AFL
  • Home
  • AFL

Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL Round 16 Tips - Wizard of Oz Same Game Multi

ryan-tucker
Editor
Last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026 08:43

The AFL Round 16 clash between Hawthorn Hawks and Greater Western Sydney Giants promises excitement at the MCG. Experts predict Hawthorn to win by 1–39, total game score over 173.5, and Dylan Moore exceeding 17.5 disposals. The Wizard of Oz Multi (Hawthorn win, Watson 3+ goals, 15+ disposals) is an appealing option. Recent trends favor close margins (1–39 range), with Hawthorn's attacking play and GWS’s defensive vulnerabilities highlighted. Injuries impact both squads. Recommendation: Hawthorn by 1-39, Total Over 173.5, Moore 17.5+ Disposals.

Ryan Tucker 24 Jun 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Expert tip: Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5
  • Dylan Moore backed for 18+ disposals; Nick Watson key to Hawks' attack
  • Both teams face key injuries, but stats favor a close Hawks victory
  • The game will be played at MCG on Friday, 26th June, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)
Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS

Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction


Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi with a Hawthorn win, Nick Watson 3+ goals and Watson 15+ Disposals, are the plays for Friday night at the MCG.

The Footy Bets predictive model has Hawthorn by 22.7 pts and with the bookies setting the line at -21.5 it gives confidence in the direction and the margin. 10 straight head-to-head meetings having finished inside the 1-39 window including the most recent result, a 27 pt GWS win in Opening Round. 

The Over 173.5 is strongly supported with the most recent meeting producing a combined score of 217 pts. Hawthorn are averaging 97.2 pts in attack and GWS allow 91.1 on defence. The Hawks generate 55.7 Inside 50s per game and GWS allow 56.2, with Hawthorn's Points from Turnovers of 61.9 the most dangerous attacking weapon in this matchup against a Giants side prone to ball handling errors under pressure.

Dylan Moore is one of Hawthorn's most consistent two-way performers. Against a GWS side that has struggled to hold small forward matchups, Moore operating off half-forward will accumulate and cause damage.

The Wizard of Oz Multi is the entertainment play with genuine legs. Watson booted three goals against Gold Coast in Round 15 with two of them being highlight reel finishes. GWS allowed multiple goals to opposing small forwards in both recent losses and Watson's combination of pace, creativity and elite finishing makes him the most dangerous player in this matchup. 

Take Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi at your preferred price.

  • Ten straight head-to-head meetings have finished within the 1-39 margin
  • The most recent meeting finished on 217 pts combined and Hawthorn generate 61.9 Points from Turnovers per game against a GWS side prone to errors.
  • Dylan Moore is predicted at 21.0 Disposals against a line of 17.5
  • Nick Watson booted three goals against Gold Coast last week and has been Hawthorn's most damaging forward in recent form and GWS's backline has conceded multiple goals to small forwards in back-to-back losses.

Head to Head Stats


The all-time series is locked 9-9 with Hawthorn holding a 4-0 advantage at the MCG. The last five meetings have gone 27 pts, 12 pts, 2 pts, 6 pts and 13 pts, averaging 12 pts per game and all falling within the 1-39 cover range. The most recent result was a GWS 27 pt win in Opening Round 2026.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis


Hawthorn returned from their bye to dismantle Gold Coast at People First Stadium, winning the centre clearance battle 20-12 and running away with four goals in four minutes to open the final term. Jai Newcombe was outstanding with 30 Disposals, 10 Clearances and two goals, while Dylan Moore and Nick Watson combined for seven goals. 

The concern is Jarman Impey, who left with a hamstring in the second quarter and is likely to miss, and Jack Gunston who is still not expected to play. Josh Weddle also faces MRO scrutiny for his contact on Daniel Rioli.

Greater Western Sydney Giants Form Analysis


GWS lost to Carlton by 23 pts at Engie Stadium last Saturday in a result that compounded a back-to-back slump since returning from their bye. Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh controlled the midfield and Carlton's small forwards ran riot with Francis Evans booting three. 

Clayton Oliver fought hard with 29 Disposals and five Clearances but the Giants' attack was blunted with Jesse Hogan troubled by a hand injury and Jake Stringer goalless. Jayden Laverde also left with a hamstring, adding to an injury list that already includes Jake Riccardi.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants Team List & News


Hawthorn Hawks Team News: Jack Gunston is not expected to play. Jarman Impey (hamstring) is in doubt after leaving the Gold Coast game. Josh Weddle faces MRO scrutiny. Karl Amon was also listed as injured against Gold Coast.

Greater Western Sydney Giants Team News: Jayden Laverde (hamstring) is out. Jake Riccardi (ankle) remains sidelined. Jesse Hogan is managing a hand injury. Stephen Coniglio is under injury management.

Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16?

You can watch the Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn site.

Verdict

Take Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi at your preferred price.
Best Bet4: Wizard of Oz Same Game Multi $4.25 at bet365 Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: Hawthorn 1-39 Winning Margin $2 at OnlyBets (MAXBET) - 2 Units
Best Bet2: OVer 173.5 Game Total $1.90 at Elitebet - 3 Units
Best Bet3: D Moore over 17.5 Disposals $1.85 at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only - 3 Units
Wizard of Oz
Same Game Multi
$4.25 - 1 Unit

Bet at bet365 Australia
Hawthorn 1-39
Winning Margin
$2 - 2 Units

Bet at OnlyBets (MAXBET)
OVer 173.5
Game Total
$1.90 - 3 Units

Bet at Elitebet
D Moore over 17.5
Disposals
$1.85 - 3 Units

Bet at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

26 June 2026

  • Ballarat Synthetic - June 26 -
  • Horse Racing
  • Gold Coast Titans vs Canterbury Bulldogs -
  • Rugby League
  • Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants -
  • AFL
  • Brisbane Broncos vs Sydney Roosters -
  • Rugby League
Load More
Betting Slip | 26 Jun 2026

Hawthorn Hawks v Greater Western Sydney Giants

days

hours

min

Add to Calendar
Hear more from bets.com.au