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Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Round 22 Tips - Suns to snap losing streak against Blues

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 07 Aug 2025 10:53

Ryan Tucker 07 Aug 2025

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Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 22 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Gold Coast Suns likely to break their losing streak against Carlton Blues.
Suns have strong metrics: stoppage clearances, inside 50s, and disposal efficiency.
Key players Matt Rowell and Ben King expected to perform well.

Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL Round 22 Tips

Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 22 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Suns will snap a three game losing streak against Carlton this weekend as they edge closer to their first taste of finals footy.

Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 22 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22 FAQ’s

Gold Coast kicked into overdrive in the second half of their game against Richmond last weekend but will now face an opponent who are much more determined, more experienced and have more talent.

The Blues are playing for pride and while it can sometimes be difficult to get up for these games, they will head into the contest knowing they have dominated this opponent in recent years.

Where the Suns are likely to win the contest is around the stoppages. Jarrod Witts is an elite ruckman and Pittonet and De Koning will not be able to match his strength and reach to get to the ball. The Suns mids will feed as they have done all season to deliver the ball forward where they have the 4th best Accuracy in front of goal in the AFL.

They are the top ranked team for Stoppage Clearances, Inside 50’s and 3rd in Disposal Efficiency meanwhile Carlton will struggle to contain their opponents both through the middle and down back as we saw last weekend against Freo.

Take the Suns to win 1-39 as is the trend in this matchup. Matt Rowell is averaging 25+ this year and will have no problem going past that in this one. Jy Farrar is a sneaky pick for 2+ goals should he remain in the squad while Ben King is on track for another 3+ goal game.

The Suns outrank the Blues in a number of key metrics including Stoppage Clearances, Inside 50’s and Disposal Efficiency.
Matt Rowell averages 25.9 disposals per game this year and 31.4 over his last 4 games.
Jy Farrar has kicked 5 goals in his two AFL games and is hitting at 83% accuracy.
Ben King kicked 3 goals against Carlton last meeting and is averaging 2.7 goals per game this season on 64% accuracy.

Head to Head

Carlton have won 3 straight and 6 of the last 9 against the Suns with the most recent matchup last season ending in a 102-73 victory to the Blues at Marvel Stadium.

That game went Under the Game Total likewise 5 of the 8 before it. In only 1 of the previous 9 games has the score blown out, the winning margin almost exclusively staying between 1-39.

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	2-3

The Blues looked on track for an upset win over the Dockers last weekend as they dominated the early proceedings winning centre clearances 6-1 in the first term (and 5-0 in the second) and headed into the first break ahead on the scoreboard 30-12.

Their lead though was chipped away as the game progressed with the momentum shifting considerably after half-time with Freo taking over the clearance game as Carlton were dominated around the ground with the final Stoppage Clearance numbers finishing 43-27 in favour of their opponent.

Carlton rank 2nd in Contested Possessions but are inefficient when it comes to using the footy, ranking 17th in Disposal Efficiency this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-12	5-15	5-10	2-3

Carlton Blues Team News

Harry O’Farrell will need surgery to repair his ACL which was torn in last weekend’s loss. Jack Silvagni has now also been ruled out for the remainder of the season.

The Blues could welcome back Mitch McGovern, Adam Cerra and Orazio Fantasia should the trio pass fitness tests.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, M.Carroll

HB: L.Cowan, L.Young, N.Haynes

C: B.Acres, P.Cripps - C, A.Moir

HF: O.Hollands, H.McKay, W.White

F: L.Fogarty, H.O’Keeffe, Z.Williams

FOLL: T.De Koning, C.Lord, G.Hewett

I/C: B.Wilson, C.Durdin, F.Young, J.Motlop, F.Evans

EMG: J.Binns, M.Pittonet, A.Cincotta

In: - H.O’Keeffe, B.Wilson

Out: - H.O’Farrell (Injured), M.Pittonet (Omitted)

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	2-3

The Suns are not home and hosed yet but took a giant leap towards a maiden finals spot following a destructive 107-23 victory over the Tigers last weekend. It was a revenge spot for Gold Coast who were upset by the bottom feeders earlier in the season.

They now sit 6th on the ladder on 52 points and have the 5th best points differential of any team competing for a finals spot. They will need to win 2 of their remaining 4 games to keep control of their own destiny and should they win them all could finish in the top 4.

Noah Anderson and Matt Rowell have been elite all season long while Jarrod Witts could be the most underrated Ruck in the league with his 36 hitouts, 5 clearances and 2 tackles from the middle against an experienced opponent.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-9	10-9	7-5	6-1

Gold Coast Suns Team News

No major injury news for the Suns, Sam Clohesy will need to pass a fitness test to be available for selection. Not too many changes are expected.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: B.Uwland, M.Andrew, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, J.Jeffrey

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, B.Fiorini

HF: T.Miller, B.Ainsworth, B.Humphrey

F: B.Long, J.Farrar, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, A.Davies, N.Anderson - C

I/C: N.Holman, E.Read, C.Budarick, M.Rosas, O.Adams

EMG: A.Sexton, N.Moyle, J.Rogers

In: - M.Rosas

Out: - S.Flanders (Injured)

Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22?

You can watch the Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22?

To buy tickets to the Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 22 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton Blues site.

Verdict

Carlton Blues v Gold Coast Suns

Suns 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.10 - 2 Units

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Matt Rowell 25+

Disposals

$1.50 - 2 Units

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Jy Farrar 2+

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