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Tonight's 2026 Brownlow Medal Betting Tips - Full guide for all value bets

Bets.com.au Staff
Editor
Last updated: Mon. 21 Sep. 2026 01:06

The 2026 Brownlow Medal is set to be awarded at Melbourne's Crown Palladium, with Nick Daicos emerging as the clear favourite following an outstanding season. While Daicos dominates the outright market ($1.01), expert analysis highlights value in exotic and team-specific markets, such as Patrick Cripps for Top 5, Luke Jackson for Top 10, and team vote leaders like Izak Rankine (Adelaide). Bettors are encouraged to explore 'Pick Your Own Vote' specials and multi-bet options for greater odds. Comprehensive odds updates and tips are available via dedicated AFL betting sites.

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  • Expert betting tips & predictions for the 2026 Brownlow Medal
  • Full guide with reasoning behind each value selection
  • Best odds with Dabble - new customers can use exclusive code BETSAU when signing up
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Who will win the 2026 Brownlow Medal? (Getty Images)

The wait is almost over, with the 2026 Brownlow Medal set to be decided at Crown Palladium in Melbourne tonight - and we've got you covered with all the best betting angles for the AFL's night of nights.

Collingwood superstar Nick Daicos heads into the count as the overwhelming favourite after a dominant home-and-away season, with some external models projecting him to push towards the 50-vote mark. Bailey Smith, Marcus Bontempelli and Will Ashcroft are among the other prominent names expected to feature towards the top of the leaderboard.

With Daicos extremely short in the outright market, our Brownlow betting tips will look beyond simply picking the winner. We'll break down the best value across player vote totals, team vote markets and other Brownlow specials, identifying where the numbers and our round-by-round projections suggest there could be opportunities throughout the count.

We'll also have our final predictions for the leading vote-getters, potential surprise performers and the players we expect to poll strongly for their respective clubs. The official count gets underway at approximately 8:00pm AEST, with the 2026 Brownlow Medallist expected to be crowned at around 10:10pm AEST.

Latest Brownlow Medal Winner Odds


Daicos will take out the Brownlow at $1.01 odds.

Read more at our designated Brownlow Medal odds hub.

PlayerClubOdds
Nick DaicosCollingwood$1.01
Bailey SmithGeelong Cats$41
Marcus BontempelliWestern Bulldogs$67
Patrick CrippsCarlton$101
Will AshcroftBrisbane Lions$126
Odds from Dabble. Correct from 21/9/26.

Brownlow Medal Tips - Best Exotic Bets


You can view our best Brownlow Medal exotic bets in the table below, odds courtesy of Dabble and correct from 21/9/26.

Brownlow Medal Exotic Betting MarketsBet on the Brownlow with DabbleBet Here
The dabble.com.au referral code is BETSAU. 18+. T&Cs apply.

MarketBrownlow TipOdds
Top 5Patrick Cripps$1.68
Top 10Luke Jackson$9.00
Top 20Clayton Oliver$3.50
First FourDaicos / Bontempelli / Cripps / Newcombe$501.00

Check out the reasoning and justification behind each selection at our full Brownlow Medal betting tips page.

Brownlow Medal Team Votes - Expert Predictions


Plenty of value to be found with the team votes on Dabble (correct from 21/9/26) - our best value betting tips can be found in the table below.

Brownlow Medal Team Votes MarketsBet on the Brownlow with DabbleBet Here
The dabble.com.au referral code is BETSAU. 18+. T&Cs apply.

TeamPlayerOdds
AdelaideIzak Rankine$2.55
FremantleLuke Jackson$2.00
Geelong (w/o Smith & Holmes)Oliver Dempsey$5.50
West Coast (w/o Reid)Jake Waterman$3.25
Western Bulldogs (w/o Bontempelli & Richards)Matt Kennedy$3.00

For more information on how we landed on the above selections, read our full Brownlow Medal Team Votes betting tips page.

Brownlow Medal Betting Specials


Our favourite betting special for Brownlow night comes courtesy of Dabble's Pick Your Own Vote.

This allows punters to customise their bet based on how many votes a player will receive.

Brownlow Medal - Pick Your Own VotesBet on the Brownlow with DabbleBet Here
The dabble.com.au referral code is BETSAU. 18+. T&Cs apply.

You can also build a multi with this market for high value odds. For more information and our best multi selections, check out our Bronwlow Pick Your Own Votes betting page.

Brownlow Medal Odds Updates


See how the Brownlow Medal market has shifted throughout the season at our designated odds tracker hub.

Matt Rowell started the season as a joint $7.00 favourite alongside Nick Daicos before the Collingwood superstar shortened as the year went on.

Verdict

Our best betting tips for the 2026 Brownlow Medal can be found below.

Best Bet1: Patrick Cripps Top 5 $1.68 at dabble - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Clayton Oliver Top 20 $3.20 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Luke Jackson Top Team Vote (Fremantle) $2.00 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Matt Kennedy Top Team Vote (Bulldogs) $3.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Patrick Cripps
Top 5
$1.68 - 3 Units
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with referral code BETSAU

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Bet at dabble
Clayton Oliver
Top 20
$3.20 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble
Luke Jackson
Top Team Vote (Fremantle)
$2.00 - 2 Units
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble
Matt Kennedy
Top Team Vote (Bulldogs)
$3.00 - 1 Unit
Download the dabble app
with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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