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Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans Tips - Suns to settle back home v Swans

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 24 Apr 2025 16:54

Ryan Tucker 24 Apr 2025

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Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 7 AFL game
The game will be played at People First Stadium, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
Gold Coast Suns expected to win 1-39 points over Sydney Swans.
Key midfielder Matt Rowell anticipated to achieve 30 disposals.
Suns show superior Inside 50s and Ruck stats compared to Swans.

Top picks for Suns vs Swans!

Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction

Gold Coast will get back up on the horse with a win over the Swans at home this Sunday.

Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Sydney Swans Team News
Sydney Swans Team List
Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

Sydney are still struggling somewhat with injuries to their squad while the Suns will play two consecutive games in Queensland, allowing them to reset following the upset loss to Richmond last weekend.

Both teams could have won their respective games last week had they had better accuracy in front of goal. That is part and parcel of the game and difficult to predict on a week to week basis but we can assume that both teams will not be that bad this weekend.

In other areas of the game Gold Coast are outpacing the Swans, Inside 50’s is an important metric with the Suns getting 9 more forward entries per game than this week’s opponent. Their Ruck and Clearance numbers are also superior with injuries likely being why Sydney have struggled in that department so far this year.

Take Gold Coast to win 1-39, Sydney to go Under their team total and Matt Rowell to get to 30 in what is expected to be a tight contest with lots of stoppages.

Gold Coast allow the fewest Inside 50’s to Opponents at just 43 per game while averaging the most themselves at 63.8 per game.
3 of the last 4 games between these teams have finished within 1-39 point margin as well as 66% of all games played this year.
Sydney have gone Under 79.5 pts in 2 straight games and 4 of 6 this season.
Matt Rowell had 29 disposals last weekend and is averaging 27.6 on the season.

Head to Head

The Swans have won 3 in a row against the Suns while also holding a 5-3 advantage in the head to head record dating back to the start of the 2019 season.

2 of the last 3 games have gone Over the Game Total but it is an even 4-4 across the last 8 matchups. The shortest winning margin was 14 points in 2022 with 5 of 8 being 40+ since 2019.

Gold Coast are 5-3 ATS.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	3-2

The Suns suffered their first loss of the season last week and it was a surprising one to the Richmond Tigers 80-69. Gold Coast never led in the contest and at one point in the 3rd quarter were down by 43 points to their opposition.

Despite losing they did perform well in a number of statistics across the park. They almost doubled Richmonds number of Marks Inside 50 (13-7), they won the hitout and clearance battles, and their disposal efficiency was only .6% lower than their season average.

Where the game was lost was in their accuracy in front of the sticks. It was the worst of any game they have played so far this year, kicking 9 goals and 15 behinds.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-2	3-2	1-1	3-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

As of Thursday when teams were released there were no changes to the lineup for the Suns but they have named an extended bench which will be cut at 5pm eastern on Friday. No major injury news following last weekend’s loss.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: M.Andrew, J.Jeffrey, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, W.Powell, D.Rioli

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, T.Miller

HF: W.Graham, J.Walter, S.Flanders

F: E.Read, B.Long, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, B.Humphrey, N.Anderson - C

I/C (FROM): N.Holman, B.Fiorini, B.Ainsworth, N.Moyle, J.Rogers, B.Uwland, S.Clohesy, C.Budarick

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	1-4

Sydney suffered their second straight loss and 4th of the season last weekend against Port Adelaide at the SCG. They ended up losing the game 85-77 after being down by 34 points shortly after the start of the final term, but never held the lead throughout the entire contest.

The Swans had 7 more scoring shots than Port Adelaide but a 10.17 scoreboard is not winning you games, especially if the opponent is converting at a much higher rate. Hayden McLean, Nick Blakey and Braeden Campbell combined for 2 goals 9 behinds in a poor day in front of goal for the Bloods.

Despite losing the game the Swans were strong at getting Inside 50, having 7 more entries than their season average of 54.5 per game. They decided to use a lot more of the ball by hand with almost 40 more handballs than a regular game while still keeping the efficiency at a top level.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-3	2-4	1-4	1-0

Sydney Swans Team News

Similarly to the Suns, as of Thursday when teams were released there were no changes to the lineup for the Swans but they have named an extended bench which will be cut at 5pm eastern on Friday. The Swans could start to see players returning from injury next week.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, T.McCartin, D.Rampe

HB: M.Roberts, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: J.Lloyd, I.Heeney, O.Florent

HF: J.McInerney, H.McLean, J.Jordon

F: W.Hayward, A.Francis, B.Campbell

FOLL: B.Grundy, Ch.Warner, J.Rowbottom - C

I/C (FROM): B.Paton, J.Hamling, Co.Warner, T.Hanily, R.Bice, P.Ladhams, A.Sheldrick, C.Cleary

Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7?

You can watch the Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Suns vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 7 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast Suns site.

Verdict

Gold Coast v Sydney

Take Gold Coast to win 1-39, Sydney to go Under their team total and Matt Rowell to get to 30 in what is expected to be a tight contest with lots of stoppages.

Gold Coast 1-39

Win Margin

$2.05 - 3 Units

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Sydney Under 79.5

Team Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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Matt Rowell 30+

Disposals

$2.50 - 1 Unit

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