams. The Winning Margin has been 40+ in 4 of 7 games but in only 1 of the last 4 played.
Brisbane are 4-3 ATS in this head to head with all covers coming as the favourite.
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
The Lions returned to the winners circle last weekend with a convincing 93-60 win over Hawthorn at the MCG. The victory followed a 71-all draw with North Melbourne in Round 9 and a 99-88 loss to the Demons in Round 10.
Brisbane are outright second on the ladder thanks to the draw, lifting them above the Suns on the same amount of wins and just 2pts behind leaders Collingwood. They do though have the 2nd worst percentage of the top 8 teams at just 113.1 with all but 1 of their wins being 1-39 and the first loss to the Pies being a 52 pt margin.
The Lions rank 1st in the AFL in Stoppage Clearances and are the team that kick the ball the most averaging 231 kicks per game, contributing to their 6th ranking in Uncontested Possessions.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | 4-7 | 7-1 | 1-1 |
Brisbane Lions Team News
Oscar McInerney will be available for selection while Sam Day, Brandon Ryan and Brandon Starcevich are all at least 2 weeks away.
Brisbane Lions Team List
B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: N.Answerth, H.Andrews, D.Wilmot
C: J.Fletcher, H.McCluggage, Z.Bailey
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, W.Ashcroft
F: C.Rayner, L.Morris, C.Ah Chee
FOLL: D.Fort, J.Dunkley, L.Neale (c)
I/C: K.Lohmann, D.Robertson, J.Berry, L.Ashcroft, D.gardiner
EMG: L.Beecken, T.Gallop, O.McInerney
In: -
Out: -
Essendon Bombers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
The Bombers rebounded well from a dramatic loss to the Bulldogs two weeks ago to take care of the Tigers by 23 points in the Dreamtime at the G fixture last Friday.
The 81-58 victory was the 6th of the season for Essendon which puts them on 24 competition points in a congested middle tier of teams including the Bulldogs, GWS and Fremantle all on the same wins. The Bombers percentage of 85 is significantly worse than the teams around them with the other three all having 105 plus.
Essendon like to move the ball by hand and it comes as no surprise that they lead the league in Handballs, but they are also 16th in Turnovers with their efficiency taking a hit when passing through congestion. They are the best team at limiting their opposition at Stoppage Clearances.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | 3-7 | 6-1 | 0-3 |
Essendon Bombers Team News
A tough weekend for the Bombers with a host of names joining the already long injury list. Kyle Langfor, Zach Reid and Saad El-Hawli will all miss at least a month with soft tissue injuries. Ben McKay still has no timeline for his foot injury.
Essendon Bombers Team List
B: A.McGrath, J.Laverde, A.Roberts
HB: Z.Johnson, M.Redman, J.Prior
C: Z.Duursma, Z.Merrett (c), A.Clarke
HF: A.Perkins, N.Caddy, N.Martin
F: B.Hobbs, P.Wright, I.Kako
FOLL: T.Goldstein, J.Caldwell, S.Durham
I/C: E.Tsatas, J.Gresham, W.Setterfield, M.Guelfi, A.Day-Wicks
EMG: D.Shiel, J.Menzie, V.Visentini
In: Z.Johnson, E.Tsatas, A.Day-Wicks
Out: B.McKay, Z.Reid, K.Langford (all injured)
Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s
How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12?
You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12?
To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers AFL 2025 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.
Verdict
With the line already so big the better value is on the Bombers team total Under, Dayne Zorko to hit 30 touches and Eric Hipwood to score 3 or more goals.
Brisbane -42.5
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Essendon Under 65.5
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Dayne Zorko 30+
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Eric Hipwood 3+
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