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Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Tips - Can the Demons make it two wins on the trot in ANZAC Eve showdown at the MCG

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: 24 Apr 2025
Adam Cusworth 24 Apr 2025
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  • Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 7 AFL game
  • The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEST)
  • Can the Demons make it two wins on the trot in ANZAC Eve showdown at the MCG
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Tips

Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction

  • Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Melbourne Demons Team News
  • Melbourne Demons Team List
  • Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Richmond Tigers Team News
  • Richmond Tigers Team List
  • Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

Melbourne will continue their recent dominance over Richmond under the MCG lights on ANZAC Eve. 

Both sides secured stunning upset wins last weekend with the Demons taking out Fremantle by 10 points at the MCG, while Richmond outlasted Gold Coast by 11 at Marvel Stadium. 

Melbourne have the inferior win-loss record at this stage of 1-5, while Richmond are 2-4. But the Demons might have found the right formula heading inside forward 50 and we can expect Max Gawn to continue his brilliant form in the ruck. 

Big Maxy had 28 disposals, 31 hitouts and 10 clearances against the Dockers and will be a brick wall to get past when the Tigers look to advance forward. 

The line looks well and truly within the Demons grasp, given the recent history between the two sides. 

  • Melbourne have won the last five matches between the two sides by an average margin of 32 points
  • Richmond’s four losses this year have been by an average margin of 60 points
  • Max Gawn has averaged 25+ disposals in his past two matches against Richmond
  • Clayton Oliver has averaged 31 disposals in his past three matches against Richmond

Head to Head 


Melbourne have won the last five matches between the two sides by an average margin of 32 points. Max Gawn was dominant in the 43-point ANZAC Eve match last year for the Demons, while Maurice Rioli booted two goals for the Tigers. 

Clayton Oliver has averaged over 31 disposals in his past three matches against Richmond, while Christian Petracca has averaged a tick over 25. Jacob Hopper and Nick Vlaustin have been amongst Richmond’s best contributors, averaging 23 disposals in recent times. 

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-41-43-2
Melbourne’s win last weekend came on the back of some domination in the ruck, while they moved the ball quickly by hand to set up their new look forward line after sending Bailey Fritsch and Jacob van Rooyen to the VFL. Kozzie Pickett kicked five goals, while Harrison Petty booted four. 

The Demons kicked 107 points for the game, smashing their previous best this season of 74. They had registered that at half-time of the Dockers clash. Pickett has now kicked seven from three matches this season. 

Melbourne had six players that registered 25+ disposals last weekend, including Max Gawn with 28, while Clayton Oliver had 25. Oliver averages 28.5 disposals this season. It will be interesting to see if the Demons have found the right formula in their forward half. Prior to the Dockers match they averaged just 60 points per game, losing their opening five by an average margin of just under 40 points. 

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-3940+
2-43-31-30-2

Melbourne Demons Team News


Steven May missed last week with plantar fasciitis and will be tested at training. Bailey Fritsch and Jacob van Rooyen were quiet in the VFL with one goal apiece and might need more before pressing their claims for a recall. 

Melbourne Demons Team List


B: J.Bowey, S.May, C.Salem
HB: C.Windsor, T.McDonald, J.McVee
C: K.Chandler, J.Viney, E.Langdon
HF: T.Sparrow, T.Fullarton, K.Pickett
F: K.Tholstrup, B.Fritsch, C.Spargo
FOLL: M.Gawn - C, C.Petracca, H.Langford

I/C: C.Oliver, X.Lindsay, T.Rivers, H.Sharp, H.Petty
EMG: J.Billings, B.Howes, A.Johnson

IN: S.May, J.McVee, B.Fritsch
OUT: B.Howes (Omitted), D.Turner (Injured), J.Melksham (Managed)

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form
Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-33-2
Richmond claimed their win over the Gold Coast, despite going down 42-62 in the inside-50 count. Nick Vlaustin produced a huge effort in the backline with 15 intercept possessions on his way to 27 disposals for the game, while Tim Taranto (35 disposals) and Jacob Hopper (27) were busy. 

Despite ranking last in the competition for inside 50s, 17th for disposals and 16th for clearances, the young Tigers have now pulled off two upset wins from their six matches. 

Hopper and Taranto average 25+ disposals this season. Seth Campbell has kicked 11 goals from his six matches. Tom Lynch, Sam Lalor and Maurice Rioli are going at a tick over one goal per game. 

2025 Betting Trends
ATSOver/Under1-3940+
3-33-32-10-3

Richmond Tigers Team News


No injury concerns for the Tigers out of the Gold Coast match. Plenty of players pressing for selection with some solid form in the VFL, including Jacob Bauer, Tyler Sonsie and Kaleb Smith. No.7 draft pick, Josh Smilie, continued his return from a hamstring injury with a solid contribution at the lower level. 

Richmond Tigers Team List


B: B.Miller, N.Broad, N.Vlastuin
HB: J.Short, S.Banks, L.Trainor
C: H.Ralphsmith, T.Dow, J.Trezise
HF: S.Campbell, J.Ross, S.Green
F: J.Faull, T.Lynch, M.Rioli
FOLL: T.Nankervis - C, T.Taranto, J.Hopper

I/C: R.Mansell, T.Brown, C.Gray, K.McIntosh, S.Lalor
EMG: T.Sonsie, J.Bauer, K.Smith

In: R.Mansell, C.Gray
Out: N.Balta (Personal Reason), S.Ryan (Injured)

Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s

How to watch Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7?

You can watch the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7?

To buy tickets to the Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2025 Round 7 game check the AFL website or the official Melbourne Demons site.

Verdict

Melbourne to cover the line with Max Gawn and Clayton Oliver to be prominent
Best Bet1: Melbourne Demons -22.5 Handicap +22.5 $1.95 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Max Gawn 20+ disposals $1.48 at picklebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Max Gawn 25+ disposals $3.00 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Clayton Oliver 30+ disposals $2.20 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Melbourne Demons -22.5
Handicap +22.5
$1.95 - 1 Unit
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Betting Slip | 24 Apr 2025

Melbourne v Richmond