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Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League Tips & Prediction - Atletico to avoid defeat in UCL

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Tue. 03 Nov. 2026 02:23

Atletico Madrid are tipped to avoid defeat when they face Bayern Munich at the Metropolitano in the Champions League. Atletico remain unbeaten at home this season and have won eight of their last nine matches, including victories over Real Madrid and Manchester United. Bayern Munich have drawn their last two Champions League fixtures and have won only three of their last seven games in all competitions. Alphonso Davies and Alex Grimaldo are also tipped for shot props, with both players showing strong attacking involvement in recent matches.

Andrew Hendrie 2 hours ago
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  • Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich predictions for Tuesday's Champions League game
  • Atletico unbeaten at home this season; Bayern drawn last two UCL games
  • Attacking fullbacks Grimaldo & Davies tipped in shot props
  • The game is scheduled for kick off at 7.00am AEDT on Wednesday November 4
Atletico Bayern


Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich UEFA Champions League Tips & Prediction


Atletico Madrid are unbeaten at home this season & tipped to extend that record when they welcome Bayern Munich to the Metropolitano for Matchday 4 of the Champions League on Tuesday.

Bayern's last away day in the UCL resulted in a 3-3 draw with Viking and they've not been in great form for a while now, winning just three of their last seven outings. Atletico are tough to beat at home and have been on fire since going down to Liverpool in September.

Take the Spanish side to avoid defeat at home, while attacking fullbacks Alphonso Davies & Alex Grimaldo are backed in shot props.

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Predictions & Best Bets


Bet
Odds
Reasoning
Atletico Win or Draw$1.60 @ DabbleAtletico are unbeaten at home this season & come into this clash having won eight of their last nine games in all comps - including beat Real & Man United, while Bayern have failed to win four of their last seven in all comps, drawing 3-3 away to Viking & also being held at home by Arsenal in their last two UCL outings
Alphonso Davies 1+ Shots On Target$2.37 @ bet365Davis has registered a shot on target in two of his three UCL appearances this term - he loves to get forward & should get his chances here
Alex Grimaldo 2+ Shots$2.25 @ UnibetGrimaldo is the set piece taker for Atletico & has registered 2+ shots in five of his last seven La Liga games + had 3 vs United in the UCL. Grimaldo also scored on the weekend vs Levante

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Head To Head

Bayern hold a 4-2 advantage in this H2H, alongside two draws. Atletico have never lost to Bayern at home, winning twice and drawing once.

Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

It's been a great start to the season for Atletico, especially in La Liga.

Diego Simeone's side are second on the ladder, only two points adrift of Barcelona. Atletico have won nine of their 11 games in the league, including a 2-1 triumph over cross-town rivals Real.

That means Atletico have won eight of their last nine games overall since going down to Liverpool on Matchday 1 of the UCL at Anfield.

Atletico responded with a routine 2-0 win at home over embattled Man United, but were held to a 1-1 draw away to Stuttgart on Matchday 3.

Bayern Munich Form Analysis

Bit of an uncertain period for Bayern, especially with manager Vincent Kompany being hospitalized following his collapse at training. Kompany is out of hospital, but is still recovering at home.

Bayern have drawn their last two UCL outings against Viking (3-3) and Arsenal (2-2), while they also registered a 2-2 share of the spoils in this past weekend's Bundesliga blockbuster with Dortmund.

That result means Bayern and Dortmund are level on 18 points at the top of the Bundesliga table, while the German heavyweights are trying to avoid a third consecutive draw in the UCL proper for the first time in 20 years here.

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Team News

Atletico are dealing with several midfield absences, with Johnny Cardoso and Koke sidelined through injury and Morten Hjulmand unavailable due to suspension. Rodrigo Mendoza is consequently expected to earn a place in the starting XI.

Lee Kang-in could retain his position alongside Julián Alvarez in attack, leaving Jonathan David and Alexander Sorloth as potential options from the bench.

Atletico Madrid Possible Starting XI (4-4-2): Jan Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Álex Grimaldo; Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Rodrigo Mendoza, Álex Baena; Lee Kang-in, Julián Alvarez

Meanwhile, Bayern could once again turn to Jonas Urbig between the posts, with Manuel Neuer still doubtful. Michael Olise is also a fitness concern after being substituted late against Dortmund.

Bayern's injury list has grown further, with Ismael Saibari and Serge Gnabry joining Jamal Musiala and Luis Díaz on the sidelines.

Defensively, Jonathan Tah could be recalled in place of Kim Min-jae at centre-back, while Nathaniel Brown is tipped to start at left-back, allowing Alphonso Davies to operate further forward on the wing - which would be nice for our shots on target bet.

Bayern Munich Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig; Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Nathaniel Brown; Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic; Michael Olise, Lennart Karl, Alphonso Davies; Harry Kane

Verdict

Atletico are backed in the Double Chance market, with Davies & Grimaldo tipped for shot props.

Best Bet1: Atletico Win or Draw Double Chance $1.60 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Alphonso Davies 1+ Total Shots On Target $2.37 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Alex Grimaldo 2+ Total Shots $2.25 at Unibet Australia - 1 Unit
Atletico Win or Draw
Double Chance
$1.60 - 3 Units
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Bet at dabble
Alphonso Davies 1+
Total Shots On Target
$2.37 - 1 Unit
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Alex Grimaldo 2+
Total Shots
$2.25 - 1 Unit
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