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Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL Round 16 Tips - Wizard of Oz Same Game Multi

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026 12:12

Ryan Tucker 25 Jun 2026

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Expert tip: Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5
Dylan Moore backed for 18+ disposals; Nick Watson key to Hawks' attack
Both teams face key injuries, but stats favor a close Hawks victory
The game will be played at MCG on Friday, 26th June, with the bounce at 7:40 PM (AEST)

Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS

Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction

Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi with a Hawthorn win, Nick Watson 3+ goals and Watson 15+ Disposals, are the plays for Friday night at the MCG.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis
Greater Western Sydney Giants Form Analysis
Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants Team List & News
Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

The Footy Bets predictive model has Hawthorn by 22.7 pts and with the bookies setting the line at -21.5 it gives confidence in the direction and the margin. 10 straight head-to-head meetings having finished inside the 1-39 window including the most recent result, a 27 pt GWS win in Opening Round.

The Over 173.5 is strongly supported with the most recent meeting producing a combined score of 217 pts. Hawthorn are averaging 97.2 pts in attack and GWS allow 91.1 on defence. The Hawks generate 55.7 Inside 50s per game and GWS allow 56.2, with Hawthorn's Points from Turnovers of 61.9 the most dangerous attacking weapon in this matchup against a Giants side prone to ball handling errors under pressure.

Dylan Moore is one of Hawthorn's most consistent two-way performers. Against a GWS side that has struggled to hold small forward matchups, Moore operating off half-forward will accumulate and cause damage.

The Wizard of Oz Multi is the entertainment play with genuine legs. Watson booted three goals against Gold Coast in Round 15 with two of them being highlight reel finishes. GWS allowed multiple goals to opposing small forwards in both recent losses and Watson's combination of pace, creativity and elite finishing makes him the most dangerous player in this matchup.

Take Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi at your preferred price.

Ten straight head-to-head meetings have finished within the 1-39 margin
The most recent meeting finished on 217 pts combined and Hawthorn generate 61.9 Points from Turnovers per game against a GWS side prone to errors.
Dylan Moore is predicted at 21.0 Disposals against a line of 17.5
Nick Watson booted three goals against Gold Coast last week and has been Hawthorn's most damaging forward in recent form and GWS's backline has conceded multiple goals to small forwards in back-to-back losses.

Head to Head Stats

The all-time series is locked 9-9 with Hawthorn holding a 4-0 advantage at the MCG. The last five meetings have gone 27 pts, 12 pts, 2 pts, 6 pts and 13 pts, averaging 12 pts per game and all falling within the 1-39 cover range. The most recent result was a GWS 27 pt win in Opening Round 2026.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis

Hawthorn returned from their bye to dismantle Gold Coast at People First Stadium, winning the centre clearance battle 20-12 and running away with four goals in four minutes to open the final term. Jai Newcombe was outstanding with 30 Disposals, 10 Clearances and two goals, while Dylan Moore and Nick Watson combined for seven goals.

The concern is Jarman Impey, who left with a hamstring in the second quarter and is likely to miss, and Jack Gunston who is still not expected to play. Josh Weddle also faces MRO scrutiny for his contact on Daniel Rioli.

Greater Western Sydney Giants Form Analysis

GWS lost to Carlton by 23 pts at Engie Stadium last Saturday in a result that compounded a back-to-back slump since returning from their bye. Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh controlled the midfield and Carlton's small forwards ran riot with Francis Evans booting three.

Clayton Oliver fought hard with 29 Disposals and five Clearances but the Giants' attack was blunted with Jesse Hogan troubled by a hand injury and Jake Stringer goalless. Jayden Laverde also left with a hamstring, adding to an injury list that already includes Jake Riccardi.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants Team List & News

Hawthorn Hawks Team News: Josh Weddle (suspension) and Jarman Impey (hamstring) are unavailable, while Cam Nairn has been omitted. Flynn Perez, Calsher Dear and Jack Dalton return.

Greater Western Sydney Giants Team News: Jesse Hogan (finger) and Jayden Laverde (hamstring) are sidelined, with Max Gruzewski and Harry Oliver recalled.

Hawthorn	POS	GWS Giants
J. Sicily, J. Battle, F. Perez	B	C. Idun, S. Taylor, H. Himmelberg
K. Amon, T. Barrass, B. Macdonald	HB	L. Ash, L. Whitfield, J. Fonti
M. D'Ambrosio, W. Day, H. Morrison	C	R. Angwin, C. Oliver, H. Thomas
D. Moore, M. Chol, J. Ginnivan	HF	P. Gothard, M. Gruzewski, T. Bedford
B. Hardwick, M. Lewis, N. Watson	F	J. Stringer, A. Cadman, T. Greene
L. Meek, J. Newcombe, C. Mackenzie	FOLL	K. Briggs, B. Daniels, F. Callaghan
C. Dear, N. Reeves, J. Ward, C. Macdonald, J. Dalton	I/C	H. Oliver, L. Aleer, C. Stone, S. Coniglio, C. Brown

Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16?

You can watch the Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn vs GWS GIANTS AFL 2026 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn site.

Verdict

Hawthorn Hawks v Greater Western Sydney Giants

Take Hawthorn to win by 1-39, Game Total Over 173.5, Dylan Moore Over 17.5 Disposals and the Wizard of Oz Multi at your preferred price.

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