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Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints Round 15 AFL Tips - Pies to solidify competition lead ending Saints finals hopes

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 19 Jun 2025 11:41

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Ryan Tucker 19 Jun 2025

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Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 15 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)
Collingwood well-rested and statistically strong going into Round 15.
St Kilda coming off a big loss; works against recent trends.
Key prediction: Collingwood to win with a 40+ margin.

Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints Round 15 AFL Tips

Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints, Round 15 2025 - Expert Prediction

A well rested Collingwood team up against a St Kilda team that were thrashed last week coming off their rest week. Take the Pies to dominate!

Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints, Round 15 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15 FAQ’s

St Kilda are on some proper St Kilda stuff, teams coming off long rest periods of 11 days or more were 8-3 heading into last weekend but of course the Saints need to buck the trend and get railed by the Doggies. The loss will not do well for their confidence with the team and coach under fire.

The Pies are 6-2 with 11 or more days rest in regular season matchups since the start of 2019 which is a strong trend suggesting they use the breaks to consolidate their focus and rest the bodies.

Statistically Collingwood outrank St Kilda in a vast majority of measures with some important ones being Marks Inside 50, Points from Turnovers and Tackles. The Saints allow the 3rd most points from Turnovers to their opposition and with the strong intercept mark skills that the Pies possess it could be a long day for the Saints forwards.

Check out where Ryan and Jez rank Darcy Cameron & Rowan Marshall in 2025 AFL Ruck Rankings

Take Collingwood 40+, St Kilda Team Total Under and Brody Mihocek to make a solid contribution on the scoreboard.

Almost half of Collingwood’s wins this season and exactly half of St Kilda’s losses have been 40+ margins.
Saints average 68 pts in their losses with 4 of 8 going Under 68.5, Collingwood are the best rated defence in the AFL.
Brody Mihocek has scored multiple goals in 7 of 11 games played so far this season.
Mihocek has scored 2+ goals vs St Kilda in 5 of the last 6 years.

Head to Head

These teams have met just once per year since the start of the 2019 season with Collingwood owning a 4-2 record in the matchup. St Kilda have had the most recent success with a 94-79 win last year.

The Under/Over is split evenly at 3-3 with no real trends sticking out. The last 4 games straight have finished with margins under 20pts.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
5-0	3-2	1-4

Collingwood had the bye last weekend but still lead the competition on 11 wins from 13 matches played. Their most recent game was a frosty 1 point victory over the Demons in Round 13’s Big Freeze matchup.

The Pies were under the pump for the majority of the first half before controlling the third term. Their opposition pulled away by a goal in the 4th but Collingwood were able to wrestle the lead back and hold on in true Collingwood fashion.

The team is 3rd in Marks Inside 50 and Tackles showing how even the talent is spread across the park. They also rank 2nd in Points from turnovers, an important statistic in this game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-5	5-8	6-1	5-1

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Brayden Maynard and Pat Lipinski will both need to pass fitness tests to be available to play.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

B: J.Howe, B.Frampton, D.Houston

HB: H.Perryman, D.Moore - C, I.Quaynor

C: J.Crisp, S.Pendlebury, S.Sidebottom

HF: B.Hill, T.Membrey, B.McCreery

F: J.Elliott, B.Mihocek, L.Sullivan

FOLL: D.Cameron, N.Long, N.Daicos

I/C: P.Lipinski, J.Daicos, D.McStay, E.Allan, W.Hoskin-Elliott

EMG: T.Mitchell, O.Steene, W.Hayes

In: - P.Lipinski

Out: - W.Hayes (Omitted)

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	2-3

St Kilda were toweled up once again last weekend, this time to the Bulldogs in a 132-60 loss. The 72 point margin eclipsed the previous season high of 71 which coincidentally was also against the Bulldogs earlier in the season.

The Saints now have an average losing margin of 41 pts with 4 of their 8 losses being major blowouts suggesting their application is poor when the game starts getting away.

They have now lost 7 of their last 9 games and while they are only 3 wins out of the top 8 they would need a miracle in their last 10 games with half of them being against top 8 opponents.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
5-8	8-5	3-4	2-4

St Kilda Saints Team News

Mattaes Phillipou will look to return if he passes a fitness test on his injured calf. Paddy Dow is also a test coming back from a knee injury.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: I.Keeler, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: H.Clark, N.Wanganeen-Milera, A.Tauru

C: M.Wood, J.Sinclair, M.Windhager

HF: J.Higgins, M.Phillipou, B.Hill

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, M.Owens

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, J.Steele - C

I/C: T.Travaglia, L.Stocker, D.Butler, D.Wilson, M.Hall

EMG: R.Byrnes, H.Garcia, M.Heath

In: - A.Tauru, M.Phillipou, D.Wilson

Out: - R.Byrnes (Omitted), J.Carroll (Omitted), Z.Jones (Omitted)

Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15?

You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints AFL 2025 Round 15 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.

Verdict

Collingwood Magpies v St Kilda Saints

Take Collingwood 40+, St Kilda Team Total Under and Brody Mihocek to make a solid contribution on the scoreboard.

Collingwood 40+

Winning Margin

$2.40 - 2 Units

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St Kilda Under 68.5

Team Total

$1.90 - 2 Units

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Brody Mihocek 2+

Goals

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