Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Back the Overs in Stuttgart quarter-final

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Fri 13 Jun 2025 01:27

Andrew Hendrie 13 Jun 2025

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Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima predictions for Friday's ATP Stuttgart QF
Zverev has won all three previous meeting, two of which featured at least one tiebreak
Nakashima has seen at least one tiebreak in four of his last five matches on grass
Zverev prevailed in a second set tiebreak in his Stuttgart opener
The match is scheduled to start around 11.00pm AEST on Friday June 13

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Alexander Zverev (Photo by Getty Images)

Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Top seed Alexander Zverev continues his BOSS Open title quest when he meets dangerous grass courter Brandon Nakashima in the quarter-finals in Stuttgart on Friday.

Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Head To Head
Alexander Zverev Form
Brandon Nakashima Form
Live Stream

Zverev is chasing his first grass title this week and this quarter-final showdown with Nakashima could prove a tough test. The American has made the fourth round of Wimbledon in the past and has a sneaky good serve that is very tough to break in these conditions.

I wouldn't be surprised to see at least one tiebreak here, or for Nakashima to win a set. The American has seen at least one tiebreak in four of his last five matches on grass, while Zverev needed to dig out a second set breaker in his Stuttgart opener against Corentin Moutet. I'm backing Over 22.5 total games, with some value on Zverev taking the opening set in a tiebreak.

Head To Head

Zverev has won the three previous meetings between the pair, all of which have come at Grand Slams, including a most-recent four-set victory at the 2024 US Open. Two of the three previous meetings have featured at least one tiebreak.

Alexander Zverev Form

Zverev enters this matchup with a 30-11 record for the season, having secured his only title at the ATP 500 event in Munich on clay.

His Grand Slam struggles have continued in 2025 — he fell short in his third major final at the Australian Open, losing to Jannik Sinner and his defeat to Novak Djokovic in four sets at Roland Garros extended his dismal record against top 10 opponents at Slams to 5-23.

Zverev also had a golden opportunity to climb to World No. 1 earlier this year during Sinner’s suspension, but he faltered under the weight of expectation and never truly threatened to seize the top spot.

The 28-year-old is bidding to capture his maiden grass title this week in Stuttgart and got his campaign up and running with a 6-2 7-6(6) dispatch of Moutet in his opener.

Brandon Nakashima Form

Nakashima comes into this encounter with a 16-15 record on the season, achieving a career-high ranking of No. 29 earlier in the year after dropping outside the top 100 in 2024.

In that regard, it's been an excellent last 12 months or so for Nakashima, who has a positive 14-12 career record at tour-level on grass.

The American predictably struggled on clay, winning back-to-back matches just once in the altitude of Madrid, losing his Roland Garros opener to Mariano Navone in four sets.

Back on his preferred grass, Nakashima has reached his first quarter-final since Houston in March, edging out Jacob Fearnley in three sets before a 6-3 7-6 victory over countryman Learner Tien in the second round.

Live Stream

Watch and bet on Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima live tennis from Stuttgart.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Stuttgart with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Alexander Zverev v Brandon Nakashima

Nakashima has a habit of playing tiebreaks on grass and Zverev hasn't been convincing at all this season, so Over 22.5 total games is backed.

Zverev snatching the opener in a tiebreak also looks good value on the Stuttgart lawns.

Over 22.5

Total Games

$1.73 - 3 Units

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Zverev 7-6

1st Set Score

$5.25 - 1 Unit

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