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Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 22 Tips - Saints tipped to go three in a row

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 07 Aug 2025 10:52

Ryan Tucker 07 Aug 2025

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Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 22 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
St Kilda favored to win against Richmond in Round 22.
Expect a closer game than the earlier season blowout.
Jack Macrae predicted to exceed 25 disposals.

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL Round 22 Tips

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints, Round 22 2025 - Expert Prediction

This game will likely be much closer than the blowout earlier this season but St Kilda are still tipped to win.

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints, Round 22 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Richmond Tigers Team News
Richmond Tigers Team List
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22 FAQ’s

The Saints have won 2 in a row and while they haven’t been comfortable wins by any stretch of the imagination they will still take confidence into this matchup knowing they put a big score on the Tigers earlier in the year.

Richmond are coming off their worst loss not only of the season but of the last 5 seasons, they struggled immensely to apply scoreboard pressure in the loss to Gold Coast and were completely overrun in the middle of the park.

St Kilda dominated the Inside 50’s last time these teams met and more of the same is expected with a 16 point difference in Attack Rating in 2025. Defensively the two sides are much closer and even the Saints have struggled at times to score this season.

Richmond are limping toward the end of the season while St Kilda are looking to go out on a high to show potential recruits they are a club worth coming to. Take the Saints to win and cover the line with the Game Total going Under as well as Richmond’s Team Total Under. Jack Macrae is in line for a 25+ disposal game.

St Kilda have won 4 straight against the Tigers including a 135-53 blowout earlier this season.
The Under has hit in 3 of the last 4 between these teams.
Richmond have averaged just 53 pts per game over their last 10 and managed just 23 pts last weekend.
Jack Macrae is averaging 25.9 disposals this season and had 31 against the Tigers earlier in the year.

Head to Head

St Kilda have won 4 straight and 7 of the last 10 regular season matchups against Richmond. The teams also met in a final in 2020 which Richmond won 80-49. The most recent game was in March this year with St Kilda posting their biggest total of the season winning 135-53

The last time these teams met at the MCG was in 2023 with Richmond winning 90-70.

The Game Total has gone Under in 6 of the last 10 regular season matchups including 3 of the last 4 while the Winning Margin has also been 1-39 in 6 of 10 games.

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	1-4

It was not a good day out for the Tigers last weekend when they took on the Gold Coast Suns for the second time this season. 107-23 was the final score, disheartening for a team that has shown a lot of promise this season during their rebuild.

Richmond kicked 2.11 on the day and only kicked their second goal 3 minutes before the game ended, it was their lowest scoring game of the season and lowest since a 62-22 defeat at the hands of the Saints in June of 2021. It was also the fewest goals and most inaccurate game in front of the sticks aswell.

The Tigers should put that game behind them as quickly as possible given they have shown bright spots throughout the season which includes ranking 2nd in Rebound 50’s and 3rd in Opposition Centre Clearances.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-10	6-14	4-6	1-9

Richmond Tigers Team News

Tom Lynch and Tim Taranto will both be available to play following returns from suspension and injury respectively.

Richmond Tigers Team List

B: N.Broad, B.Miller, T.Young

HB: S.Banks, N.Vlastuin, J.Short

C: J.Trezise, D.Prestia, K.McIntosh

HF: S.Campbell, J.Ross, M.Rioli

F: R.Mansell, T.Lynch, N.Balta

FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C: H.Armstrong, T.Hotton, T.Brown, T.Sonsie, S.Green

EMG: L.Trainor, J.Gibcus, T.Sims

In: - N.Broad, T.Lynch, T.Taranto

Out: - L.Trainor (Managed), J.Faull (Injured), T.Sims (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	4-1

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera. We could just write that, the kid is a star and backed up his heroic game winning efforts from 2 weeks ago with another solid performance last weekend which saw the Saints get one up over the Kangaroos 78-69.

It wasn’t all smooth sailing for St Kilda who were behind for a good portion of the match against the Kangas who are a bottom ranked side. But they once again stepped up when they needed to, securing victory in the final term.

St Kilda have had an up and down season and they still have a lot to work on both with their list and with their playing structures before they are going to be competing for a premiership. One thing they do do well is restricting turnovers, ranking 2nd in the AFL in that metric.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-11	13-7	5-9	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

Mitch Owens is done for the year with a hamstring injury in the win over North Melbourne. Isaac Keeler will need to test his hammy to see if he can play this weekend.

Mattaes Phillipou could be an option in the middle following a successful return to footy in the VFL.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: A.Tauru, C.Wilkie, A.Caminiti

HB: H.Clark, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: M.Windhager, H.Boxshall, B.Hill

HF: M.Wood, H.Garcia, M.Phillipou

F: J.Higgins, M.Heath, C.Sharman

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Steele - C, J.Macrae

I/C: Z.Jones, L.Stocker, D.Wilson, L.Henry, M.Hall

EMG: T.Travaglia, P.Dow, A.Hastie

In: - M.Phillipou, D.Wilson, L.Henry

Out: - M.Owens (Injured), R.Byrnes (Injured), A.Hastie (Omitted)

Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22 FAQ’s

How to watch Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22?

You can watch the Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22?

To buy tickets to the Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 22 game check the AFL website or the official Richmond Tigers site.

Verdict

Richmond Tigers v St Kilda Saints

Take the Saints to win and cover the line with the Game Total going Under as well as Richmond’s Team Total Under. Jack Macrae is in line for a 25+ disposal game.