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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Top seed ADF to edge it
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to continue his pursuit for a maiden ATP title as he takes on Valentin Vacherot in the Adelaide International quarter-finals. Despite losing all five ATP finals he previously contested, Davidovich Fokina is determined to break the trend this week in Adelaide. His opponent, Vacherot, benefited from a walkover in the previous round and aims to make an impact on the main tour in 2026. This match promises to be a closely-fought contest, potentially exceeding 22.5 games, with Davidovich Fokina slightly favored to clinch a victory.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot predictions for Thursday's ATP Adelaide quarter-final match
- ADF chasing maiden ATP title after four defeats in finals last year
- Vacherot has repeatedly seen Over 22.5 games in his recent outings
- The match is scheduled to start around 9.00pm AEDT on Thursday January 15
Expired
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Photo by Getty Images)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina continues his quest for a maiden ATP title when he comes up against Shanghai Masters champion Valentin Vacherot in the Adelaide International quarter-finals on Thursday night.
'Foki Title Watch' is well and truly on in Adelaide as the Spaniard aims for that elusive ATP singles silverware in the City of Churches this week. Davidovich Fokina has lost all five ATP finals he's played throughout his career, including four last year - squandering championship points in two at Delray Beach and Washington. Surely 2026 is the year Davidovich Fokina breaks through and this week in Adelaide seems like a fantastic opportunity, with the Spaniard fresh off winning his first ever match as the top seed at an ATP tournament. Vacherot meanwhile benefitted from a Thanasi Kokkinakis withdrawal in the previous round as the Monaco man looks to establish himself on the main tour after last year's sudden and meteoric rise into the world's top 40.
I can see a lengthy affair playing out here. Both players love a grind and will sense an opportunity to win a title this week. I think winning an ATP title trumps the Australian Open next week for Davidovich Fokina, that's how heartbreaking some of those final defeats were last year. Backing Over 22.5 total games, with the top seed closing out a narrow victory.
Davidovich Fokina vs Vacherot Stats & Trends
- Davidovich has won 32 of his last 45 matches vs players outside the top 32
- Vacherot has seen Over 22.5 games in nine of his last 12 completed matches
- Davidovich prevailed in a fourth-set tiebreaker in their only previous encounter
- Davidovich Fokina has won six of his last eight quarter-final matches
Davidovich Fokina vs Vacherot Head To Head
Davidovich Fokina leads 1-0, emerging victorious in four sets in the opening round of the 2024 French Open.
| Tournament | Year | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roland Garros | 2024 | First Round | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 4–6, 6–2, 6–2, 7–6(2) |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 1-1
- 2025 Record: 44-25
- ATP Adelaide Record: 4-2
- Current Ranking: No. 15
- Career-High Ranking: No. 14 (November 2025)
Davidovich Fokina is coming off a career-best season in 2025 and it will be very interesting to see how he backs it up in 2026.
The Spaniard has always been supremely talented, but his focus and consistency held him back from a place near the top of the rankings.
That all changed last year, with Davidovich Fokina reaching four ATP finals, including three at 500 level in Acapulco, Washington and Basel.
Davidovich Fokina also made the fourth round of the Australian Open and semi-finals of Monte Carlo to end the year inside the world's top 15 for the first time.
The 26-year-old is hoping to kickstart his 2026 season in Adelaide after an opening round loss in Brisbane last week to eventual finalist Brandon Nakashima. Davidovich Fokina enjoyed a routine opening win after a first round bye, easing past Rinky Hijikata 6-3 6-2 for his first ever win as a top seed at an ATP tournament.
Valentin Vacherot Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 1-1
- 2025 Record: 15-4
- ATP Adelaide Record: 1-0
- Current Ranking: No. 32
- Career-High Ranking: No. 30 (November 2025)
Vacherot is set to embark on his first full season on the main tour after a remarkable late-year surge, sparked by a breakthrough run at the Shanghai Masters that lifted him from outside the top 100 into the world’s top 30 and secured a seeding for the upcoming Australian Open.
It marks a striking turnaround for the 27-year-old, who will be seeded on his Australian Open main-draw debut after previously failing to progress beyond second-round qualifying at the tournament.
He reinforced the legitimacy of his Shanghai success by backing it up at the Paris Masters, where he advanced to the quarter-finals to close out his 2025 campaign.
Vacherot’s 2026 season began with a narrow opening-round loss to Sebastian Korda in Brisbane, falling 7-6, 6-3, before steadying in Adelaide with a composed 7-6, 6-4 win over Miomir Kecmanovic. Vacherot didn't need to take to court for his second round after Thanasi Kokkinakis withdrew with a shoulder injury.
Davidovich Fokina vs Vacherot Live Stream
Watch and bet on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherot live Adelaide tennis.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Adelaide with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
I'm tipping a long encounter between these two evenly matched players, with top seed Foki having the slight edge as he continues his bid for a first ATP title.
Over 22.5
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