ATP Tennis Predictions This Week - Almaty, Brussels & Lyon Outright Value Tips
This week's ATP Tour stops in Almaty, Brussels and Lyon, offering intriguing outright betting options at ATP 250 events. Daniil Medvedev is tipped as the standout favourite in Almaty, while Arthur Fils leads in Brussels and Ugo Humbert is highlighted as an excellent value pick in Lyon. Alternative value selections include Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alexander Blockx, and Titouan Droguet. The article analyses each tournament’s field, favourable player conditions, and recent form to provide six outright recommendations, guiding readers toward informed decisions in the outright winner markets.
- ATP outright predictions for this week's 250 events in Almaty, Lyon & Brussels
- Six betting tips provided ranging from $3.00 to $51
- Best outright tennis betting odds with Picklebet
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The ATP Tour heads to Almaty, Brussels and Lyon this week, with three ATP 250 tournaments offering plenty of opportunities to find value in the outright winner markets. With established champions, rising stars and dangerous outsiders competing across the three draws, we've identified six outright bets worth considering.
Daniil Medvedev ($3.75), Arthur Fils ($3.10) and Ugo Humbert ($17.00) headline our best bets, while Stefanos Tsitsipas ($7.00), Alexander Blockx ($15.00) and Titouan Droguet ($51.00) offer alternative value at bigger prices.
Medvedev arrives in Kazakhstan as the defending champion and arguably the standout player in the Almaty field. Fils has the opportunity to capitalise on his excellent hardcourt form in Brussels, while Humbert's impressive indoor record makes him an attractive option at double-figure odds in Lyon.
For those chasing bigger returns, Tsitsipas has rediscovered consistency, Blockx has the talent and home support to challenge in Belgium, and Droguet offers an intriguing longshot option in France.
All outright winner odds are from Picklebet and are subject to change. Reasoning for each tip can be found below.
ATP Almaty | ATP Lyon | ATP BrusselsBet on Tennis with PicklebetBet Here
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| Tournament | Winner Prediction | Bet Type | Picklebet Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Almaty | Daniil Medvedev | Best Bet | $3.75 |
| ATP Almaty | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Value Bet | $7.00 |
| ATP Lyon | Ugo Humbert | Best Bet | $17 |
| ATP Lyon | Titouan Droguet | Value Bet | $51 |
| ATP Brussels | Arthur Fils | Best Bet | $3.10 |
| ATP Brussels | Alexander Blockx | Value Bet | $15 |
ATP Almaty Outright Predictions
Best Bet: Daniil Medvedev to Win - $3.75
Medvedev returns to Almaty looking to defend his title, and the Russian has put together the sort of form that makes him a deserving outright favourite.
Medvedev captured last year's Almaty Open after reaching the Shanghai Masters semi-finals, and he's once again carrying significant momentum into Kazakhstan. The former US Open champion has compiled an impressive 11-1 record in completed matches during this year's Asian swing, reinforcing his credentials as the man to beat.
The draw also works strongly in Medvedev's favour. As the only top-20 player in the field, he has a significant advantage in experience and proven quality over his leading challengers. His first-round bye means he requires just four victories to successfully defend his crown.
Conditions should also suit the Russian. Almaty sits approximately 700 metres above sea level, where the thinner air can contribute to quicker ball movement. Medvedev has historically been most dangerous on hardcourts, particularly when he can establish his rhythm behind a reliable serve and control rallies with his exceptional court coverage.
The combination of current form, favourable conditions and a manageable four-match route to the title makes Medvedev a strong outright selection.
Value Bet: Stefanos Tsitsipas to Win - $7.00
Tsitsipas represents an appealing alternative to Medvedev in the Almaty outright market, particularly given his improved results over recent months.
The Greek has won 17 of his last 23 matches, including four victories over top-20 opponents. That level of opposition provides encouragement that Tsitsipas is rediscovering the consistency required to compete for ATP titles.
His record against lower-ranked opponents is particularly relevant this week. Tsitsipas has won nine of his last 10 hardcourt matches against players ranked below him, suggesting he has been doing an excellent job of avoiding the unexpected defeats that can derail an outright tournament bet.
With only one top-20 player in the draw, Tsitsipas has an opportunity to build momentum against opponents he would generally expect to beat.
His attacking forehand and first-strike tennis also give him the weapons to take advantage of the potentially lively conditions in Almaty.
