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St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions Tips - Lions tear a part the poor Saints defence
In the upcoming AFL 2025 Round 7 matchup, the Brisbane Lions aim to bounce back against the St Kilda Saints at Marvel Stadium. After a heavy defeat by Collingwood, Brisbane is predicted to go on the offensive, leveraging their strong historical performance against the Saints, who have been struggling defensively. Key player Cam Rayner is expected to have another standout performance with multiple goals. The Lions are set to capitalize on St Kilda's defensive weaknesses to cover the 13.5-point margin.
- St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 7 AFL game
- The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
- St Kilda's defensive struggles continue, conceding 98 points/game.
- Cam Rayner expected to score multiple goals.
Jez Tips for St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions
St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Lions will leap back into form the best way they know how and go on the full attack against the Saints at Marvel Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
- St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions, Round 7 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- St Kilda Saints Team News
- St Kilda Saints Team List
- Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Brisbane Lions Team List
- St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s
Brisbane took their first defeat of 2025 and it was a heavy one against Collingwood last week, but they are not expected to spend time licking their wounds and they will hand out their own thumping in Round 7 against the Saints.
St Kilda have fallen of the wagon defensively in 2025 and are conceding an average of just under 100 points per game. Brisbane scored over 125 points in both matches against St Kilda last season and they are expected to do something similar and surpass their team total of 98.5 points.
Cam Rayner kicked 3.0 and 1.3 against the Saints in 2024 for Brisbane and the utility forward has come to life a little in 2025 with two 2+ goal games over the last couple of weeks. Expect the 25-year-old to continue to repay the lions for his long contract extension and record another multi score game.
- Brisbane have won their last 6 matches against St Kilda by no less of a margin than 12 points.
- St Kilda has conceded 110 points or more in 3 of their 6 matches this season
- Brisbane scored an average of 125 points in their two games against St Kilda last season.
- Cam Rayner has kicked 2 goals in his last 2 matches for Brisbane.
Head to Head
Brisbane have won the last 6 matches against St Kilda and 8 of the last 9.
In 2024, Brisbane took a 20-points victory at the Gabba and an 85-point drubbing of the Saints at Marvel Stadium.
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
After looking sharp early, the Saints have now taken a couple of rough defeats in a row, losing to GWS 110-82 at Gather Round, followed by a disappointing 127-56 thumping by the Western Bulldogs last weekend.
St Kilda have been much more aggressive in their style of play in 2025 in an attempt to correct their poor attacking form over the last few seasons. Known to be one of the better defensive teams in the comp, their adjustments to be better with ball in hand have directly affected their ability to defend.
The Saints have conceded an average of 98 points per game so far in 2025, over 22 points per game more than they average in opposition points in the whole of the 2024 season.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
St Kilda Saints Team News
Dougal Howrds’s shoulder has past the test and has been picked in the backline for the Saints.
St Kilda Saints Team List
B: D.Howard, C.Wilkie, M.Windhager
HB: R.Byrnes, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair
C: D.Wilson, L.Stocker, M.Wood
HF: J.Higgins, B.Hill, M.Owens
F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, I.Keeler
FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C
I/C: Z.Jones, L.Collard, J.Webster, H.Garcia, M.Hall
EMG: H.Boyd, H.Boxshall, A.McLennan
In: D.Howard, I.Keeler
Out: A.Schoenmaker (Omitted), L.Henry (Omitted)
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
Brisbane's generally ferocious attack was tamed by their 2023 Grand Final superiors, with Collingwood holding the Lions to just 53 points and handing them a 52-point loss, their first of the season while taking over top spot on the ladder on percentage.
Brisbane have looked a little clunky at times in 2025, despite being undefeated before facing the Pies. Collingwood capitalized on the chances they were given while the Lions did not.
Brisbane were wasteful inside 50 against Collingwood and that has been a trend that they have carried throughout the start of the 2025 season, ranked 14th in accuracy and ninth in goals per inside 50. The positive is that they are getting the ball to their forward line often with an average of 55 inside 50s per game which is 6th-best in the AFL.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-39 | 40+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-1 |
Brisbane Lions Team News
Kai Lohman returns to the team after three weeks on the sideline in the only new addition for the Lions.
Brandon Starcevich is still sidelined with concussion.
Brisbane Lions Team List
B: D.Zorko, J.Payne, R.Lester
HB: N.Answerth, H.Andrews - C, D.Wilmot
C: J.Fletcher, Z.Bailey, J.Berry
HF: C.Cameron, E.Hipwood, H.McCluggage
F: C.Rayner, S.Day, C.Ah Chee
FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale
I/C: K.Lohmann, W.Ashcroft, L.Ashcroft, L.Morris, J.Tunstill
EMG: S.Marshall, D.Gardiner, D.Fort
In: K.Lohmann
Out: S.Marshall (Omitted)
St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7 FAQ’s
How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7?
You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7?
To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions AFL 2025 Round 7 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.
Verdict
Brisbane will kick over 98.5 points on their way to covering the 13.5-point margin with Cam Rayner kicking 2+ goals.
Brisbane -13.5
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Brisbane Over 98.5
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$1.91 - 2 Units
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