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Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Round 12 Tips - Hawks to lose three on the trot
The upcoming match between Collingwood Magpies and Hawthorn Hawks is highly anticipated, with experts predicting Collingwood's strong defense to be pivotal for victory. Collingwood is currently the top-rated defensive team, leading in several key defensive statistics, while Hawthorn has struggled in clearance games. Despite their efficient ball movement, Hawthorn faces a tough task ahead. Collingwood is expected to control the game tempo and dominate stoppages. This match is crucial for betting trends, with Collingwood favoured to cover the line and Hawthorn projected to fall short of their team total.
- Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks expert predictions for Friday’s Round 12 AFL game
- The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
- Collingwood's defense is crucial for their expected win against Hawthorn.
- The Magpies lead the AFL in several defensive statistics and are favorites to set the game's tempo.
- Hawthorn struggles with stoppage clearance, highlighted against Brisbane, giving Collingwood an edge.
Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL Round 12 Tips
Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction
Collingwood’s defence will be the difference as they are expected to win and cover the line on Friday night at the MCG.
- Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks, Round 12 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Collingwood Magpies Team News
- Collingwood Magpies Team List
- Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Hawthorn Hawks Team News
- Hawthorn Hawks Team List
- Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s
The home team has won 6 of the last 7 games between these two teams with the winners also alternating between matchups - Hawthorn won the most recent game so now it is Collingwood’s turn!
The Pies are the top rated defensive team in the league at +9.8, miles ahead of the Lions in second spot with +6.7. They rank 3rd in Tackles and Opposition Turnovers, 2nd in Opposition Marks Inside 50, Opposition Goals per Inside 50 and Opposition Goal Accuracy while being the best team at restricting opposition Points from Stoppages.
Hawthorn are efficient ball movers but have been caned in the clearance game this year which was highlighted last weekend against a good Brisbane midfield. The Hawks rank 17th in Stoppage Clearances and now will face one of the toughest and most skillful midfield groups in the AFL.
Collingwood will determine the pace of this match and control the stoppages and clearances which will propel them forward making it extremely difficult for the Hawks to generate momentum and scoring opportunity.
Take Collingwood to cover the line, Hawks to go Under their team total and given Nick Daicos number for 30+ disposals is so low, let's take Josh who will see a lot of ball from the halfback line.
- Collingwood are the top rated defensive team in the AFL.
- The Magpies allow just 69.6 pts per game to opponents this season and are 2nd in Opposition Goals per Inside 50.
- Josh Daicos has had 5 games of 30+ disposals this season and is averaging 27.5 per game.
- Brody Mihocek has scored multiple goals in 6 of 8 games he has scored in this year.
Head to Head
The head to head matchups between these two teams have alternated winners since the start of the 2019 season. Hawthorn were the most recent victors in a 133-67 win last season and hold a 4-3 advantage in the time span.
The Game Total has gone Under in 4 of the last 7 while the most recent Hawks victory is the only game of the 7 that has had a 40+ point win margin.
The home team has won 6 of the last 7 between these teams.
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
The Pies consolidated their spot at the top of the AFL ladder with a convincing win over North Melbourne last weekend, running out 45 pt winners 108-63.
Despite missing a host of players, Collingwood went rampant in the 4th term having to come from behind at the half thanks to some plucky Kangaroos football. Jamie Elliot continued his recent form in front of goal kicking 5 in the game while also laying 5 tackles. The Daicos brothers both had over 30 disposals, joining for 69 total as well as 8 clearances from half back and through the middle.
Collingwood are ranked 3rd in Marks Inside 50 aswell as Points from Turnovers and Tackles showing their breadth across the park.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | 5-6 | 5-1 | 4-1 |
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Scott Pendlebury, Darcy Moore, Lachie Schultz and Steele Sidebottom are all expected to return this weekend. Bobby Hill is also set to return after missing last week’s win for personal reasons. Tew Jiath will need to test his foot before being up for selection.
Collingwood Magpies Team List
B: J.Howe, B.Frampton, J.Daicos
HB: I.Quaynor, D.Moore - C, D.Houston
C: J.Crisp, S.Pendlebury, P.Lipinski
HF: B.Hill, T.Membrey, B.McCreery
F: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, L.Schultz
FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, N.Daicos
I/C: H.Perryman, E.Allan, S.Sidebottom, W.Hoskin-Elliott, L.Sullivan
EMG: O.Steene, O.Markov, W.Hayes
In: - D.Moore, S.Pendlebury, B.Hill, L.Schultz, S.Sidebottom
Out: - B.Maynard (Injured), W.Hayes (Omitted), O.Markov (Omitted), W.Parker (Omitted), M.Cox (Omitted)
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
The Hawks have dropped two in a row losing first to the Suns in Darwin and then the Lions at home last weekend.
It had been 21 years since Hawthorn had lost to the defending premiers at the MCG and early on it looked to be a contest before the Hawks allowed their opponent to kick 7 goals to 2 in the 2nd term and from there it was all over red rover.
Hawthorn’s efficiency Inside 50 was down somewhat on their season average but they were clearly outplayed at the clearance 24-41 putting them on the backfoot from every stoppage.
The Hawks are 7-4 ATS this season and 9 of their 11 games have finished with margins of 1-39 pts.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | 5-6 | 5-4 | 2-0 |
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Jarman Impey welcomed a new baby 2 weeks ago and should be right to go this weekend. Luke Breust will need to prove his fitness to be up for selection after missing a couple of weeks with a back injury. Will McCabe, Noah Mraz and Ned Reeves are all tests.
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, J.Sicily - C
HB: C.Jiath, B.Hardwick, M.D’Ambrosio
C: K.Amon, J.Ward, H.Morrison
HF: J.Weddle, N.Watson, D.Moore
F: J.Ginnivan, M.Chol, J.Gunston
FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Worpel
I/C: J.Scrimshaw, C.Nash, J.Impey, C.Macdonald, F.Maginness
EMG: M.Ramsden, S.Butler, S.Mitchell
In: - J.Impey
Out: - C.Mackenzie (Omitted)
Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12 FAQ’s
How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12?
You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12?
To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks AFL 2025 Round 12 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.
Verdict
Take Collingwood to cover the line, Hawks to go Under their team total and given Nick Daicos number for 30+ disposals is so low, let's take Josh who will see a lot of ball from the halfback line.
Collingwood -8.5
Line
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Hawks Under 79.5
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Josh Daicos 30+
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