At $7.00, Tsitsipas offers a worthwhile value proposition for bettors looking beyond the defending champion.
ATP Lyon Outright Predictions
Best Bet: Ugo Humbert to Win - $17.00
Humbert stands out as one of the more attractive outright selections across this week's three ATP tournaments, with his $17.00 price offering significant upside.
Indoor hardcourt tennis has consistently brought out the best in the Frenchman. Four of Humbert's seven ATP singles titles have come indoors on hardcourts, demonstrating his ability to thrive in controlled, fast-playing conditions.
Humbert has also reached finals in Adelaide and Eastbourne this season, two events where quicker courts reward his aggressive baseline game and effective left-handed serve.
Perhaps the strongest argument for backing Humbert is his recent indoor tournament record. The Frenchman has won three of his last six ATP indoor hardcourt events, a remarkable strike rate that suggests his outright price could underestimate his chances when playing in his preferred environment.
His flat groundstrokes, ability to take the ball early and experience winning titles on home soil make him particularly dangerous in Lyon.
While the field contains several accomplished players, Humbert's indoor credentials are strong enough to justify an outright investment at double-figure odds.
Value Bet: Titouan Droguet to Win - $51.00
Droguet is our longshot selection in Lyon, with the Frenchman enjoying a breakout ATP season and showing enough promise to warrant consideration at $51.00.
Droguet has compiled a positive 10-9 tour-level record in 2026, an encouraging return for a player continuing to establish himself on the main tour.
His most relevant performance came in February, when he reached the semi-finals in Montpellier, another French indoor hardcourt tournament. That run demonstrated his ability to compete deep into an ATP event under similar conditions.
The early draw also offers a potential opportunity.
Droguet opens against an out-of-form Daniel Altmaier before a possible second-round meeting with Arthur Fery, who shapes as one of the more approachable seeded opponents in the field.
Although winning the title would require several strong performances, Droguet has already shown he can compete successfully at this level.
For a player with more ATP match wins than losses this season, a $51 outright price provides an interesting risk-reward opportunity.
ATP Brussels Outright Predictions
Best Bet: Arthur Fils to Win - $3.10
Fils enters Brussels as the top seed and our preferred outright selection, with the Frenchman enjoying the most successful season of his career.
Fils has compiled an outstanding 35-13 record in 2026, breaking into the world's top 10 and establishing himself among the ATP Tour's leading young players.
There is also plenty at stake beyond the Brussels title. Fils is pushing for a place at the season-ending ATP Finals, providing additional motivation to collect valuable ranking points during the closing stages of the year.
The European Open is familiar territory for the Frenchman, who finished runner-up to Alexander Bublik in 2023 when the tournament was held in Antwerp.
His hardcourt results this season have been particularly impressive. Fils boasts a 25-10 record on the surface, including 12 victories from his last 16 matches.
He has also been highly reliable against lower-ranked opponents, winning 16 of 20 such hardcourt encounters in 2026.
That consistency is crucial in an ATP 250 event where the leading seed is expected to navigate several matches against players outside the world's elite.
With his explosive forehand, athleticism and increasingly reliable results, Fils looks well-positioned to challenge for the Brussels title.
Value Bet: Alexander Blockx to Win - $15.00
Blockx is our value selection in Brussels, with the Belgian youngster enjoying a breakthrough campaign and possessing the potential to make another deep tournament run.
Blockx recently reached the US Open quarter-finals, underlining his ability to compete against high-quality opposition on hardcourts.
His early exits during the Asian swing should not be viewed too negatively. Blockx lost two tightly contested tiebreaks against Valentin Vacherot in Tokyo before holding two match points against an in-form Quentin Halys in Shanghai.
Those results suggest his performances have been more competitive than the defeats alone indicate.
The Belgian has already demonstrated an ability to reach the latter stages of major tournaments, making the Madrid Masters semi-finals and Estoril final alongside his impressive run to the last eight in New York.
Home advantage could provide another significant boost.
Blockx will enjoy strong support from the Brussels crowd as one of Belgium's most exciting tennis prospects in years, and that atmosphere could prove particularly valuable in close matches.
With proven tournament pedigree, strong hardcourt results and the backing of the home crowd, Blockx looks capable of outperforming his $15 outright price.
Verdict
Our best bets for this week's ATP tournaments can be found below.
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