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St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL Tips - Swans to keep season alive with a win over the Saints in dour affair

adam-cusworth
Adam Cusworth
Editor
Last updated: Thu. 10 Jul. 2025 14:43

Sydney Swans and St Kilda Saints face off in Round 18 of the 2025 AFL season. While Sydney comes off a recent win and a strong performance, St Kilda struggles with loss in recent matches. Sydney's midfield depth and form at Marvel Stadium make them formidable opponents, and they're tipped to win. St Kilda's offensive inefficiency remains a concern, and injuries add to their challenges. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with Sydney Swans having the edge, particularly with players like Errol Gulden and Isaac Heeney in form.

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Adam Cusworth 10 Jul. 2025
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  • St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 18 AFL game
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
  • Can the Swans keep their season alive with a win over the Saints?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL Tips

St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans, Round 18 2025 - Expert Prediction

  • St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans, Round 18 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • St Kilda Saints Team News
  • St Kilda Saints Team List
  • Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Sydney Swans Team News
  • Sydney Swans Team List
  • St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18 FAQ’s

Sydney head to Marvel Stadium for a Round 18 clash with St Kilda, looking to build on their recent form and extend the Saints’ woes.

The Swans come off an 11-point win over Fremantle and have won three of their past four. Their win over Fremantle showed a balanced team performance, with Errol Gulden and Callum Mills continuing to find form since coming back from injury.

St Kilda have lost seven of their past eight, with many of those defeats being competitive but ultimately lacking polish up forward. Their struggles and inefficiency inside 50 continue to hurt them, ranking just 14th for inside 50s and averaging only 71 points per game over their past five.

Sydney’s midfield depth and Marvel Stadium form make them hard to beat in this match up. Take the Swans in the 1-39 bracket, while the under total points looks right in play. Errol Gulden looks strong for the 30+.  

  • St Kilda have lost seven of their past eight matches. Six of those losses were by 39.5 points or less.
  • Isaac Heeney has kicked 2+ goals in three of his past four against the Saints.
  • Sydney have won seven of their past eight at the venue.
  • St Kilda are averaging just 71 points per game in their past five matches.

Head to Head 


St Kilda were two-point winners the last time the two sides met, which was back in Round 17 last season. The past three between St Kilda and Sydney have been decided by 14 points or less.

Jack Steele and Jack Sinclair have averaged over 25 disposals in their past four matches against Sydney. OIlie Florent has averaged 26.5 for the Swans. Isaac Heeney has kicked 2+ goals in three of his past four against St Kilda.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
1-42-33-2

St Kilda have lost seven of their past eight matches. Six of those losses were by 39.5 points or less, including the 34-point loss to Collingwood and the 12-point loss to Fremantle prior to the Hawthorn match.

The Saints have found it hard to consistently pressure their opposition when heading forward, ranking 14th for inside 50s in the past five rounds, averaging 71 points per game in that period.

They have lacked a tall focal point up forward. Max Hall kicked three last weekend. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera picked up a massive 43 disposals in that match and has hit the 25+ in all but one of his matches this season. He has had 30+ in four of his past six, registering 29 and 28 in the other two.

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
6-1010-63-72-4

St Kilda Saints Team News


Jimmy Webster was subbed out during the match against Hawthorn with a calf injury and is set to miss. The Saints have few others on the injury list. Hugh Boxshall has some solid form in the VFL and will be considered for a recall.

St Kilda Saints Team List


B: M.Windhager, C.Wilkie, A.Tauru
HB: L.Stocker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair
C: D.Butler, H.Garcia, B.Hill
HF: J.Higgins, M.Hall, M.Wood
F: A.Caminiti, C.Sharman, M.Owens
FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C (FROM): H.Clark, R.Byrnes, I.Keeler, L.Henry, A.Hastie, H.Boxshall, M.Heath, L.O’Connell

In: - L.Stocker, R.Byrnes, H.Boxshall, M.Heath, L.O’Connell
Out: - J.Webster (Injured), D.Wilson (Omitted)

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form

Last 5 W/LLast 5 ATSLast 5 O/U
3-24-12-3

Sydney have won three of their past four matches. They suffered a tight loss to the Western Bulldogs in Round 16 before their win over the Dockers last weekend. The Swans have made the journey to Marvel Stadium once in 2025 for a big win over North Melbourne and have won seven of their past eight at the venue.

Hayden McLean and Joel Amartey combined for five goals last weekend. Goalkicking has been an issue for the Swans due to the injuries to key forwards in 2025 and they have relied on midfielders to sneak down to score. Heeney leads their goalkicking table with 22 this season, while Will Hayward has kicked 21.

Callum Mills and Errol Gulden collected 25+ disposals in the win over Fremantle. Gulden has had 25+ in his last two matches. Mills has had 25+ in three of his past four.

2025 Betting Trends

ATSOver/Under1-3940+
9-76-105-72-2

Sydney Swans Team News


Tom Papley’s injury interrupted season continued last weekend with the livewire forward going down with a hamstring injury. He will miss. Dane Rampe and Aaron Francis are in the mix to return from injury.

Sydney Swans Team List


B: L.Melican, T.McCartin, N.Blakey
HB: C.Mills - C, H.Cunningham, S.Wicks
C: J.Lloyd, Ch.Warner, E.Gulden
HF: J.McInerney, A.Sheldrick, J.Jordon
F: B.Campbell, H.McLean, W.Hayward
FOLL: B.Grundy, I.Heeney, J.Rowbottom

I/C (FROM): J.Hamling, P.Ladhams, R.Bice, J.Buller, M.Roberts, A.Francis, O.Florent, Co.Warner

In: - P.Ladhams, R.Bice, A.Francis, O.Florent, Co.Warner
Out: - T.Papley (Injured), J.Amartey (Injured)

St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans AFL 2025 Round 18 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

Sydney to find enough in low scoring scrap. Gulden influential and Heeney to produce some spark inside 50
Best Bet1: Sydney Swans Winning Margin 1-39 $2.15 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Under 170.5 Total Score Under/Over 170.5 $1.70 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Errol Gulden To Have 30+ disposals $2.60 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Isaac Heeney To Score 2+ goals $2.10 at dabble - 1 Unit
Sydney Swans
Winning Margin 1-39
$2.15 - 1 Unit
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Under 170.5
Total Score Under/Over 170.5
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Errol Gulden
To Have 30+ disposals
$2.60 - 1 Unit
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Isaac Heeney
To Score 2+ goals
$2.10 - 1 Unit
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