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Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Tips - Pies to Power through Port Adelaide

Ryan Tucker

Editor

Last updated: Thu 13 Mar 2025 14:53

Ryan Tucker 13 Mar 2025

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Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 1 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEDT)
Collingwood predicted to win against Port Adelaide, covering 8.5 point line as favorites.
Pies won Inside 50 battle last week with new recruit Harry Perryman performing well.
Key players to watch: Brody Mihocek for Collingwood and Jason Horne-Francis for Port Adelaide.

Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction

Collingwood will steady the ship with a win over Port Adelaide on Saturday covering the 8.5 point line as favourites in the process.

Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Collingwood Magpies Team News
Collingwood Magpies Team List
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2024 Betting Trends
Port Adelaide Power Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team List
Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s

The Magpies were embarrassed last weekend by the Giants but there were points of positivity to take out of the game for Collingwood. They won the Inside 50 battle with 55 entries and their new recruit Harry Perryman was outstanding in his club debut.

Port have not been able to beat Collingwood in their 4 most recent matchups with the Pies covering in each of the 4 victories. They now head into this one minus their best player in Zak Butters who along with Dan Houston (now at Collingwood) were the top two ball getters in their loss to Collingwood last season. They have covered just 5 of 13 games at the MCG since the beginning of the 2019 season and only 2 of those as the Underdog.

In their matchup last season the Pies dominated the possession, centre clearances and Inside 50’s, they took care of the ball limiting Port Adelaide’s opportunities. I expect them to rinse and repeat as they get a win on the board for the first time this season.

Take Collingwood to win covering the line with the total staying Under. Mihocek to grab a double and Jason Horne-Francis to take the bulk of the work for Port.

Collingwood have won the last 4 in a row against Port Adelaide.
Port have covered just 5 of 13 games at the MCG over the past 6 seasons.
Jason Horne-Francis averaged a career high 21.8 disposals per game last season and will pick up for the loss of Butters to injury and Houston to the Pies.
Brody Mihocek has scored 17 goals in 8 games against Port Adelaide and kicked 3 in their matchup last season.

Head to Head

Collingwood own the recent head to head battle with Port Adelaide having won 4 in a row and 5 of the last 8 since the beginning of 2019. They also have a 6-2 ATS record in the same time span

The Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games played while the winning margin in the last 4 games has been 2-2 for the 1-39 and 40+.

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-1	0-1	0-1

There wasn’t a lot for the Magpies to take out of the Opening Round 52 point drubbing at the hands of the Giants last weekend.

Collingwood managed to score just 52 points themselves in the contest despite winning the Inside 50 duel 55-54. They finished with a 49.1% efficiency rate in their attacking 50 with a scoreline that read 6 goals 16 behinds mirroring their poor accuracy rate from 2024.

New recruit Harry Perryman racked up 27 disposals for his new club against his old club with Josh Daicos topping the team with 28 touches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
0-1	0-1	0-0	0-1

Collingwood Magpies Team News

Mason Cox was available for selection this week but didn't make the cut. Josh Daicos and Jeremy Howe both proved their fitness and are included in the team, Dan Houston slots back in after serving out his suspension. Will Hoskin-Elliott has been ruled out of round one, while Jordan De Goey will miss one more week after an interrupted pre-season.

Collingwood Magpies Team List

B: B.Maynard, D.Moore - C, I.Quaynor

HB: H.Perryman, R.McInnes, D.Houston

C: S.Sidebottom, J.Daicos, P.Lipinski

HF: B.Hill, D.McStay, J.Elliott

F: T.Membrey, B.Mihocek, B.McCreery

FOLL: D.Cameron, J.Crisp, N.Daicos

I/C: L.Schultz, S.Pendlebury, L.Sullivan, J.Howe, N.Long

EMG: E.Allan, B.Frampton, A.Johnson

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	1-4

Port Adelaide finished 2nd in the standings at the completion of the regular season last year but bowed out of the finals in the Prelim against the Swans.

The Power had the 3rd best defensive numbers in 2024 allowing just 76.17 pts per game to their opponents through 24 rounds. They also had the 5th fewest scoring shots against them from their opposition at 22.8 per outing.

Zak Butters was one of the best in this outfit last season averaging 27.1 disposals per game at a 72% efficiency rate but will miss at least the first month of footy with a knee injury.

2024 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
12-14	11-15	11-6	6-3

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Esava Ratugolea has not been named, likely failing a fitness test prior to teams being named. Zak Butters will miss 4-6 weeks following knee injury sustained in the pre-season.

Port Adelaide Power Team List

B: La.Jones, A.Aliir, M.Bergman

HB: L.Evans, J.Finlayson, K.Farrell

C: J.Burgoyne, C.Rozee - C, J.Mead

HF: W.Drew, M.Georgiades, W.Rioli

F: D.Byrne-Jones, J.Lukosius, J.Richards

FOLL: J.Sweet, J.Horne-Francis, S.Powell-Pepper

I/C: J.Berry, J.Sinn, R.Burton, T.Boak, O.Wines

EMG: I.Soldo, R.Atkins, J.McEntee

Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s

How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1?

You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 1 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.

Verdict

Collingwood v Port Adelaide

Take Collingwood to win covering the line with the total staying Under. Mihocek to grab a double and Jason Horne-Francis to take the bulk of the work for Port.

Collingwood -8.5

Line

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