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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 Tips & Predictions - A dull Christmas in Kansas

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Mon 22 Dec 2025 13:17

Jeremy Darke 22 Dec 2025

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Expert NFL Tips for Week 17
Kick Off is at 12:15 PM AEDT at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs without Patrick Mahomes, will rely on Chris Oladokun.
Low-scoring game expected, under 37.5 points recommended.

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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 Tips

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 Tips & Predictions

The Chiefs dynasty is on pause while the rise of the Denver Broncos is upon us. The line is 13 points in favour of Denver for good reason and with no love lost between these two divisional rivals the Broncos will cover as the heavy favourites.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 17 Tips & Predictions
Head to Head Record
Denver Broncos Form
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs Form
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Frequently Asked Questions

The Chiefs are without Patrick Mahomes and will now be playing their third-string quarterback Chris Oladokun after Minshew was injured against the Titans. The QB situation along with no playoff hope for Kansas, this game is set to be a bloodbath.

The under 37.5 is definitely the play with the Chiefs defence still intact enough to hold the Denver offence to a respectable score in front of their home fans and you can’t expect much from the Kansas offence at all.

Cortland Sutton was heavily targeted in the Broncos loss to the Jaguars last week and you will see his receptions stay above 5 this week, even if the Broncos are set to run the ball a lot.

Denver have won 3 of the last 4 against the Chiefs
The Chiefs failed to score a touchdown last week.
Denver’s defence ranks third in the NFL with 19.7 opposition points per game.
Cortland Sutton has an average of 6 receptions in his last 4 games.

Head to Head Record

All Time Record

Kansas City Chiefs lead all-time series 73-58.

Most Recent Matchup

Date	Result
Nov 16, 2025	KAN 19, @DEN 22

Statistical Rankings

Stat	DEN	KAN
Points Scored/Game	24.1 (13th)	22.5 (20th)
Points Allowed/Game	19.7 (5th)	19.6 (4th)
Pass Yds/Game	233 (8th)	233 (9th)
Rush Yds/Game	118 (18th)	109 (22nd)
Def. Pass Yds/Game	201 (10th)	204 (12th)
Def. Rush Yds/Game	90 (2nd)	103 (8th)

Denver Broncos Form

Denver got a real wake up call in Week 16, going down to the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-20, giving up 279 yards passing and three touchdowns to Trevor Lawrence, proving that not only defence wins championships.

As many, I have had real concerns for the Broncos and their inability to score points. Their game against the Jags is the perfect example. Bo Nix threw for 352 yards; they had 100 on the ground and still failed to keep up with Jacksonville scoring just 2 touchdowns.

Third down conversions in the match were just 35% which would be good for 26th in the lead, slightly lower than the season average of 40%. Denver can be bullies but can they do it against playoff calibre competition?

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

m Table
Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Away	Home
DEN	12-3-0	6-8-1	7-8-0	5-2-0	7-1-0

Kansas City Chiefs Form

It is all over red rover for the Kansas City Chiefs in 2025. No chance of the playoffs, no Mahomes and now no Minshew. Chris Oladokun is now the starting quarterback for the Chiefs. No, I haven’t heard of him either.

It is clear the Chiefs are done, going down heavily to the Tennessee Titans in Week 16, failing to score a touchdown in their 26-9 loss. Kansas had just 133 yards of TOTAL offence in the match and the defence could only do so much defending poor field position all day.

The dynasty is on pause…. At least.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

Team	Record	ATS	O/U	Away	Home
KC	6-9-0	5-10-0	4-11-0	1-6-0	5-3-0

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs start?

Kickoff between Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs is at 12:15 PM AEDT, Friday

What channel is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on?

You can watch Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on DAZN

Verdict

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Denver will put their foot down on the chiefs and cover the 13-point line as the faovurite, however, this game will still see less than 38 points. Courtland Sutton will be the main target with 5+ receptions.

Denver -13

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Under 37.5

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Courtland Sutton

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The GOAT.

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