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NRL Round 25 Margin Predictions: Best 1-12 and 13+ Bets for Every Game

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Mon 17 Aug 2026 09:11

NRL Round 25 brings a pivotal set of clashes as teams fight for finals spots or look to regain momentum. Key takeaways include Penrith tipped for a narrow win, Canberra and the Roosters predicted to win big, and close contests forecast for Dolphins, Newcastle, and Bulldogs. Expert analysis relies on recent team news and matchups: Canberra’s motivation, Cronulla’s strong record versus Gold Coast, and the Roosters’ dominance all stand out. Overall, margins are expected to matter as much as winners this round.

Jeremy Darke 2 hours ago
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  • Penrith, Roosters, and Raiders tipped for key wins based on form and injuries.
  • Cronulla and Roosters forecast for 13+ victories; close contests likely for Dolphins, Knights, Bulldogs.
  • Expert tips leverage team news, trends, and margin history for every NRL Round 25 fixture.
New Zealand Warriors
Margin Predictions for every game of NRL Round 25. (Photo by Mackenzie Sweetnam/Getty Images)

NRL Round 25 Margin Tips: Best 1-12 and 13+ Predictions


Round 25 brings another crucial weekend in the race towards the NRL finals, with several contenders under pressure to respond after disappointing results. Penrith are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, Canberra still have a slim finals chance, while the Roosters are emerging as one of the competition's genuine premiership threats.

Here are our best 1-12 and 13+ margin predictions for every NRL Round 25 game, using recent form, matchup trends and the latest team news.

Melbourne Storm vs Penrith Panthers

Tip: Penrith Panthers 1-12

Penrith have dropped three straight after previously sitting 13-1, but this looks like a good opportunity to respond against an injury-hit Melbourne side. The Storm are still expected to be without Jahrome Hughes and Harry Grant, while the Panthers remain $1.32 favourites despite their recent slide. Expect Penrith to bounce back, but not necessarily blow Melbourne away at AAMI Park.

Canberra Raiders vs Brisbane Broncos

Tip: Canberra Raiders 13+
Canberra Raiders1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
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Canberra kept their slim finals hopes alive by beating Cronulla last round, while Brisbane's season continues to unravel. The Broncos have now lost Reece Walsh for the remainder of the season and could also be without Adam Reynolds, making a trip to GIO Stadium even tougher. Canberra should have enough motivation and firepower to turn this into a comfortable home win.

Dolphins vs Parramatta Eels

Tip: Dolphins 1-12
Dolphins1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
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The Dolphins have been inconsistent, but their attack should cause problems for a Parramatta defence that remains vulnerable through the middle. The Eels produced a good upset last week and Mitchell Moses is finding some rhythm, so this may be closer than the market expects. The Dolphins have won the recent meetings between these sides and should edge it at Suncorp.

Newcastle Knights vs Manly Sea Eagles

Tip: Newcastle Knights 1-12
Newcastle Knights1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
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Newcastle are building at exactly the right time and could regain Bradman Best, Jacob Saifiti and James Schiller this week. Manly's late-season slide has knocked them out of finals contention, although possible returns for Tom Trbojevic, Ethan Bullemor and Ben Trbojevic should make them more competitive. The Knights should win at home, but Manly's inclusions point towards a margin inside 12.

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors

Tip: New Zealand Warriors 1-12
New Zealand Warriors1-12 Winning MarginBET HERE
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The Warriors have another major injury headache after losing Luke Metcalf, while Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad is suspended for two matches. South Sydney are also improving and held Canterbury to just six points last week, so this won't be straightforward. The Warriors' powerful forward pack remains their biggest advantage and should be enough to grind out a narrow victory.

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Tip: Canterbury Bulldogs 1-12
The Dragons have recorded back-to-back wins for the first time since August 2025, but Canterbury have dominated this matchup recently and desperately need a victory to keep their finals hopes alive. The Bulldogs have won the last five meetings between the sides, although their 22-6 defeat to South Sydney last week makes a big margin difficult to trust.

Gold Coast Titans vs Cronulla Sharks

Tip: Cronulla Sharks 13+
Cronulla Sharks13+ Winning MarginBET HERE
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Cronulla have hit a rough patch with consecutive defeats and will be without Braydon Trindall, but Addin Fonua-Blake's return gives their pack an important boost. The strongest trend is the matchup itself: Cronulla have repeatedly put big scores on Gold Coast in recent meetings, including 44-0 and 54-point performances highlighted in the supplied analysis. Back the Sharks to rediscover their attack against the Titans.

Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers

Tip: Sydney Roosters 13+
Sydney Roosters13+ Winning MarginBET HERE
The Betfocus.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.

The Roosters are one of the competition's hottest teams and could welcome James Tedesco back after his ankle injury. Sydney's most recent huge statement was an 82-12 demolition of North Queensland, while the Tigers arrive after another loss and sit 14th on the ladder. With the Roosters chasing the premiership and getting a longer turnaround into Sunday, this shapes as the biggest mismatch of Round 25.

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