• Home
  • Cricket
  • BBL

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Tips - Stars Tipped to get Back on Track in Derby

ryan-tucker
Editor
Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Sat 03 Jan 2026 14:58

The Melbourne Stars are set to face off against the Melbourne Renegades in a Big Bash League encounter that appears one-sided. With the Stars boasting a strong start to the season, winning four out of five matches, they are favored to triumph again. In contrast, the Renegades have struggled, with inconsistent batting and ineffective early bowling. Key player Glenn Maxwell, with a stellar average against the Renegades, is poised to make an impact. Expert tips suggest backing the Stars to win and Maxwell to score 20+ and 30+ runs.

Ryan Tucker 03 Jan 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades tips
  • Match start is 6:05 PM AEDT on Sunday, January 4th at MCG
  • Melbourne Stars lead the standings, having won 4 out of 5 matches this season.
  • The Renegades face challenges with inconsistent batting and low-pressure bowling.
  • Expert tips predict a Stars victory with key player Maxwell expected to perform strongly.
Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Tips

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Expert Tips


The Melbourne Derby is shaping up as a very one sided affair with the Stars leading the standings and the Renegades equal last. The Stars have won 3 of the last 5 matchups and are tipped to do so again on Sunday.

The Melbourne Stars have lost just 1 of their 5 games played this season and even that loss was a very close one. The Renegades have been pretty soundly beaten in all 3 of their losses. Their batting has been inconsistent and the bowling has failed to create enough pressure early to force their opponents to make bad decisions.

Glenn Maxwell has averaged at least 31 runs in every season across his BBL career. This season has started slower with just 42 runs from 3 innings at bat and a high score of 39 not out. The champion cannot be held down for long and against the city rivals Renegades he is averaging 40.5 across his last 4 games.

Over the last 5 games, the Renegades have allowed 10.8 fours per game to their opponent while the Stars are hitting 17.2 per game and averaging 13.04 over their last 21 games as the home team at the MCG.

Take the Stars to win the derby, Glenn Maxwell ladders for 20+ and 30+ runs as well as the Stars to hit over 14.5 fours in the match.

  • Melbourne Stars are 4-1 this season and have won 3 of the last 5 against the Renegades.
  • Melbourne Renegades are 1-3 with all three losses being comfortable opponent wins.
  • Glenn Maxwell averages 40.5 runs over his last 4 games against the Renegades.
  • The Stars are averaging 17.2 fours per game over their last 5 and average 13.04 fours per game as the home team at the MCG. 

Melbourne Stars Form


The Stars dropped their first game of the season on Friday, being chased down in the final overs by the Heat. Setting a respectable 6/195 off their 20 overs the Stars looked comfortable heading towards what would have been their 5th straight win, Marcus Stoinis top scoring with 43 runs.

But an astonishing run from the Heat batters needing 76 runs off the final 5 overs ended with a boundary with 2 balls remaining. The Stars bowling attack faltering at the last hurdle. Both Peter Siddle and Mitch Swepson took 2 wickets in the match.

Melbourne still lead the standings with a 4-1 record and will stay a top no matter the result of the Hurricanes result with the Canes having 2 losses in their column already.

Melbourne Renegades Form


The Renegades sunk to another loss on New Year’s Day, this time to the Sydney Sixers by 6 wickets with 5 balls remaining. Melbourne were sent in to bat first and while Tim Seifert (8) and Mohammad Rizwan (6) both went cheaply, Josh Brown (43) and Jake Fraser-McGurk (38) steadied the ship. But once the wickets started tumbling it was all over the Gaders.

The Melbourne bowling attack struggled to make any early inroads, not grabbing their first wicket until the 7th over. Gurinder Sandhu took 2 off his 4 overs for a great 5.75 economy but it didn’t help the cause to win.

Melbourne are allowing 9.6 sixes per game to their opponents over their last 5 matches.

Head to Head Stats


Last 5 Matches


DateResult
12-Jan-2025
Stars won by 42 runs
4-Jan-2025
Stars won by 5 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)
13-Jan-2024
Renegades won by 6 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)
2-Jan-2024
Stars won by 8 wickets (with 12 balls remaining)
14-Jan-2023
Renegades won by 6 runs

Last 5 Averages



Melbourne StarsStatsMelbourne Renegades
4-1W-L2-3
315.2Avg Match Total351.2
4-1Bat Flip1-4
0-1Bat First W-L1-3

BBL Last 5 Stats


Stars BattingStatsRenegades Fielding
17.2Fours10.8
4.2Sixes9.6

Stars FieldingStatsRenegades Batting
12.2Fours14.4
3.8Sixes8

Melbourne Stars Home Stats


Stars BattingStatsStars Fielding
20Fours10
2Sixes3

Melbourne Renegades Away Stats


Renegades BattingStatsRenegades Fielding
14Fours10
6Sixes10

Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades start?

First ball between Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades is at 6:05 PM AEDT on Sunday, January 4th at MCG

What channel is Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades on?

You can watch Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades on Channel Seven, Fox Cricket, Kayo Sports

Verdict

Take the Stars to win the derby, Glenn Maxwell ladders for 20+ and 30+ runs as well as the Stars to hit over 14.5 fours in the match.
Best Bet1: Melbourne Stars Winners $1.65 at Playup - 3 Units
Best Bet2: G Maxwell 20+ Runs $1.61 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: G Maxwell 30+ Runs $2.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Stars over 14.5 Fours $1.90 at Pandabet - 1 Unit
Melbourne Stars
Winners
$1.65 - 3 Units
Use Easyform
The Ultimate Form Guide

18+ only. Gamble Responsibly. T&Cs apply

Bet at Playup
G Maxwell 20+
Runs
$1.61 - 2 Units
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU

18+. T&Cs apply

Bet at Elitebet
G Maxwell 30+
Runs
$2.00 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble
Stars over 14.5
Fours
$1.90 - 1 Unit
Pandabet
It's Black & White

The Pandabet.com.au code is BETSAUS. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Pandabet

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

30 May 2026

  • Saturday Roughies - May 30 -
  • Horse Racing

06 June 2026

Load More
Betting Slip | 04 Jan 2026

Melbourne Stars v Melbourne Renegades