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Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Round 4 Tips - Another low score for the Pies
The Brisbane Lions are set to face the Collingwood Magpies in a highly anticipated Round 4 AFL game in 2026. With Brisbane favored by a 16.5 line, the expert recommendation is to bet on the under 179.5 total points, given both teams' strong defensive plays. Brisbane, buoyed by their first-season win over St. Kilda, is expected to pressurize the Pies in clearances, with Lachie Neale playing a crucial role. Meanwhile, young gun Logan Morris could exploit a Collingwood backline missing Darcy Moore. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game.
- The game will be played at Gabba on Thursday, 2nd April, with the bounce at 7:30 PM (AEDT)
- Brisbane is favored at 16.5 but go for under 179.5 total points.
- Key plays: Lachie Neale in disposals, Morris in goals due to Moore's absence.
- Collingwood struggles in scoring; strategy focus on defence.
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL Round 4 Tips
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 4 2026 - Expert Prediction
Another Thursday night classic between Brisbane and Collingwood is a tough one to pick with the 16.5 line in favour of Brisbane, so take the under 179.5 with both sides locking down defensively.
- Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies, Round 4 2026 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head Stats
- Brisbane Lions Form Analysis
- Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
- Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies Team List & News
- Brisbane Lions Team News
- Collingwood Magpies Team News
- Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 FAQ’s
Brisbane got their first win of the season against St Kilda last week and will likely be steady with victory over Collingwood at the Gabba, despite the Pies recent 2-0 record in the River City. The line is smack-on though and leaning either way is not comfortable.
One thing that has been certain is that Collingwood haven’t scored big points since midway through last season and if they are going to stay in this fight with the Lions they are going to have to push the uncontested possessions and lockdown heavily at the back, which has worked for them in 2026.
Brisbane will put pressure on the Pies at the clearances, which has always been their strength and Lachie Neale will be heavily involved as he always is against the Pies.
Logan Morris has become the main big target deep and the youngster will have his work cut out for him, but his versatility to move for his size will be a mismatch with Darcy Moore out of the lineup and he will find position to get his chances at good handful of set shots. Expect the 20-year-old to kick a couple and make the call on chasing value with 3+ majors.
- 4 of the last 5 matches between the Lions and Magpies have gone under the game total.
- Collingwood average just 71.44 points in their last 9 games.
- Logan Morris kicked 6 goals against Collingwood in Round 21 last season.
- Lachie Neale averages 29.8 disposals in his last 5 matches against Collingwood.
Head to Head Stats
Brisbane have won the last 2 matches against the Pies with the latest knocking them out of the Preliminary Finals last season with a 100-71 victory at the MCG. Collingwood had won the 4 games prior, stretching back to the 2023 Grand Final.
4 of the last 5 games have gone under the game total.
Brisbane Lions Form Analysis
Brisbane got their season started in Round 3 after 2 losses to open 2026, beating St. Kilda 113-80 after a see-sawing battle. The Lions had the fitness and experience kicking away midway through the fourth with 6-straight goals from 6 different players.
Despite their slow start, there is not a soul that has any worries about who the Lions are in 2026. Chris Fagan knows when to get his troops into the right gear and the opening rounds are not as important to the Lions who are going for their third consecutive Premiership.
Clearances have always been the strength of the Lions and that is no different in 2026 leading the AFL with an average of 44 per game, mastering the new centre throw ups ranked second in centre clearance with 15.3 per game only fewer than the Western Bulldogs. .
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
The Pies did enough defensively to stay in control of an undermanned and inaccurate GWS Giants in Round 3, running away by 33 points on Friday night.
That is just it with Collingwood at the moment, the backline is winning them games, and that is fine, but it is unconvincing and their inability to tick over the scoreboard is becoming a real concern for them.
Collingwood have kicked an average of 71.44 points and a maximum of 87 points in their last 9 games. In 2026, they are ranked just 13th in the AFL in inside 50s, 12th in goals per inside 50 and 14th in shots per inside 50. The Pies are simply not getting the ball forward and when they do, they are wasteful.
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies Team List & News
Brisbane Lions Team News
Darcy Gardner will be out for a couple of months after dislocating his shoulder against St. Kilda. Noah Answerth has entered concussion protocol. Darragh Joyce and James Tunstill coming into the side.
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Huge outs with Darcy Moore and Scott Pendlebury sidelined. Lachie Sullivan and Will Hayes come in.
| Brisbane Lions | POS | Collingwood |
|---|---|---|
| K. Coleman, D. Joyce, R. Lester | B | B. Frampton, J. Howe, B. Maynard |
| D. Wilmot, J. Fletcher, D. Zorko | HB | D. Houston, J. Daicos, H. Perryman |
| B. Reville, W. Ashcroft, J. Berry | C | J. Crisp, N. Daicos, S. Sidebottom |
| C. Cameron, O. Allen, L. Ashcroft | HF | L. Schultz, J. De Goey, B. McCreery |
| S. Draper, C. Rayner, T. Gallop | F | J. Elliott, T. Membrey, D. McStay |
| D. Fort, J. Dunkley, L. Neale | FOLL | O. Steene, N. Long, P. Lipinski |
| K. Lohmann, L. McCarthy, L. Morris, J. Tunstill, Z. Bailey | I/C | I. Quaynor, D. Cameron, L. Sullivan, W. Hayes, R. Steele |
Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 FAQ’s
How to watch Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4?
You can watch the Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4?
To buy tickets to the Brisbane Lions vs Collingwood Magpies AFL 2026 Round 4 game check the AFL website or the official Brisbane Lions site.
Verdict
Under 179.5 is the play with Lachie Neale collecting 30+ disposals and Logan Morris kicking 3+ goals for Brisbane.
Under 179.5
Game Total
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Lachie Neale
30+ Disposals
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Logan Morris
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3+ Goals
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