AFL
  • Home
  • AFL

North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL Round 19 Tips - Van Rooyen Set to Torch the Roos Again

ryan-tucker
Editor
Last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026 10:22

Melbourne enters Round 19 against North Melbourne as clear favorites, showcasing dominant form with nine straight wins at the MCG and an average winning margin of 20 points over recent matchups. Star forward Jacob Van Rooyen's hot streak and a strong midfield led by Kysaiah Pickett give Melbourne the edge. North Melbourne fought hard recently but face injury setbacks and a challenging run home. Expect Melbourne to cover the -14.5 line, clear 95.5 points, and rely on Van Rooyen and Pickett to drive their attack. The key recommendation: back the Demons for a comfortable win.

Ryan Tucker 1 hour ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Melbourne are in top form with 9 wins in a row and dominate recent head-to-head results.
  • North Melbourne face key injuries and a difficult schedule, undermining their upset chances.
  • Expert tip: Back Melbourne -14.5, over 95.5 points, Van Rooyen for 3+ goals, Pickett for 25+ disposals.
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, 18th July, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
North Melbourne vs Melbourne
North Melbourne vs Melbourne

North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL Round 19 2026 - Expert Prediction


Melbourne are playing some of the most complete football in the competition right now and North Melbourne have been better than their ladder position suggests, but backing them to trouble the Demons at Marvel Stadium looks like a bridge too far this week.
Jacob Van Rooyen is doing things few Melbourne forwards have managed in years. His equal career-high six goals against Richmond last week backed up a five-goal haul the week before against Hawthorn, the first time a Demon has strung together consecutive 5+ goal bags since Jesse Hogan in 2018. 

Melbourne piled on a 46-point win, dominating disposals by 82, inside 50s by 16 and marks by 46, and it was their ninth straight win at the MCG under Steven King. This is a team firing on every cylinder, not just leaning on one or two stars.

North Melbourne aren't a bad side, Jy Simpkin's 32-disposal game and Paul Curtis' return from suspension (3 goals) nearly got the job done against Collingwood last week, only for the Pies to snatch it back in the final term. But the Kangaroos are without Wardlaw (hamstring) and Tom Blamires is under concussion protocols while they face what's being called a "horror run home" against three current top-six sides plus Geelong.

Melbourne are rated comfortably ahead on both sides of the ball, +7.6 attack and +1.3 defence compared to North's -4.9 and -5.4 respectively. Melbourne have won 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two, including a 36-point win in this exact fixture last year.

Take Melbourne -14.5, the Demons' team total to go over 95.5, Jacob Van Rooyen for 3 or more goals, and Kysaiah Pickett for 25+ disposals as the plays for Saturday afternoon at Marvel Stadium.

  • Melbourne have beaten North Melbourne by an average of 20.4 points across their last five meetings, and North have lost 8 of the last 10 clashes outright.
  • The Demons are averaging 95.2 points per game over their last five outings compared to North's 72.6 - the team total over 95.5 lines up with recent form, not just one big week.
  • Van Rooyen has 14 goals in his last 3 games Melbourne's attack has a +7.6 rating, well clear of North's defence at -5.4.
  • Kysaiah Pickett has been a beneficiary of Melbourne's dominant midfield share, and with North missing Wardlaw at the coalface, easy supply through the middle should keep him busy.

Head to Head Stats


Melbourne have the wood on North Melbourne in this rivalry, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings and by an average margin of 20.4 points across the last five clashes. Their most recent meeting last year was one-sided, Melbourne winning by 36 points. All-time head-to-head sits at Melbourne 91 wins to North's 78.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis


North Melbourne led Collingwood into the final term before the Pies snatched it late, going down by 4 points at Marvel Stadium. Paul Curtis was straight back to form with 3 goals in his first game back from suspension, and Jy Simpkin racked up 32 disposals filling the void left by George Wardlaw (hamstring). 

Nick Larkey missed 3 of his first 4 shots but recovered to finish with 3 goals 4 behinds. Tom Blamires was concussed during the game and is under return-to-play protocols. North sit 8-9 and face three current top-six opponents plus Geelong across their run home.

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis


Melbourne were ruthless against Richmond, winning by 46 points at the MCG for their ninth straight win at the venue this year under Steven King. Jacob Van Rooyen's equal career-high 6 goals headlined the win, with Jake Bowey (31 disposals, 7 marks, 894m gained plus a goal), captain Max Gawn (17 disposals, 2 goals, 36 hitouts - equal 5th all-time for Melbourne games played) and mid-season draftee Joel Fitzgerald (career-best 31 touches) all firing. Melbourne reported no injuries out of the win and sit 11-6 for the season.

North Melbourne vs Melbourne Team List & News


North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News: George Wardlaw (hamstring) remains sidelined after missing last week's clash with Collingwood, and Tom Blamires is progressing through concussion protocols following a knock in that game.

Melbourne Demons Team News: Melbourne have no new injury concerns and could welcome back Bayley Fritsch, Max Heath and Harrison Petty.

North MelbournePOSMelbourne
A. Corr, C. Comben, L. ParkerBJ. Bowey, J. Lever, C. Jiath
R. Hardeman, C. Daniel, C. McKercherHBT. Rivers, D. Turner, B. Howes
J. Simpkin, L. Davies-Uniacke, D. StephensCE. Langdon, T. Sparrow, H. Sharp
P. Curtis, C. Trembath, C. SpargoHFK. Pickett, K. Chandler, L. Pickett
C. Zurhaar, N. Larkey, J. DarlingFJ. Melksham, J. van Rooyen, B. Fritsch
T. Xerri, F. O'Sullivan, H. SheezelFOLLM. Gawn, J. Steele, C. Windsor
B. Scott, L. McDonald, J. Goater, M. Whitlock, C. HarveyI/CH. Langford, K. Tholstrup, M. Jefferson, M. Heath, J. Fitzgerald

North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL 2026 Round 19 FAQ's

  • How to watch North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL 2026 Round 19?

    You can watch the North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL 2026 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

  • How to buy tickets to North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL 2026 Round 19?

    To buy tickets to the North Melbourne vs Melbourne AFL 2026 Round 19 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne Kangaroos site.

Verdict

Take Melbourne -14.5, the Demons' team total to go over 95.5, Jacob Van Rooyen for 3 or more goals, and Kysaiah Pickett for 25+ disposals
Best Bet1: Melbourne -14.5 Line $1.90 at OnlyBets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Demons over 95.5 Team Total $1.87 at Ladbrokes Australia - 3 Units
Best Bet3: J Van Rooyen 3+ Goals $2.25 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: K Pickett 25+ Disposals $1.87 at Neds - 1 Unit
Melbourne -14.5
Line
$1.90 - 3 Units
Newest Australian Bookie
Referral Code: MAXBET

The OnlyBets referral code is MAXBET. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at OnlyBets
Demons over 95.5
Team Total
$1.87 - 3 Units
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. WHAT'S GAMBLING REALLY COSTING YOU? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia
J Van Rooyen 3+
Goals
$2.25 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble
K Pickett 25+
Disposals
$1.87 - 1 Unit
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK

The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. WHAT'S GAMBLING REALLY COSTING YOU? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Neds

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Load More
Betting Slip | 18 Jul 2026

North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons

days

hours

min

Add to Calendar
Hear more from bets.com.au