Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL Round 19 Tips - Can the Blues Keep the Rivalry Close?
Collingwood face Carlton in AFL Round 19, aiming to continue their dominance in this historic rivalry. However, despite Collingwood's five-straight wins, three were by margins of six points or fewer, highlighting how competitive these clashes remain. Carlton's defense has kept games tight, and six of the last eight encounters have ended under the predicted total. Key players like Tim Membrey and Jordan De Goey are in strong form. Prediction: Collingwood remain favourites, but Carlton +6.5 is the value bet, with another low-scoring contest likely.
- Collingwood are favourites but Carlton +6.5 points is the value.
- Recent matchups have mostly been close and low-scoring.
- Key Magpies (Membrey, De Goey) are in top form; expect a fierce contest.
- The game will be played at the MCG on Saturday, 18th July, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST).
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL Round 19 Tips - Can the Blues Keep the Rivalry Close?
Collingwood has dominated this rivalry over the past two seasons, but the betting value may lie with Carlton keeping this one much tighter than many expect.
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL Round 19 Tips - Can the Blues Keep the Rivalry Close?
- Key Stats
- Head-to-Head
- Collingwood Form
- Carlton Form
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues Team News
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2026 Round 19 FAQs
While our model at footybets.com.au rates the Magpies as deserving favourites by around 15 points, recent clashes between these clubs have regularly gone down to the wire, making the Blues with a start the standout play.
The Magpies have won the last five meetings, but three of those victories were by six points or fewer, including a five-point win earlier this season. Carlton's defensive system has generally held up well against Collingwood, even if the results haven't always followed.
Another trend worth following is the game total. Six of the last eight meetings between these fierce rivals have finished under the total, with an average combined score of just 155 points. With finals pressure building and both sides relying heavily on contested football through the midfield, another lower-scoring contest looks likely.
Tim Membrey has become a reliable target inside 50 for the Magpies, kicking multiple goals in each of his past four matches, while Jordan De Goey continues to build midfield form after recording 25 or more disposals in seven of his last nine appearances.
Key Stats
Carlton +6.5 looks the value despite Collingwood's recent dominance.
Six of the last eight meetings have finished under the total.
Tim Membrey has kicked 10 goals across his last four matches.
Jordan De Goey continues his outstanding midfield form.
Head-to-Head
Collingwood has won the last five meetings between the clubs, including a five-point victory in Round 6 earlier this season. While the Magpies have had the better of the rivalry, the margin has often been narrow, with three of those five wins coming by six points or less.
Collingwood Form
The Magpies have quietly put together four consecutive wins since the bye and are beginning to resemble the disciplined side that regularly finds ways to win close contests. Victories over Gold Coast and North Melbourne were far from perfect, but Collingwood's experience stood up when the game was on the line.
Nick Daicos continues to drive the side, while Josh Daicos, Jack Crisp and Jordan De Goey have given Craig McRae a midfield capable of controlling territory late in games. Tim Membrey has also provided an experienced marking target inside 50, kicking multiple goals in four straight matches.
Carlton Form
Carlton's seven-game winning streak came to a crashing halt against Hawthorn, but the 64-point defeat probably wasn't a true reflection of where the Blues currently sit. Wet conditions exposed them after George Hewett left the match early with back spasms, forcing significant changes through the midfield.
Sam Walsh continued to accumulate possessions despite the loss, while Adam Cerra battled hard throughout. Under Josh Fraser, the Blues have become far more organised defensively and have generally kept games within reach, which is reflected in their recent history against Collingwood despite the losing streak.
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues Team News
Collingwood
Collingwood will again monitor Jeremy Howe, Isaac Quaynor and Tew Jiath before final teams are confirmed, while Lachie Schultz is expected to miss two to four weeks with a syndesmosis injury.
Carlton
Carlton is hopeful George Hewett will overcome back spasms after being substituted against Hawthorn, while Lewis Young also faces a fitness test after concussion protocols. Jacob Weitering remains several weeks away.
Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2026 Round 19 FAQs
- How can I watch Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2026 Round 19?
You can watch Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues live on Fox Footy or stream the match on Kayo Sports. If you're watching outside Australia, the Watch AFL service provides live and on-demand coverage.
- How can I buy tickets for Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues AFL 2026 Round 19?
Tickets for Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues can be purchased through the official AFL website or via the official Collingwood Magpies website.
Verdict
Expect another fierce chapter in one of football's biggest rivalries. Collingwood deserves favouritism, but recent history suggests Carlton can keep the margin within a kick. The under also appeals given how these contests have typically been played, while Tim Membrey should continue his strong run in front of goal and Jordan De Goey looks well placed to again find plenty of the football.
Carlton +6.5
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